Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Belal Muhammad
Welterweight · “Remember the Name”

Belal Muhammad

24-6-0 (1 NC) UFC 15-6-0 (1 NC)
Takedown-Proof Volume Machine
5'11"Height
72"Reach
OrthodoxStance
38Age
2KO wins
1Sub wins
20.0%Finish rate
15:48Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · May 2026 · stats read 21 → nudged -11 inside the band · tag ko power: low (-6) · tag pace: high volume (+2) · claims striking power -3, striking volume +2, striking technique +2, kicking +2, pressure +3 (+2) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 35 of 100 · claims striking technique +2 (+4) Striking D — Below avg, rated 36 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Above avg, rated 71 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · May 2023 · stats read 55 → nudged -3 inside the band Wrestling — Above avg, rated 84 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling solid · Jul 2024 · stats read 82 → nudged +2 inside the band · claims td offense +2, clinch +1 (+5) TD Defense — Above avg, rated 84 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · May 2026 · stats read 99 → nudged +9 inside the band · claims td defense +2 (+4) Grappling — Above avg, rated 73 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling solid · May 2026 · stats read 37 → nudged -6 inside the band · claims sub defense +2 (+2) Control — Average, rated 65 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Muhammad vs Bonfim Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 30, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Tsarukyan vs Hooker Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC 315 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · May 6, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 23, 2024 watch ↗
grappling solid
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night Muhammad vs Bonfim Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 30, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Tsarukyan vs Hooker Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 315 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · May 6, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling solid
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • solid UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 23, 2024 watch ↗
cardio good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Tsarukyan vs Hooker Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • very good UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 23, 2024 watch ↗
durability not yet read
striking good 4 reads
grappling solid 3 reads
wrestling solid 1 read
cardio good 2 reads
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Wrestling, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Control · stats alone on Striking D.

Takedown-Proof 48 of 53 takedowns stuffed
Volume Machine 138 MMA · May 2026 tags pace: high volume
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.36
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.92
Striking accuracy42.4%
Striking defense55.2%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.98
Takedown accuracy35.9%
Takedown defense90.6%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.13
Control time21.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents11-6

Insider info

6 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Gabriel Bonfim lean UFC Fight Night Muhammad vs Bonfim Full Card Preview & Predictions · May 30, 2026
strikinggood grapplingsolid wrestlingsolid cardiogood

He ties the pick to the early rounds ("if Belal can take any", kept under five words) and immediately adds "maybe he does" lose, right after naming the pick.

A good striker with good volume, good forward pressure, a good body kick and good combinations, but with little in the way of hand power. His grappling is a pressure-based, good game: good takedowns, good mat returns, staying safe on top and good takedown defense. His real separator is pace and cardio over five rounds -- he does not slow down and keeps pressing his game plan regardless of how the fight is going. He is coming off tough losses to top-level competition, including a title fight.

Strengthgood volume, forward pressure, body kick, combinations
Strengthgood, pressure-based grappling with good takedown defense
Strengthelite pace and cardio across five rounds
Strengthrelentless, unwavering game-plan execution
Weaknesslittle hand power
ko power · lowtd defense · goodpace · high volume
vs Ian Machado Garry coinflip UFC Fight Night Tsarukyan vs Hooker Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 18, 2025 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingsolid cardiogood wrestlingsolid

Volunteers unprompted that he genuinely could not settle on a winner, that "the value is on" the opponent, and that he does not "feel confident on either side," then frames his own choice as little more than a coin flip for the video -- an explicit admission of low conviction on the win itself, well beyond ordinary price talk.

As of 2025-11-18, the analyst says he is genuinely developing as a striker even though it is not his primary style: forward pressure, good volume, a nice body kick and good combinations, backed by good boxing, though he still lacks real power. He is a solid grappler who presses forward and shoots takedowns relentlessly, with pretty good (not amazing) control, stays safe on top, and the analyst puts his takedown defense at roughly nine out of ten attempts stopped in the UFC -- very few opponents get him down. Good cardio and pace round him out.

