Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Adam Fugitt
Welterweight

Adam Fugitt

10-6-0 UFC 2-4-0
Forward Pressure Relentless Attack Gets Dropped KO-Prone
6'1"Height
77"Reach
SouthpawStance
37Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
7:39Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 53 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Jan 2026 · stats read 49 → nudged -3 inside the band · tag counter striking: good (+1) · claims striking technique -2, kicking +2, hand speed -1 (-2) Accuracy — Average, rated 53 of 100 · claims striking technique -2, counter striking +1 (-3) Striking D — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking defence marked as a minus · stats read 16 → nudged -7 inside the band · claims striking defense -2 (-6) Durability — Weak, rated 12 of 100 · 138 MMA read him durable · Jan 2026, before his knockout loss on 2026-01-24 — stats lead, that read only steps · claims chin +3 (+6) Wrestling — Average, rated 62 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling good · Jun 2024 · stats read 62 → nudged +2 inside the band · claims td offense +1, clinch +1 (+3) TD Defense — Average, rated 55 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling good (no takedown-defence tag), half-weighted with the stats read 53 Grappling — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Jan 2026 · stats read 24 → nudged -5 inside the band Control — Below avg, rated 36 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 324 · January 20, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC 318 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 15, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC 289 Full Card Breakdown Analysis And Prediction · June 6, 2023 watch ↗
  • very good UFC Vegas 68 Full Card Breakdown (Road to UFC Finals) · January 31, 2023 watch ↗
grappling decent
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC 324 · January 20, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 318 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 15, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 watch ↗
striking good 5 reads
grappling decent 2 reads
wrestling good 1 read
cardio not yet read
durability good 1 read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Striking D, Wrestling, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Durability, TD Defense · stats alone on Control.

Built on 45 minutes of tracked cage time across 6 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Forward Pressure 4.9 landed and 5.3 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Relentless Attack 82 offensive actions per 15 min — strikes, takedown and submission attempts together
Gets Dropped knocked down 5 times in 45 minutes of cage time
KO-Prone 3 of 4 losses came by knockout
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.88
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.33
Striking accuracy46.8%
Striking defense51.4%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.63
Takedown accuracy22.7%
Takedown defense50.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time12.7%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-2

Insider info

5 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Ty Miller clear UFC 324 · January 20, 2026
strikinggood grapplingdecent wrestlinggood durabilitygood

Direct pick with reasoning ('I think he's good'); a generic closing disclaimer follows the tagged sign-off, not a hedge tied to this fight specifically.

A good striker whose best weapon is his kicking, including a fast head kick, and who counters well after absorbing a shot. His striking defense is weak, but he is durable enough to take punishment and fire back. Decent grappling -- a fairly high volume of takedown attempts mixed with slams -- is framed as his best realistic path to victory, since analyst does not think he can out-strike Miller over three rounds.

Strengthkicking game, especially a fast head kick
Strengthcounters well off absorbed shots
Strengthdurable, takes punishment well
Strengthmixes in a decent volume of takedowns and slams
Weaknesshis guard on the feet is a clear liability
Weaknessoutmatched standing against Miller's boxing, per analyst
chin · durablecounter striking · good
vs Islam Dulatov clear UFC 318 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 15, 2025 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingdecent wrestlinggood durabilitygood

He expects Dulatov to look clean on the feet and stop enough takedowns to control the fight, calling it a likely 'clinic' in his debut; the only hedge offered is about betting value at -575, not about who wins.

A good striker with strong kicks and a quick head kick, plus a real counter game the analyst thinks can catch a man coming in on a barrage. His own striking defense has been an issue before, though he is durable enough to grit through it. His grappling is decent: he mixes in high-volume takedown attempts and hits hard slams, on top of an overall well-rounded game, though striking is his stronger side.

Strengthgood kicks, fast head kick
Strengthcapable counter striker
Strengthdurable, absorbs punishment
Strengthhigh-volume takedown mixing
Strengthhard slams
Weaknessstriking defense has been an issue before
chin · durable
vs Josh Quinlan coinflip UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikinggood wrestlinggood durabilitygood

He states plainly that he holds zero confidence in this specific pick and that the fight could break either direction, immediately after naming Fugitt -- an explicit, stated low-confidence pick, recorded faithfully rather than upgraded.

Our words: a good striker with good kicks, including a quick head kick the analyst calls probably his best weapon, and decent counters, though his striking defense leaves something to be desired. Durability has held up so far but the analyst says it could go at any time. A good wrestler with good slams and good takedown volume, which the analyst frames as his likeliest path to winning this one.

Strengthgood kicks (fast head kick)
Strengthdecent counters
Strengthdurability shown so far
Strengthgood wrestling (slams, takedown volume)
Weaknessstriking defense leaves something to be desired
Weaknessdurability described as uncertain going forward
chin · durablecounter striking · good
vs Mike Malott lean UFC 289 Full Card Breakdown Analysis And Prediction · June 6, 2023 · 3 reads since
strikinggood

A moderate lean toward Malott on recent form, paired with an explicit acknowledgment that picking the other side would be reasonable, and a stated preference to play the under rather than either corner.

