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Austin Hubbard
Lightweight · “Thud”

Austin Hubbard

16-11-0 UFC 4-8-0
Granite Chin Durable Submission Risk
5'10"Height
71"Reach
OrthodoxStance
34Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
25.0%Finish rate
13:02Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 38 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Aug 2025 · stats read 25 → nudged -5 inside the band · tag counter striking: good (+1) · claims striking volume -1, striking technique +1, kicking +2 (+2) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · claims striking technique +1, counter striking +2 (+4) Striking D — Below avg, rated 33 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Above avg, rated 79 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Aug 2025 · stats read 78 → nudged +1 inside the band · claims chin +2 (+4) Wrestling — Average, rated 65 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: wrestling good · Oct 2024 · stats read 74 → nudged +6 inside the band · claims td offense +1 (+2) TD Defense — Average, rated 57 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: wrestling good (no takedown-defence tag), half-weighted with the stats read 58 Grappling — Below avg, rated 43 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Aug 2025 · stats read 30 → nudged -10 inside the band · tag sub defense: suspect (-3) · claims sub defense -1 (-1) Control — Average, rated 56 of 100 · claims top control +2 (+8) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking decent
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 307 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 2, 2024 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Nicolau vs Perez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 91) · April 23, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC 292 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · August 16, 2023 watch ↗
grappling good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling good whiteboard
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 307 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 2, 2024 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Nicolau vs Perez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 91) · April 23, 2024 watch ↗
cardio very good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • very good UFC 292 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · August 16, 2023 watch ↗
durability not yet read
striking decent 5 reads
grappling good 2 reads
wrestling good 2 reads · whiteboard
cardio very good 1 read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Wrestling, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Striking D.

Granite Chin never dropped in 156 minutes of cage time · 0 losses by knockout
Durable above avg durability — rates 79 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Aug 2025
Submission Risk 138 MMA · Aug 2023 tags sub defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.97
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.1
Striking accuracy42.0%
Striking defense55.2%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.63
Takedown accuracy28.8%
Takedown defense68.2%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.1
Control time17.5%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-5

Insider info

5 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Rongzhu lean UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025
strikingdecent grapplinggood wrestlinggood cardiovery good

He names a winner outright but immediately hedges the win itself, saying his gut tells him it ends up a split decision -- a real toss-up for the judges, not just a price comment.

A fair, tough-chinned striker -- a strong front kick, crisp straight punches, and explicitly rated well as a counter-puncher -- who also grapples well, landing fair takedowns and burying opponents under smothering top-side control, though he leaves his neck open on his own entries. His real calling card is a motor and pace the analyst says make him dangerous to anyone -- a man who can drag almost any opponent outside the top fifteen into an agonizingly close scorecard. As of 2025-08-18.

Strengthfair, tough-chinned striker with a strong front kick and a well-rated counter game
Strengthgrapples well: fair takedowns, smothering top-side control
Strengthelite motor/pace that grinds close decisions against almost anyone
Weaknessleaves his neck exposed on his own takedowns
chin · durablecounter striking · good
vs MarQuel Mederos lean UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 · 1 read since
strikingdecent grapplinggood wrestlinggood cardiovery good

winner named via internal naming inside a mistagged block: 'taking Maderos' -- the focus tag reads 'a' across segs 8-33, confirmed wrong by content match to Mederos's own board bullets and by seg15 naming Hubbard as the opponent of the block's subject.; a direct qualifier on the win itself: he is not sure Hubbard can't take the opening rounds, and notes several prospects have been upset this year -- more than a method/round hedge.

Veteran lightweight with more pro experience than his opponent. Decent striker with a good front kick and straight punches; counter-leaning habits can cut into his volume. Durable and relies on cardio to break opponents down, often taking over in round 3. Good grappler with solid takedowns but leaves his neck exposed in the process and can get overzealous on top.

Strengthfront kick
Strengthstraight punches
Strengthcardio/durability
Strengthtakedowns
Strengthsmothering top control, wears opponents down
Weaknesscounter-leaning habit limits volume
Weaknessleaves neck exposed on takedowns
Weaknesscan get overzealous on top
chin · durable
vs Alexander Hernandez lean UFC 307 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 2, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikingdecent wrestlinggood cardiovery good

Named plainly and repeatedly as the winner ('we're taking Austin Hubbard'), with a real mechanism (cardio/elevation edge, better recent form, Hernandez's inconsistency), but the analyst himself calls it 'maybe a narrative based pick' and concedes Hernandez may have more raw skill on paper -- a self-admitted qualifier on the reasoning behind the win, not just on price.