Strengthdeveloping striker with forward pressure and good volume
Strengthnice body kick
Strengthgood combinations and boxing
Strengthrelentless, high-volume takedown pressure
Strengthpretty good, safe top control
Strengthexcellent takedown defense (roughly nine of ten stopped, per the analyst)
Strengthgood cardio and pace
Weaknessdoes not have a ton of striking power
ko power · lowtd defense · good
vs Jack Della Maddalena clear UFC 315 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · May 6, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikinggood grapplingsolid wrestlingsolid cardiovery good

He names Belal as his pick, forecasting a repeat-takedown decision; the language carries no hedge, and he expects Belal to take at least three rounds.

Framed as the grappling half of a striking-vs-grappling clash. Belal lacks real punching power but brings good forward pressure, volume and a solid body kick. His core game is pressure wrestling: heavy top pressure, good takedowns he chains together, and strong top control where he stays safe. His cardio and relentless pace are repeatedly cited as what wins him fights on the scorecards.

Strengthgood forward pressure
Strengthgood volume
Strengthsolid body kick
Strengthgood combinations
Strengthsolid/pressure-heavy grappler
Strengthgood takedowns, chains them
Strengthstrong control and stays safe on top
Strengthusually reliable takedown defense
Strengthelite cardio/pace, does not slow down
Weaknesslittle real punching power ("no power in the striking")
ko power · lowtd defense · goodpace · high volume
vs Leon Edwards clear UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 23, 2024 · 3 reads since
strikinggood wrestlingsolid cardiovery good

states it plainly and repeats it ('I've got to take Belal Muhammad... remember the name folks... he's getting it done'), built on a stated mechanism (pace/volume/cardio over Edwards's low output); a disclosed fan-bias aside ('a lot of people hate the guy, I don't') does not itself hedge the pick, and the only softening is that he expects a competitive, back-and-forth fight.

A pressure wrestler with a drastic wrestling edge in this pairing: good forward wrestling pressure, good takedowns, very good control, and excellent takedown defense that effectively takes Edwards's wrestling off the table. His striking is rated as genuinely good, not just a wrestling afterthought -- high volume, a very good body kick, good combinations and forward pressure -- and his very good cardio lets him control the pace all fight, which is named as the deciding factor.

Strengthdrastic wrestling advantage: good forward pressure, good takedowns, very good control, excellent takedown defense
Strengthunderrated striker: good volume, very good body kick, good combinations, good forward pressure
Strengthvery good cardio and in-fight pace management
Weaknessnot a powerful striker, which is why his striking gets underrated
pace · high volume
vs Gilbert Burns coinflip UFC 288 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Prediction · May 2, 2023 · 4 reads since

The clearest root-beer case on the card, by name: he tells viewers to crack open their own root beers because this fight could go either way, and that he personally is not confident enough in it to bet it. He says it is the one bout on his whole notes sheet lacking a pre-made pick, decides live on camera, and lands on Gilbert Burns -- while explicitly flagging that he might still change his mind. His own round-by-round math (a close first round, Burns favored in the middle rounds, Muhammad favored late) does not clearly favor the fighter he names.

A pressure-based wrestler with excellent takedown defense and top control -- once he gets on top he is described as a smothering, tar-soaked 'wet blanket,' very safe there and a hard man to finish from underneath. His boxing is developing with good volume but not real power; even in finishing Sean Brady he did it through sheer output rather than a single hard shot. What wins him fights, in the analyst's words, is insane cardio and the ability to control pace. His one blemish, a no-contest against Leon Edwards from an eye poke, is recorded as a scoring technicality, not a skill issue.

Strengthstellar/excellent takedown defense
Strengthbetter wrestler in this matchup -- pressure, control into dominant top position
Strengthvery safe on top, hard to submit from the back
Strengthdeveloping boxing with good volume
Strengthinsane cardio, strong pace control
Weaknessnot a ton of punching power -- wins on volume rather than a finishing shot
td defense · goodko power · lowchin · durable
vs Sean Brady coinflip UFC 280: Full Card Analysis, Preview, & Prediction · October 18, 2022 · 5 reads since

He calls the matchup 'razor thin' and takes Muhammad as the underdog, describing the bet as only 'a small stab,' not real conviction.

