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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Ramazan Temirov vs. Charles Johnson

UFC 3-1-0 vs. 9-7-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
3-1-0
UFC record
9-7-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
29
AgeΔ 6 yrs
35
5'4"
HeightΔ 5"
5'9"
63"
ReachΔ 7"
70"
Orthodox1-0 vs switch-stance fighters
Stance
Switch5-5 vs orthodox fighters
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 2.3 mo
2.7
LWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Ramazan Temirov carries real power — 2.81 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Charles Johnson carries real power — 0.30 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Charles Johnson rarely shoots — 0.44 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Ramazan Temirov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 50
Tier 3 — regional circuit 143

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.26 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Charles Johnson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 61
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1234.62/min · norm 3.48
Sig. strikes landed
9344.60/min · norm 3.48
1043.90/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
7973.93/min · norm 3.24
41.7%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
49.5%norm 44.6%
59.7%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
55.5%norm 56.4%
52.81/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
40.30/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ramazan Temirov

Distance 90.5% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 3.1% (norm 7.5%)

Charles Johnson

Distance 87.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 9.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ramazan Temirov

Head 86.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 12.2% (norm 13.0%) · Legs 1.4% (norm 9.3%)

Charles Johnson

Head 65.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 21.0% (norm 13.0%) · Legs 13.2% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Temirov L/AAccFlyweight med Johnson L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 109 / 267 40.8% 39.9% 769 / 1645 46.7% 39.9%
In the clinch 9 / 19 too few to rate 70.1% 124 / 177 70.1% 70.1%
On the ground 5 / 9 too few to rate 71.1% 41 / 63 65.1% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 100 / 255 39.2% 37.6% 472 / 1241 38.0% 37.6%
To the body 19 / 36 52.8% 68.7% 269 / 396 67.9% 68.7%
To the legs 4 / 4 too few to rate 79.7% 193 / 248 77.8% 79.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Temirov L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Johnson L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 82 / 229 35.8% 39.9% 711 / 1662 42.8% 39.9%
In the clinch 21 / 28 75.0% 68.8% 58 / 90 64.4% 68.8%
On the ground 1 / 1 too few to rate 70.4% 28 / 40 70.0% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 53 / 186 28.5% 35.4% 425 / 1274 33.4% 35.4%
To the body 29 / 44 65.9% 67.9% 187 / 287 65.2% 67.9%
To the legs 22 / 28 78.6% 79.7% 185 / 231 80.1% 79.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
150.0% acc · 0.56/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
614.6% acc · 0.44/15 · norm 1.30
4100.0% def · norm 61.2%
Takedowns stopped
8766.9% def · norm 61.2%
0:342.1% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
11:595.9% of cage time · norm 17.0%
1:270:48 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control lower is better
56:054:08 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
60.44/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Johnson has more cage time on record.