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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Andre Fialho
Welterweight

Andre Fialho

15-10-0 (1 NC) UFC 2-5-0
Striker Hard To Take Down KO-Prone Gets Dropped
6'0"Height
74"Reach
OrthodoxStance
32Age
2KO wins
0Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
8:44Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 63 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · May 2023 · stats read 46 → nudged -4 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · tag counter striking: good (+1) · claims striking power +2, striking technique +1, pressure +1 (+6) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · claims striking technique +1, counter striking +1 (+3) Striking D — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · claims striking defense -2 (-6) Durability — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · claims chin -2 (-4) Wrestling — Weak, rated 8 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Average, rated 58 of 100 · claims td defense -1 (-2) Grappling — Weak, rated 16 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Weak, rated 9 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Dern vs Hill Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Vegas 73) · May 16, 2023 watch ↗
  • very good UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Spivac Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 16, 2022 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 2 reads
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Durability, TD Defense · stats alone on Wrestling, Grappling, Control.

Built on 61 minutes of tracked cage time across 7 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker average striking — rates 63 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · May 2023
Hard To Take Down average td defense — rates 58 of 100 · claims td defense -1 (-2)
KO-Prone 4 of 5 losses came by knockout
Gets Dropped knocked down 4 times in 61 minutes of cage time
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.3
Sig. strikes absorbed / min6.26
Striking accuracy41.6%
Striking defense45.8%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.49
Takedowns / 15 min0.25
Takedown accuracy100.0%
Takedown defense66.7%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time3.4%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-5

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Joaquin Buckley coinflip UFC Fight Night Dern vs Hill Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Vegas 73) · May 16, 2023
strikinggood

says not confident in it whatsoever and names the pick as not very confident either

Good striking with forward pressure, knockout power and strong countering, built around constant lead-hand work mixing jab and hook so an opponent cannot read what is coming, with a right hand always ready. His takedown defense is good on the initial attempt but fades against sustained, chain wrestling. Known for a killer instinct once he hurts someone. Described as having been in many hard, grinding fights, which the analyst ties to being at a later, more worn point in his career than his opponent.

Strengthgood striking: forward pressure, KO power, counters, varied lead-hand attack
Strengthgood initial takedown defense
Strengthkiller instinct -- finishes once he hurts an opponent
Weaknesstakedown defense fades under sustained/chain wrestling
Weaknessdescribed as worn down from many hard fights, a factor in picking against him
ko power · goodcounter striking · good
vs Muslim Salikhov lean UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Spivac Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 16, 2022 · 1 read since
strikingvery good

States the pick plainly and repeatedly ('the official pick is Andre Fialho'), driven by named tangibles (age gap, reach), but frames the finish itself as close to a coinflip ('either [one] is going to knock out [the other]... run this 100 times, darn near 100 times somebody gets knocked out') and separately caps betting interest to the method market only.

A very good striker with a dangerous left hook and relentless forward pressure, willing to absorb a high volume of punishment to keep walking an opponent down and land his own shot. The analyst frames him as someone who can be rattled and stumbled by that same willingness to get hit, but who has age and reach advantages here.

Strengthvery good striking, dangerous left hook
Strengthrelentless forward pressure
Strengthage (28) and reach (74in) advantages in this matchup
Weaknessgets hit often and can be visibly rattled/stumbled
Weaknesswas knocked out in his most recent outing

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 7 fights · green = win
January 22, 2022 vs Michel Pereira — 3.0/min (L) Jan '22 April 16, 2022 vs Miguel Baeza — 6.88/min (W) — only 4.7 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Apr '22 May 7, 2022 vs Cameron VanCamp — 6.58/min (W) — only 2.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought May '22 June 11, 2022 vs Jake Matthews — 2.43/min (L) Jun '22 November 19, 2022 vs Muslim Salikhov — 1.54/min (L) Nov '22 May 20, 2023 vs Joaquin Buckley — 2.38/min (L) May '23 September 23, 2023 vs Tim Means — 4.53/min (L) Sep '23