Adam Fugitt's offense runs through good Muay Thai, and within that his kicking stands out most -- a quick, dangerous shot to the head in particular -- alongside a credible counter-striking game, though his guard does not fully solve his defensive hole. He is durable enough to weather damage and fire back, and he also mixes in wrestling, favoring slams and a heavy rate of attempted takedowns to drag things to the floor.

Strengthgood Muay Thai, dangerous head kick
Strengthgood counter striking
Strengthdurable
Strengthwrestling with slams and high takedown volume
Weaknessstriking defense not great despite a guard
chin · durablecounter striking · good
vs Yusaku Kinoshita lean UFC Vegas 68 Full Card Breakdown (Road to UFC Finals) · January 31, 2023 · 4 reads since
strikingvery good

The analyst picks Kinoshita but spends real time on Fugitt's live path to victory and says he does not like the odds.

A 34-year-old welterweight who took his most recent fight on short notice against a highly regarded prospect and performed well despite losing. He has good kickboxing and very good Muay Thai with solid counters, and his kicks are singled out as his best tool -- an advantage if he can keep the fight at kicking range rather than a pure boxing exchange. His clinch game is fine, and mixing in his wrestling is called a real, underrated path to victory.

Strengthgood kickboxing and very good Muay Thai, with solid counters
Strengthstrong kicks, especially at kicking range
Strengthclinch game is fine
Strengthperformed well in a tough short-notice step-up loss
Weaknessloses a pure boxing exchange to Kinoshita's faster hands
range · long

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 6 fights · green = win
July 30, 2022 vs Michael Morales — 5.74/min (L) Jul '22 February 4, 2023 vs Yusaku Kinoshita — 4.57/min (W) — only 4.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Feb '23 June 10, 2023 vs Mike Malott — 1.48/min (L) Jun '23 June 15, 2024 vs Josh Quinlan — 5.33/min (W) Jun '24 July 19, 2025 vs Islam Dulatov — 3.41/min (L) — only 4.1 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jul '25 January 24, 2026 vs Ty Miller — 7.22/min (L) — only 5.0 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jan '26

Fight history

6 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Ty Miller 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:59 — UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · January 24, 2026
36/73Sig. strikes
59/121Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Islam Dulatov 11-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:06 — UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · July 19, 2025
14/27Sig. strikes
21/41Absorbed
0/3Takedowns
0:59Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Josh Quinlan 1-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · June 15, 2024
80/205Sig. strikes
53/126Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Mike Malott 9-1-1 walk-in Submission · R2 1:06 — UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · June 10, 2023
9/28Sig. strikes
19/41Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:07Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Yusaku Kinoshita 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:36 — UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · February 4, 2023
21/33Sig. strikes
10/24Absorbed
4/7Takedowns
2:53Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Michael Morales 13-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 1:09 — UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · July 30, 2022
64/113Sig. strikes
83/151Absorbed
1/8Takedowns
1:51Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
10-6-0Pro record
Art of War MMAGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 5
Submission 3
Decision 2
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 4
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 6
Prime Fighting 3
LFA 2
X-1 World Events 2
PureCombat 1
CageSport 1
Arena Wars 1
Full career — 16 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Ty Miller TKO (knee and punches) UFC 324
January 24, 2026
UFC 1 4:59
L Islam Dulatov KO (punches) UFC 318
July 19, 2025
UFC 1 4:06
W Josh Quinlan Decision (split) UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira
June 15, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
L Michael Morales TKO (punches) UFC 277
July 30, 2023
UFC 3 1:09
L Mike Malott Submission (guillotine choke) UFC 289
June 10, 2023
UFC 2 1:06
W Yusaku Kinoshita TKO (elbows) UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac
February 4, 2023
UFC 1 4:36
W Solomon Renfro TKO (punches) LFA 125
February 25, 2022
LFA 1 0:43
W Devon Brock TKO (elbows) PureCombat: Battle For The Brave
November 16, 2019
PureCombat 2 1:44
W Reno Remigio Submission (rear-naked choke) X-1 World Events 54
April 27, 2019
X-1 World Events 3 1:30
W Johnavan Vistante Submission (kimura) X-1 World Events 51
January 19, 2019
X-1 World Events 2 2:23
L Kailan Hill KO (punch) LFA 51
September 28, 2018
LFA 1 1:31
W Travis LeBrun Submission (rear-naked choke) CageSport 51
May 5, 2018
CageSport 2 2:33
W T.J. Koehler TKO (punches) Prime Fighting 10
September 30, 2017
Prime Fighting 1 1:51
L Austin Vanderford Decision (unanimous) Arena Wars: Total Kombat
July 8, 2017
Arena Wars 3 5:00
W Hamza Salim Decision (unanimous) Prime Fighting 9
March 11, 2017
Prime Fighting 3 5:00
W Amin Kajtaz TKO (punches) Prime Fighting 8
October 8, 2016
Prime Fighting 2 3:57

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Adam Fugitt) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 189 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.9 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 5.3 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 46.8% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 51.4% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 1.6 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 22.7% avg 40.2%
Takedown defense 50.0% avg 62.6%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 12.7% avg 21.5%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 53.9%

Headshot of Adam Fugitt by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized