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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Mickey Gall vs. George Sullivan

UFC 6-8-0 vs. 3-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
6-8-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
34
AgeΔ 11 yrs
45
6'2"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
74"
ReachΔ 1"
73"
Switch5-6 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox0-1 vs switch-stance fighters
0.1
Layoff (months)Δ 98.2 mo
98.3
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Mickey Gall is a submission threat — 1.38 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Mickey Gall absorbs 5.05 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.08 Welterweight norm — hittable.
George Sullivan is a submission threat — 0.69 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Mickey Gall

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 67
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.8 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

George Sullivan

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 34
Tier 3 — regional circuit 164

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.55 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4333.62/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2323.53/min · norm 3.17
6045.05/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1592.42/min · norm 3.08
49.4%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
39.8%norm 44.75%
48.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
57.6%norm 55.25%
20.25/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mickey Gall

Distance 85.0% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 7.6% (norm 8.1%)

George Sullivan

Distance 77.0% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 7.2% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 15.8% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mickey Gall

Head 87.0% (norm 78.3%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.0%)

George Sullivan

Head 75.1% (norm 78.3%) · Body 14.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gall L/AAccWelterweight med Sullivan L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 344 / 745 46.2% 38.5% 131 / 449 29.2% 38.5%
In the clinch 45 / 64 70.3% 67.8% 32 / 42 76.2% 67.8%
On the ground 44 / 67 65.7% 67.0% 69 / 92 75.0% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 344 / 762 45.1% 36.4% 133 / 438 30.4% 36.4%
To the body 64 / 86 74.4% 70.7% 53 / 84 63.1% 70.7%
To the legs 25 / 28 89.3% 83.1% 46 / 61 75.4% 83.1%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gall L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Sullivan L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 434 / 953 45.5% 39.1% 112 / 302 37.1% 39.1%
In the clinch 53 / 69 76.8% 68.9% 26 / 44 59.1% 68.9%
On the ground 117 / 159 73.6% 68.0% 21 / 29 72.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 420 / 944 44.5% 35.6% 86 / 264 32.6% 35.6%
To the body 126 / 172 73.3% 69.6% 36 / 71 50.7% 69.6%
To the legs 58 / 65 89.2% 82.1% 37 / 40 92.5% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
829.6% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
620.7% acc · 1.37/15 · norm 1.31
741.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1038.5% def · norm 63.9%
17:5715.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
19:0229.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
26:583:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
14:403:20 per 15 · norm 3:15
111.38/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
30.69/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gall has more cage time on record.