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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Sijara Eubanks vs. Elise Reed

UFC 5-5-0 vs. 4-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-5-0
UFC record
4-6-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
41
AgeΔ 8 yrs
33
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'3"
67"
ReachΔ 4"
63"
Orthodox5-5 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox2-6 vs orthodox fighters
58.6
Layoff (months)Δ 56.1 mo
2.5
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Sijara Eubanks hunts takedowns — 1.89 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.93 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Sijara Eubanks carries real power — 0.11 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.06 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Elise Reed rarely shoots — 0.41 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Sijara Eubanks

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 55
Tier 3 — regional circuit 22

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.54 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Elise Reed

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 55
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 2 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5784.30/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
3823.50/min · norm 3.77
4613.43/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
4544.16/min · norm 4.00
43.2%norm 46.3%
Striking accuracy
52.3%norm 44.5%
57.1%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
48.2%norm 54.4%
10.11/15 · norm 0.06
Knockdowns
10.14/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sijara Eubanks

Distance 82.0% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 13.7% (norm 6.2%)

Elise Reed

Distance 90.7% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 5.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sijara Eubanks

Head 85.1% (norm 75.7%) · Body 11.5% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 3.4% (norm 8.4%)

Elise Reed

Head 65.9% (norm 76.6%) · Body 18.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 15.9% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Eubanks L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Reed L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 419 / 1097 38.2% 38.3% 323 / 662 48.8% 38.3%
In the clinch 39 / 57 68.4% 75.2% 45 / 52 86.5% 72.6%
On the ground 120 / 183 65.6% 70.8% 14 / 16 too few to rate 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 437 / 1138 38.4% 37.0% 200 / 481 41.6% 35.4%
To the body 100 / 154 64.9% 71.2% 98 / 133 73.7% 69.3%
To the legs 41 / 45 91.1% 80.8% 84 / 116 72.4% 78.5%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Eubanks L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Reed L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 377 / 963 39.1% 41.3% 317 / 689 46.0% 39.7%
In the clinch 60 / 80 75.0% 74.7% 67 / 85 78.8% 71.7%
On the ground 24 / 31 77.4% 74.2% 70 / 102 68.6% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 343 / 910 37.7% 38.1% 281 / 653 43.0% 36.0%
To the body 73 / 110 66.4% 73.2% 92 / 129 71.3% 68.9%
To the legs 45 / 54 83.3% 80.7% 81 / 94 86.2% 79.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1744.7% acc · 1.89/15 · norm 0.93
Takedowns landed
360.0% acc · 0.41/15 · norm 1.10
1466.7% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
2652.0% def · norm 64.1%
47:0235.0% of cage time · norm 25.2%
Control time
8:357.9% of cage time · norm 19.0%
20:472:19 per 15 · norm 3:20
Time under control lower is better
42:165:48 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.33/15 · norm 0.38
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Eubanks has more cage time on record.