A high-level wrestler the analyst credits with a slightly better cage-push than Brady, great takedown defense, high volume on the feet, and standout cardio he calls among the best in the UFC. He notes Muhammad has fought and looked good against recent top competition, with his one blemish being a no-contest against the champion after an accidental eye poke, in a fight the analyst thought Muhammad was losing beforehand.

StrengthHigh-level wrestling with a slight cage-push edge over Brady
StrengthGreat takedown defense
StrengthHigh volume on the feet and standout cardio ('like nobody's business')
StrengthRelentless forward pressure that rarely lets up
WeaknessStriking 'doesn't look amazing' even though it is effective
WeaknessWas reportedly losing his one notable recent setback (a no-contest) before it ended on an accidental eye poke
pace · high volumetd defense · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
December 18, 2021 vs Stephen Thompson — 3.87/min (W) Dec '21 April 16, 2022 vs Vicente Luque — 2.4/min (W) Apr '22 October 22, 2022 vs Sean Brady — 8.18/min (W) Oct '22 May 6, 2023 vs Gilbert Burns — 5.28/min (W) May '23 July 27, 2024 vs Leon Edwards — 2.72/min (W) Jul '24 May 10, 2025 vs Jack Della Maddalena — 5.28/min (L) May '25 November 22, 2025 vs Ian Machado Garry — 3.73/min (L) Nov '25 June 6, 2026 vs Gabriel Bonfim — 3.44/min (L) Jun '26

Fight history

22 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Gabriel Bonfim 19-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · June 6, 2026
86/275Sig. strikes
128/260Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:08Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Ian Machado Garry 16-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · November 22, 2025
56/139Sig. strikes
72/141Absorbed
0/7Takedowns
3:35Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Jack Della Maddalena 17-2 walk-in TITLE Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025
132/318Sig. strikes
178/342Absorbed
3/9Takedowns
3:21Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Leon Edwards 22-3 walk-in TITLE Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 27, 2024
68/121Sig. strikes
47/71Absorbed
9/13Takedowns
12:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Gilbert Burns 22-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 6, 2023
132/283Sig. strikes
81/147Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Sean Brady 15-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 4:47 — UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · October 22, 2022
80/209Sig. strikes
58/118Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Vicente Luque 21-7-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · April 16, 2022
60/155Sig. strikes
84/184Absorbed
5/10Takedowns
7:29Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Stephen Thompson 16-5-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · December 18, 2021
58/95Sig. strikes
19/32Absorbed
7/9Takedowns
11:57Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Demian Maia 26-10 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · June 12, 2021
45/127Sig. strikes
21/53Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
NC Leon Edwards 18-3 walk-in Could Not Continue · R2 0:18 — UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · March 13, 2021
8/26Sig. strikes
19/39Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:33Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Dhiego Lima 15-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · February 13, 2021
129/264Sig. strikes
69/203Absorbed
1/10Takedowns
2:42Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Lyman Good 21-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · June 20, 2020
82/172Sig. strikes
81/172Absorbed
2/8Takedowns
1:44Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Takashi Sato 15-2 walk-in Submission · R3 1:55 — UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · September 7, 2019
49/106Sig. strikes
29/89Absorbed
2/9Takedowns
2:30Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Curtis Millender 17-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · April 13, 2019
47/107Sig. strikes
48/96Absorbed
2/6Takedowns
8:17Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Geoff Neal 10-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · January 19, 2019
63/204Sig. strikes
71/190Absorbed
0/7Takedowns
0:22Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Chance Rencountre 12-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · June 1, 2018
70/130Sig. strikes
16/123Absorbed
3/4Takedowns
2:02Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Tim Means 27-8-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · November 18, 2017
88/221Sig. strikes
91/234Absorbed
1/5Takedowns
0:21Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jordan Mein 29-11 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · July 8, 2017
45/110Sig. strikes
36/61Absorbed
4/12Takedowns
6:54Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Randy Brown 9-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · February 11, 2017
71/152Sig. strikes
52/145Absorbed
2/5Takedowns
5:52Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Vicente Luque 10-5-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:19 — UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · November 12, 2016
3/10Sig. strikes
9/21Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Augusto Montano 15-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 4:19 — UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · September 17, 2016
66/149Sig. strikes
67/149Absorbed
3/4Takedowns
3:28Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Alan Jouban 13-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · July 7, 2016
77/199Sig. strikes
86/169Absorbed
2/8Takedowns
3:01Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
24-6-0 (1 NC)Pro record
Roufusport (2013–present), Chicago Fight Team (2010–present), Valle Flow StrikingGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 5
Submission 1
Decision 18
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 5
Other 0