A durable, high-volume counter-striker who grinds opponents out once he lands a takedown. His decent striking and smothering top control are the stated path to victory, helped by an expected cardio edge at this card's elevation. The one technical flaw named is that he exposes his neck on takedown entries, which the analyst flags as a specific risk against an opponent with a real submission game.

Strengthdecent, efficient striker (front kicks, straights)
Strengthcounters well, and is durable enough to absorb a shot and fire back
Strengthsmothering top pressure with pretty good takedowns
Strengthbetter cardio projected for this matchup, especially at elevation
Weaknessleaves his neck exposed when shooting for takedowns
chin · durablecounter striking · good
vs Michal Figlak lean UFC Fight Night Nicolau vs Perez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 91) · April 23, 2024 · 3 reads since
strikingdecent wrestlinggood cardiovery good

Commits to Figlak with, in his own words, only the 'slightest bit of confidence.'

A wrestler who leans on cardio to grind opponents down over three rounds, with good takedowns and smothering top control, though he leaves his neck exposed at times. His own striking is called decent rather than good - a front kick and long, rangy straights - and once an opponent closes that range, countering is nearly the only tool he has left; he is durable enough to survive that exchange, which is the stated path for him to win late.

Strengthcardio-based grind that outlasts opponents late
Strengthgood takedowns, smothering top control
Strengthdurable enough to hang in bad exchanges
Weaknessleaves his neck exposed on takedowns at times
Weaknesslimited standing output once range closes - counter-striking is about all he has
chin · durablerange · long
vs Kurt Holobaugh clear UFC 292 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · August 16, 2023 · 4 reads since
strikinggood cardiovery good

Says he picked Holobaugh to win the whole Contender Series season and that hasn't changed; credits pressure, power and a strong submission arsenal, and notes he holds a related wager that is specifically not the Holobaugh moneyline.

Austin Hubbard is a good, durable striker with solid straight punches and a front kick, able to counter and absorb shots. His wrestling adds good takedowns and a smothering top game backed by strong cardio, but he is flagged for leaving his neck exposed on takedown entries -- a specific risk the analyst ties directly to Holobaugh's submission game.

Strengthdurable, good counter striking
Strengthfront kick
Strengthgood takedowns
Strengthsmothering top control
Strengthgood cardio
Weaknessleaves his neck exposed shooting takedowns
chin · durablesub defense · suspect

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
August 22, 2020 vs Joe Solecki — 2.34/min (L) — only 3.9 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '20 April 17, 2021 vs Dakota Bush — 4.47/min (W) Apr '21 August 21, 2021 vs Vinc Pichel — 3.73/min (L) Aug '21 August 19, 2023 vs Kurt Holobaugh — 5.75/min (L) Aug '23 April 27, 2024 vs Michal Figlak — 5.87/min (W) Apr '24 October 5, 2024 vs Alexander Hernandez — 4.2/min (L) Oct '24 March 29, 2025 vs MarQuel Mederos — 1.73/min (L) Mar '25 August 23, 2025 vs Rongzhu — 5.0/min (L) Aug '25

