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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston

UFC 1-3-0 vs. 3-1-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
1-3-0
UFC record
3-1-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
36
AgeΔ 5 yrs
31
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
6'3"
75"
ReachΔ 3"
78"
Orthodox1-2 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox2-1 vs orthodox fighters
1.3
Layoff (months)Δ 0.9 mo
0.4
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Cam Rowston owns the mat — in control 45% of cage time, vs a 19% Middleweight norm.
Robert Bryczek rarely shoots — 0.26 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.
Cam Rowston carries real power — 0.53 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Robert Bryczek

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 12
Tier 3 — regional circuit 175

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.65 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Cam Rowston

Full career not yet synced for Cam Rowston — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1542.72/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
1495.22/min · norm 3.23
2123.74/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
642.24/min · norm 3.20
40.1%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
47.2%norm 47.4%
54.2%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
50.8%norm 53.8%
10.26/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.53/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Robert Bryczek

Distance 88.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 5.5% (norm 10.0%)

Cam Rowston

Distance 57.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 3.2% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 39.2% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Robert Bryczek

Head 77.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 18.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 4.7% (norm 8.4%)

Cam Rowston

Head 86.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 8.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Bryczek L/AAccMiddleweight med Rowston L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 124 / 338 36.7% 40.5% 73 / 182 40.1% 40.5%
In the clinch 14 / 25 56.0% 70.7% 8 / 10 too few to rate 70.7%
On the ground 16 / 21 too few to rate 69.4% 68 / 124 54.8% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 102 / 297 34.3% 38.8% 118 / 272 43.4% 38.8%
To the body 40 / 69 58.0% 71.6% 14 / 26 53.8% 71.6%
To the legs 12 / 18 too few to rate 83.3% 17 / 18 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Bryczek L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Rowston L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 152 / 374 40.6% 39.5% 62 / 126 49.2% 39.5%
In the clinch 14 / 22 too few to rate 70.4% 2 / 4 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 46 / 67 68.7% 69.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 145 / 375 38.7% 37.7% 32 / 91 35.2% 37.7%
To the body 20 / 35 57.1% 71.3% 10 / 14 too few to rate 71.3%
To the legs 47 / 53 88.7% 82.0% 22 / 25 88.0% 82.0%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1100.0% acc · 0.26/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
450.0% acc · 2.10/15 · norm 1.35
2379.3% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
1100.0% def · norm 63.3%
1:573.4% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
12:5645.3% of cage time · norm 19.4%
25:016:36 per 15 · norm 2:58
Time under control lower is better
0:310:16 per 15 · norm 2:58
10.26/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Bryczek has more cage time on record.