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UFC simulation vs. the market Fight

Sijara Eubanks vs. Bethe Correia

UFC 5-5-0 vs. 5-6-1

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-5-0
UFC record
5-6-1
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
41
AgeΔ 2 yrs
43
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'5"
67"
ReachΔ 3"
64"
Orthodox5-5 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox5-5-1 vs orthodox fighters
58.6
Layoff (months)Δ 2.5 mo
61.1
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Sijara Eubanks hunts takedowns — 1.89 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.93 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Sijara Eubanks carries real power — 0.11 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.06 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Bethe Correia rarely shoots — 0.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.93 Women's Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Sijara Eubanks

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 55
Tier 3 — regional circuit 22

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.54 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Bethe Correia

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 2 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5784.30/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
6644.37/min · norm 3.56
4613.43/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
7504.93/min · norm 3.47
43.2%norm 46.3%
Striking accuracy
43.8%norm 46.3%
57.1%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
56.0%norm 52.5%
10.11/15 · norm 0.06
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.06

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sijara Eubanks

Distance 82.0% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 13.7% (norm 6.2%)

Bethe Correia

Distance 91.2% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 6.2%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sijara Eubanks

Head 85.1% (norm 75.7%) · Body 11.5% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 3.4% (norm 8.4%)

Bethe Correia

Head 73.2% (norm 75.7%) · Body 16.4% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Eubanks L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Correia L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 419 / 1097 38.2% 38.3% 573 / 1381 41.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 39 / 57 68.4% 75.2% 87 / 127 68.5% 75.2%
On the ground 120 / 183 65.6% 70.8% 4 / 7 too few to rate 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 437 / 1138 38.4% 37.0% 381 / 1109 34.4% 37.0%
To the body 100 / 154 64.9% 71.2% 163 / 248 65.7% 71.2%
To the legs 41 / 45 91.1% 80.8% 120 / 158 75.9% 80.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Eubanks L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Correia L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 377 / 963 39.1% 41.3% 583 / 1487 39.2% 41.3%
In the clinch 60 / 80 75.0% 74.7% 119 / 162 73.5% 74.7%
On the ground 24 / 31 77.4% 74.2% 48 / 57 84.2% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 343 / 910 37.7% 38.1% 505 / 1400 36.1% 38.1%
To the body 73 / 110 66.4% 73.2% 153 / 201 76.1% 73.2%
To the legs 45 / 54 83.3% 80.7% 92 / 105 87.6% 80.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1744.7% acc · 1.89/15 · norm 0.93
Takedowns landed
418.2% acc · 0.39/15 · norm 0.93
1466.7% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1885.7% def · norm 62.5%
47:0235.0% of cage time · norm 25.2%
Control time
19:3812.9% of cage time · norm 25.2%
20:472:19 per 15 · norm 3:20
Time under control lower is better
12:521:16 per 15 · norm 3:20
30.33/15 · norm 0.38
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Correia has more cage time on record.