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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Preston Parsons vs. Jacobe Smith

UFC 2-4-0 vs. 5-0-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-4-0
UFC record
5-0-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
31
AgeΔ 1 yrs
30
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox0-2 vs southpaws
Stance
Southpaw3-0 vs orthodox fighters
21.7
Layoff (months)Δ 21.6 mo
0.1
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Preston Parsons is a submission threat — 2.31 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Jacobe Smith hunts takedowns — 4.02 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Jacobe Smith owns the mat — in control 52% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Preston Parsons

Full career not yet synced for Preston Parsons — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Jacobe Smith

Full career not yet synced for Jacobe Smith — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2303.54/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1424.76/min · norm 3.17
2113.25/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
682.28/min · norm 3.08
51.8%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
62.6%norm 44.75%
54.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
51.1%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.50/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Preston Parsons

Distance 77.0% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 9.7% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 13.3% (norm 8.1%)

Jacobe Smith

Distance 65.2% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 1.3% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 33.5% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Preston Parsons

Head 77.5% (norm 78.3%) · Body 9.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 8.0%)

Jacobe Smith

Head 71.4% (norm 78.3%) · Body 15.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 13.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Parsons L/AAccWelterweight med Smith L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 152 / 342 44.4% 38.5% 80 / 148 54.1% 38.5%
In the clinch 31 / 43 72.1% 67.8% 3 / 3 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 47 / 59 79.7% 67.0% 59 / 76 77.6% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 144 / 344 41.9% 36.4% 96 / 162 59.3% 36.4%
To the body 33 / 43 76.7% 70.7% 28 / 35 80.0% 70.7%
To the legs 53 / 57 93.0% 83.1% 18 / 30 60.0% 83.1%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Parsons L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Smith L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 173 / 413 41.9% 39.1% 59 / 123 48.0% 39.1%
In the clinch 15 / 22 too few to rate 68.9% 5 / 8 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 23 / 33 69.7% 68.0% 4 / 8 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 161 / 405 39.8% 35.6% 34 / 94 36.2% 35.6%
To the body 27 / 38 71.1% 69.6% 17 / 25 68.0% 69.6%
To the legs 23 / 25 92.0% 82.1% 17 / 20 too few to rate 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1536.6% acc · 3.46/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
888.9% acc · 4.02/15 · norm 1.31
571.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4100.0% def · norm 63.9%
21:4333.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
15:3752.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
14:273:20 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
0:040:02 per 15 · norm 3:15
102.31/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
10.50/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Parsons has more cage time on record.