Fight history

7 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Tim Means 32-15-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 1:15 — UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · September 23, 2023
51/103Sig. strikes
104/143Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:48Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Joaquin Buckley 15-6 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 4:15 — UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
22/51Sig. strikes
26/89Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:07Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Muslim Salikhov 18-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 1:03 — UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · November 19, 2022
17/66Sig. strikes
56/95Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:20Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Jake Matthews 17-5 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 2:24 — UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · June 11, 2022
18/51Sig. strikes
47/89Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Cameron VanCamp 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:35 — UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 7, 2022
17/24Sig. strikes
19/31Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Miguel Baeza 10-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:39 — UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · April 16, 2022
32/56Sig. strikes
24/58Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Michel Pereira 26-11 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · January 22, 2022
45/135Sig. strikes
107/202Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:45Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
15-10-0 (1 NC)Pro record
Kill Cliff FCGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 12
Submission 1
Decision 2
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 7
Submission 1
Decision 2
Other 0

No contests: 1

Fights by organization

UFC 7
Bellator 5
UAE Warriors 4
PFL 2
International Pro Combat 2
Ares FC 1
Ice Cage Fighting 1
XMMA 1

+ 3 more organizations in the full career list

Full career — 26 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Jordan Zébo Submission (rear-naked choke) Ares FC 42
July 3, 2026
Ares FC 4 4:50
W Olli Santalahti TKO (retirement) Ice Cage Fighting 7
May 16, 2026
Ice Cage Fighting 2 2:40
L Jakhongir Jumaev KO (punches) UAE Warriors 50
May 18, 2024
UAE Warriors 1 2:23
L Tim Means TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
September 23, 2023
UFC 3 1:15
L Joaquin Buckley TKO (head kick) UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
May 20, 2023
UFC 2 4:15
L Muslim Salikhov TKO (spinning wheel kick and punches) UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cuțelaba
November 19, 2022
UFC 3 1:03
L Jake Matthews KO (punches) UFC 275
June 11, 2022
UFC 2 2:24
W Cameron VanCamp KO (punch) UFC 274
May 7, 2022
UFC 1 2:35
W Miguel Baeza TKO (punches) UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2
April 16, 2022
UFC 1 4:39
L Michel Pereira Decision (unanimous) UFC 270
January 22, 2022
UFC 3 5:00
W Stefan Sekulić TKO (elbow and punches) UAE Warriors 24
October 29, 2021
UAE Warriors 1 1:53
W Lincoln Henrique KO (punches) UAE Warriors 22
September 4, 2021
UAE Warriors 1 4:47
W Yoo Sang-hoon TKO (punches) UAE Warriors 20
June 19, 2021
UAE Warriors 1 0:18
W James Vick TKO (punches) XMMA: Vick vs Fialho
January 30, 2021
XMMA 2 2:21
L Antônio dos Santos Jr. Decision (unanimous) LFA 92
October 2, 2020
LFA 3 5:00
NC Glaico França NC (overturned) PFL 7 (2019)
October 11, 2019
PFL 2 5:00
L Chris Curtis TKO (punches) PFL 1 (2019)
May 9, 2019
PFL 3 4:17
W Javier Torres Decision (majority) Bellator 207
October 12, 2018
Bellator 3 5:00
W A.J. Matthews Decision (split) Bellator 181
July 14, 2017
Bellator 3 5:00
L Chidi Njokuani TKO (punches) Bellator 167
December 3, 2016
Bellator 1 0:21
W Rick Reger KO (punches) Bellator 154
May 14, 2016
Bellator 1 2:11
W Manuel Meraz KO (punches) Bellator 150
February 26, 2016
Bellator 1 0:29
W Alvaro Sanches KO (punches) International Pro Combat 6
January 26, 2015
International Pro Combat 1 0:53
W Carlos Antonio de Souza TKO (punches) Cage Fighters 4
November 30, 2014
Cage Fighters 1 2:31
W Nuno Faria Submission (rear-naked choke) International Pro Combat 5
November 2, 2014
International Pro Combat 1 3:17
W Henry Deiby Lima TKO (punches) Invictus Pro MMA League 1
July 27, 2014
Invictus Pro MMA League 1 3:46

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (André Fialho) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 189 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.3 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 6.3 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 41.6% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 45.8% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.2 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 100.0% avg 40.2%
Takedown defense 66.7% avg 62.6%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 3.4% avg 21.5%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 53.9%

Headshot of Andre Fialho by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized