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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Sara McMann vs. Ronda Rousey

UFC 7-6-0 vs. 6-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
7-6-0
UFC record
6-2-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
46
AgeΔ 7 yrs
39
5'6"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
66"
ReachΔ 0"
66"
Orthodox6-6 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox5-1 vs orthodox fighters
55.4
Layoff (months)Δ 62.8 mo
118.2
WLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Ronda Rousey has owned orthodox fighters — 5-1 in the UFC (1-1 vs everyone else), and Sara McMann is orthodox.
Ronda Rousey carries real power — 1.21 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.06 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Ronda Rousey is a submission threat — 3.03 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Women's Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Sara McMann

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.88 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Ronda Rousey

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 62
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.7 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 15 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2592.09/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
1184.77/min · norm 3.56
2552.06/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1174.73/min · norm 3.47
44.4%norm 46.3%
Striking accuracy
52.0%norm 46.3%
44.1%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
40.6%norm 52.5%
10.12/15 · norm 0.06
Knockdowns
21.21/15 · norm 0.06

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sara McMann

Distance 59.5% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 11.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 29.0% (norm 6.2%)

Ronda Rousey

Distance 55.9% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 29.1% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 15.0% (norm 6.2%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sara McMann

Head 78.4% (norm 75.7%) · Body 16.0% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.4%)

Ronda Rousey

Head 82.4% (norm 75.7%) · Body 12.3% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone McMann L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Rousey L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 90 / 347 25.9% 38.3% 39 / 127 30.7% 38.3%
In the clinch 55 / 67 82.1% 75.2% 50 / 66 75.8% 75.2%
On the ground 114 / 169 67.5% 70.8% 29 / 34 85.3% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 166 / 457 36.3% 37.0% 83 / 187 44.4% 37.0%
To the body 67 / 93 72.0% 71.2% 24 / 28 85.7% 71.2%
To the legs 26 / 33 78.8% 80.8% 11 / 12 too few to rate 80.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs McMann L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Rousey L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 109 / 282 38.7% 41.3% 85 / 150 56.7% 41.3%
In the clinch 55 / 65 84.6% 74.7% 28 / 42 66.7% 74.7%
On the ground 91 / 109 83.5% 74.2% 4 / 5 too few to rate 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 193 / 384 50.3% 38.1% 95 / 172 55.2% 38.1%
To the body 43 / 52 82.7% 73.2% 16 / 19 too few to rate 73.2%
To the legs 19 / 20 too few to rate 80.7% 6 / 6 too few to rate 80.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2756.3% acc · 3.27/15 · norm 0.93
Takedowns landed
872.7% acc · 4.85/15 · norm 0.93
125.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
250.0% def · norm 62.5%
70:2156.8% of cage time · norm 25.2%
Control time
11:5248.0% of cage time · norm 25.2%
20:332:29 per 15 · norm 3:20
Time under control lower is better
3:081:54 per 15 · norm 3:20
40.48/15 · norm 0.38
Submission attempts
53.03/15 · norm 0.38

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — McMann has more cage time on record.