Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Mickey Gall vs. Sage Northcutt

UFC 6-8-0 vs. 6-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
6-8-0
UFC record
6-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
34
AgeΔ 4 yrs
30
6'2"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
74"
ReachΔ 3"
71"
Switch5-6 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox0-1 vs switch-stance fighters
0.2
Layoff (months)Δ 99.5 mo
99.7
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Mickey Gall is a submission threat — 1.38 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Sage Northcutt carries real power — 0.40 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.23 Lightweight norm.
Mickey Gall absorbs 5.05 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.08 Welterweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Mickey Gall

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 67
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.8 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Sage Northcutt

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 73
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.65 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 15 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4333.62/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2673.58/min · norm 3.43
6045.05/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1461.96/min · norm 3.37
49.4%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
52.4%norm 43.7%
48.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
59.0%norm 56.3%
20.25/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.40/15 · norm 0.23

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mickey Gall

Distance 85.0% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 7.6% (norm 8.1%)

Sage Northcutt

Distance 74.7% (norm 83.0%) · Clinch 12.4% (norm 7.1%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mickey Gall

Head 87.0% (norm 78.3%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.0%)

Sage Northcutt

Head 76.5% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.8% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gall L/AAccWelterweight med Northcutt L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 344 / 745 46.2% 38.5% 162 / 381 42.5% 38.4%
In the clinch 45 / 64 70.3% 67.8% 51 / 63 81.0% 67.5%
On the ground 44 / 67 65.7% 67.0% 54 / 66 81.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 344 / 762 45.1% 36.4% 173 / 390 44.4% 35.3%
To the body 64 / 86 74.4% 70.7% 52 / 70 74.3% 69.2%
To the legs 25 / 28 89.3% 83.1% 42 / 50 84.0% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Lightweight: 205 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gall L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Northcutt L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 434 / 953 45.5% 39.1% 107 / 296 36.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 53 / 69 76.8% 68.9% 6 / 12 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 117 / 159 73.6% 68.0% 33 / 48 68.8% 68.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 420 / 944 44.5% 35.6% 87 / 262 33.2% 35.2%
To the body 126 / 172 73.3% 69.6% 15 / 31 48.4% 68.2%
To the legs 58 / 65 89.2% 82.1% 44 / 63 69.8% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
829.6% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
934.6% acc · 1.81/15 · norm 1.34
741.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1041.7% def · norm 63.2%
17:5715.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
12:5717.4% of cage time · norm 19.0%
26:583:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
28:595:49 per 15 · norm 2:50
111.38/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
30.60/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gall has more cage time on record.