No contests: 1

Fights by organization

UFC 22
Hoosier Fight Club 4
Titan FC 3
Bellator 2
Full career — 31 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Gabriel Bonfim Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
June 6, 2026
UFC 5 5:00
L Ian Machado Garry Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
November 22, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
L Jack Della Maddalena Decision (unanimous) UFC 315
May 10, 2025
UFC 5 5:00
W Leon Edwards Decision (unanimous) UFC 304
July 27, 2024
UFC 5 5:00
W Gilbert Burns Decision (unanimous) UFC 288
May 6, 2023
UFC 5 5:00
W Sean Brady TKO (punches) UFC 280
October 22, 2022
UFC 2 4:47
W Vicente Luque Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2
April 16, 2022
UFC 5 5:00
W Stephen Thompson Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
December 18, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
W Demian Maia Decision (unanimous) UFC 263
June 12, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
NC Leon Edwards NC (accidental eye poke) UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
March 13, 2021
UFC 2 0:18
W Dhiego Lima Decision (unanimous) UFC 258
February 13, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
W Lyman Good Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Volkov
June 20, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
W Takashi Sato Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC 242
September 7, 2019
UFC 3 1:55
W Curtis Millender Decision (unanimous) UFC 236
April 13, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
L Geoff Neal Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
January 19, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
W Chance Rencountre Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
June 1, 2018
UFC 3 5:00
W Tim Means Decision (split) UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
November 19, 2017
UFC 3 5:00
W Jordan Mein Decision (unanimous) UFC 213
July 8, 2017
UFC 3 5:00
W Randy Brown Decision (unanimous) UFC 208
February 11, 2017
UFC 3 5:00
L Vicente Luque KO (punches) UFC 205
November 12, 2016
UFC 1 1:19
W Augusto Montaño TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
September 17, 2016
UFC 3 4:19
L Alan Jouban Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
July 7, 2016
UFC 3 5:00
W Steve Carl TKO (punches) Titan FC 38
April 30, 2016
Titan FC 4 4:07
W Zane Kamaka Decision (unanimous) Titan FC 35
September 19, 2015
Titan FC 3 5:00
W Keith Johnson Decision (unanimous) Titan FC 33
March 20, 2015
Titan FC 3 5:00
W Chris Curtis Decision (unanimous) Hoosier Fight Club 21
September 13, 2014
Hoosier Fight Club 3 5:00
W A.J. Matthews Decision (unanimous) Bellator 112
March 14, 2014
Bellator 3 5:00
W Garrett Gross Decision (unanimous) Hoosier Fight Club 18
November 9, 2013
Hoosier Fight Club 3 5:00
W Jimmy Fritz TKO (punches) Hoosier Fight Club 15
April 6, 2013
Hoosier Fight Club 2 2:19
W Quinton McCottrell Decision (unanimous) Bellator 84
December 14, 2012
Bellator 3 5:00
W Justin Brock TKO (punches) Hoosier Fight Club 12
August 18, 2012
Hoosier Fight Club 1 2:17

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Belal Muhammad) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 189 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.4 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 3.9 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 42.4% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 55.2% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 2.0 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 35.9% avg 40.2%
Takedown defense 90.6% avg 62.6%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.1 avg 0.6
Control time 21.9% avg 21.5%
Finish rate 20.0% avg 53.9%

Headshot of Belal Muhammad by Inaquout · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons · cropped and resized

Hero photo of Belal Muhammad by Inaquout · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons