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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Nora Cornolle vs. Karol Rosa

UFC 4-3-0 vs. 8-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
4-3-0
UFC record
8-5-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
36
AgeΔ 5 yrs
31
5'7"
HeightΔ 2"
5'5"
67"
ReachΔ 0"
67"
Orthodox3-3 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox8-4 vs orthodox fighters
2
Layoff (months)Δ 2.5 mo
4.5
WLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Nora Cornolle carries real power — 0.18 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.06 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Karol Rosa carries real power — 0.15 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.06 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Karol Rosa outworks the Women's Bantamweight division — 5.47 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.56 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Nora Cornolle

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.1 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Karol Rosa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 3 — regional circuit 113

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.82 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2192.65/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
10665.47/min · norm 3.56
1611.95/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
8354.28/min · norm 3.47
54.9%norm 46.3%
Striking accuracy
55.6%norm 46.3%
57.5%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
49.5%norm 52.5%
10.18/15 · norm 0.06
Knockdowns
20.15/15 · norm 0.06

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nora Cornolle

Distance 64.4% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 34.1% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 1.5% (norm 6.2%)

Karol Rosa

Distance 85.2% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 6.2%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nora Cornolle

Head 58.1% (norm 75.7%) · Body 24.1% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 17.8% (norm 8.4%)

Karol Rosa

Head 71.3% (norm 75.7%) · Body 8.9% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 19.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cornolle L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Rosa L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 120 / 257 46.7% 38.3% 853 / 1634 52.2% 38.3%
In the clinch 95 / 136 69.9% 75.2% 112 / 144 77.8% 75.2%
On the ground 4 / 6 too few to rate 70.8% 101 / 139 72.7% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 89 / 232 38.4% 37.0% 623 / 1366 45.6% 37.0%
To the body 74 / 96 77.1% 71.2% 136 / 171 79.5% 71.2%
To the legs 56 / 71 78.9% 80.8% 307 / 380 80.8% 80.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cornolle L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Rosa L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 104 / 306 34.0% 41.3% 710 / 1493 47.6% 41.3%
In the clinch 29 / 38 76.3% 74.7% 103 / 133 77.4% 74.7%
On the ground 28 / 35 80.0% 74.2% 22 / 28 78.6% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 103 / 290 35.5% 38.1% 479 / 1216 39.4% 38.1%
To the body 38 / 50 76.0% 73.2% 195 / 250 78.0% 73.2%
To the legs 20 / 39 51.3% 80.7% 161 / 188 85.6% 80.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
531.3% acc · 0.91/15 · norm 0.93
Takedowns landed
1448.3% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 0.93
1150.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
2773.0% def · norm 62.5%
17:3221.2% of cage time · norm 25.2%
Control time
52:2026.8% of cage time · norm 25.2%
38:487:02 per 15 · norm 3:20
Time under control lower is better
39:083:00 per 15 · norm 3:20
20.36/15 · norm 0.38
Submission attempts
20.15/15 · norm 0.38

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rosa has more cage time on record.