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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Timmy Cuamba vs. Bolaji Oki

UFC 3-3-0 vs. 2-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
3-3-0
UFC record
2-4-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
27
AgeΔ 3 yrs
30
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 2"
73"
Orthodox3-3 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox2-4 vs orthodox fighters
0.6
Layoff (months)Δ 0.2 mo
0.4
WLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Timmy Cuamba hunts takedowns — 2.17 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Bolaji Oki outworks the Lightweight division — 5.84 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.43 norm.
Bolaji Oki absorbs 5.14 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Timmy Cuamba

Full career not yet synced for Timmy Cuamba — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Bolaji Oki

Full career not yet synced for Bolaji Oki — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1992.88/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
4155.84/min · norm 3.43
2263.27/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3655.14/min · norm 3.37
45.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
47.1%norm 43.7%
57.6%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
59.5%norm 56.3%
10.22/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.21/15 · norm 0.23

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Timmy Cuamba

Distance 87.6% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 5.5% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 6.9% (norm 6.4%)

Bolaji Oki

Distance 91.4% (norm 83.0%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 7.1%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Timmy Cuamba

Head 75.5% (norm 77.5%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 8.4%)

Bolaji Oki

Head 78.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cuamba L/AAccBantamweight med Oki L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 158 / 382 41.4% 39.2% 368 / 805 45.7% 38.4%
In the clinch 19 / 24 too few to rate 69.0% 32 / 43 74.4% 67.5%
On the ground 22 / 30 73.3% 70.2% 15 / 33 45.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 124 / 329 37.7% 35.3% 281 / 694 40.5% 35.3%
To the body 50 / 66 75.8% 66.9% 101 / 148 68.2% 69.2%
To the legs 25 / 41 61.0% 79.2% 33 / 39 84.6% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 121 fighters · Lightweight: 205 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cuamba L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Oki L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 188 / 486 38.7% 39.4% 308 / 812 37.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 11 / 17 too few to rate 70.6% 22 / 35 62.9% 68.6%
On the ground 27 / 30 90.0% 72.1% 35 / 55 63.6% 68.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 145 / 413 35.1% 34.9% 254 / 728 34.9% 35.2%
To the body 42 / 69 60.9% 66.1% 65 / 107 60.7% 68.2%
To the legs 39 / 51 76.5% 78.8% 46 / 67 68.7% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1043.5% acc · 2.17/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
660.0% acc · 1.27/15 · norm 1.34
1168.8% def · norm 65.7%
Takedowns stopped
1270.6% def · norm 63.2%
15:1822.1% of cage time · norm 17.8%
Control time
9:2713.3% of cage time · norm 19.0%
13:142:52 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control lower is better
8:251:46 per 15 · norm 2:50
10.22/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cuamba has more cage time on record.