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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Patricio Freire vs. Dan Ige

UFC 2-2-0 vs. 11-11-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-2-0
UFC record
11-11-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
39
AgeΔ 4 yrs
35
5'6"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
67"
ReachΔ 4"
71"
Orthodox2-2 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox8-8 vs orthodox fighters
1.5
Layoff (months)Δ 0.3 mo
1.8
WLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Patricio Freire hunts takedowns — 1.86 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.17 Featherweight norm.
Dan Ige rarely shoots — 0.71 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.17 Featherweight norm.
Patricio Freire absorbs 4.89 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.54 Featherweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Patricio Freire

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 259
Tier 3 — regional circuit 120

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 25 tier-1/2 wins · 24 finish wins over 46 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Dan Ige

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1210
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 41

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1593.28/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
9603.48/min · norm 3.52
2374.89/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
10073.65/min · norm 3.54
51.3%norm 44.8%
Striking accuracy
43.9%norm 44.8%
49.9%norm 54.8%
Striking defense
56.3%norm 54.8%
10.31/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
70.38/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Patricio Freire

Distance 86.5% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 6.4%)

Dan Ige

Distance 86.6% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 5.4% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 8.1% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Patricio Freire

Head 79.0% (norm 77.5%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 7.9%)

Dan Ige

Head 78.9% (norm 77.5%) · Body 14.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Freire L/AAccFeatherweight med Ige L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 122 / 268 45.5% 40.7% 756 / 1892 40.0% 40.7%
In the clinch 24 / 26 92.3% 70.5% 74 / 117 63.2% 70.5%
On the ground 13 / 16 too few to rate 69.1% 130 / 177 73.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 107 / 245 43.7% 37.2% 626 / 1725 36.3% 37.2%
To the body 34 / 42 81.0% 68.4% 214 / 316 67.7% 68.4%
To the legs 18 / 23 too few to rate 80.7% 120 / 145 82.8% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 129 fighters · Featherweight: 129 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Freire L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Ige L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 189 / 407 46.4% 39.3% 804 / 2004 40.1% 39.3%
In the clinch 13 / 19 too few to rate 70.3% 98 / 137 71.5% 70.3%
On the ground 35 / 47 74.5% 69.5% 105 / 163 64.4% 69.5%
BY TARGET
To the head 158 / 373 42.4% 35.9% 711 / 1886 37.7% 35.9%
To the body 47 / 65 72.3% 68.1% 184 / 284 64.8% 68.1%
To the legs 32 / 35 91.4% 81.1% 112 / 134 83.6% 81.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
646.2% acc · 1.86/15 · norm 1.17
Takedowns landed
1321.7% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.17
750.0% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
4256.0% def · norm 61.5%
3:528.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
30:4111.1% of cage time · norm 16.5%
5:161:37 per 15 · norm 3:11
Time under control lower is better
52:272:51 per 15 · norm 3:11
10.31/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
10.05/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ige has more cage time on record.