Fight history

12 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Rongzhu 26-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · August 23, 2025
75/226Sig. strikes
101/197Absorbed
2/12Takedowns
1:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L MarQuel Mederos 1-0 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · March 29, 2025
26/65Sig. strikes
44/68Absorbed
2/9Takedowns
7:34Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Alexander Hernandez 14-8 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · October 5, 2024
63/191Sig. strikes
79/204Absorbed
0/12Takedowns
0:05Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Michal Figlak 0-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · April 27, 2024
88/206Sig. strikes
92/210Absorbed
3/7Takedowns
0:48Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Kurt Holobaugh 19-7 walk-in Submission · R2 2:39 — UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · August 19, 2023
44/107Sig. strikes
61/119Absorbed
2/6Takedowns
2:23Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Vinc Pichel 13-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · August 21, 2021
56/152Sig. strikes
71/160Absorbed
4/7Takedowns
2:14Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Dakota Bush 0-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · April 17, 2021
67/115Sig. strikes
41/104Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
6:42Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Joe Solecki 9-2 walk-in Submission · R1 3:51 — UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · August 22, 2020
9/14Sig. strikes
13/20Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Max Rohskopf 0-0 walk-in TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R2 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · June 20, 2020
58/101Sig. strikes
17/54Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Mark Madsen 9-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · March 7, 2020
41/75Sig. strikes
15/58Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Kyle Prepolec 14-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · September 14, 2019
51/112Sig. strikes
44/122Absorbed
3/5Takedowns
5:42Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Davi Ramos 9-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · May 18, 2019
44/116Sig. strikes
63/114Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:49Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
16-11-0Pro record
Combat Zone MMA, Miletich Fighting Systems (2013–2016), Elevation Fight Team (2016–present)Gym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 4
Submission 3
Decision 9
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 4
Decision 7
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 12
Caged Aggression 8
LFA 2
Hoosier Fight Club 2
XMMA 1
Sparta Combat League 1
Pinnacle Combat 1
Full career — 27 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Kegan Gennrich Technical Submission (arm-triangle choke) Caged Aggression 41: Night 2
March 28, 2026
Caged Aggression 4 1:49
L Rong Zhu Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
August 23, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
L MarQuel Mederos Decision (split) UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg
March 29, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
L Alexander Hernandez Decision (split) UFC 307
October 5, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
W Michał Figlak Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez
April 27, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
L Kurt Holobaugh Submission (triangle choke) UFC 292
August 19, 2023
UFC 2 2:39
W Kegan Agnew Decision (unanimous) Caged Aggression 34
October 14, 2022
Caged Aggression 5 5:00
W Julian Lane Decision (unanimous) XMMA 5
July 23, 2022
XMMA 3 5:00
L Vinc Pichel Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
August 21, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
W Dakota Bush Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
April 17, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
L Joe Solecki Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC on ESPN: Munhoz vs. Edgar
August 22, 2020
UFC 1 3:51
W Max Rohskopf TKO (retirement) UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Volkov
June 20, 2020
UFC 2 5:00
L Mark Madsen Decision (unanimous) UFC 248
March 7, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
W Kyle Prepolec Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Gaethje
September 14, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
L Davi Ramos Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Lee
May 18, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
W Killys Mota TKO (punches) LFA 56
December 7, 2018
LFA 5 4:45
W Harvey Park Decision (unanimous) LFA 39
May 4, 2018
LFA 3 5:00
W Charlie Radtke Decision (unanimous) Caged Aggression 22
March 10, 2018
Caged Aggression 3 5:00
L Eric Wisely Decision (unanimous) Caged Aggression 20
October 7, 2017
Caged Aggression 3 5:00
W Cameron VanCamp Submission (rear-naked choke) Hoosier Fight Club 34
September 9, 2017
Hoosier Fight Club 3 2:44
W Kristian Nieto Decision (unanimous) Sparta Combat League 59
June 17, 2017
Sparta Combat League 5 5:00
W Cliff Wright Decision (unanimous) Caged Aggression 18
October 8, 2016
Caged Aggression 5 5:00
L Sean McMurray Submission (rear-naked choke) Hoosier Fight Club 30
September 10, 2016
Hoosier Fight Club 2 2:10
W Devoniere Jackson TKO (punches) Caged Aggression 17
April 2, 2016
Caged Aggression 2 3:47
W Demian Papagni TKO (submission to punches) Pinnacle Combat 22
January 23, 2016
Pinnacle Combat 2 0:40
W Jake Constant TKO (punches) Caged Aggression 16
December 5, 2015
Caged Aggression 1 1:36
W Deven Fisher Submission (guillotine choke) Caged Aggression: Sturgis 75th Anniversary Part 2
August 5, 2015
Caged Aggression 1 2:00

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Austin Hubbard) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.0 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 4.1 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 42.0% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 55.2% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 1.6 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 28.8% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 68.2% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.1 avg 0.6
Control time 17.5% avg 21.3%
Finish rate 25.0% avg 50.7%

Headshot of Austin Hubbard by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized