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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Mickey Gall vs. Alex Morono

UFC 6-8-0 vs. 13-10-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
6-8-0
UFC record
13-10-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
34
AgeΔ 2 yrs
36
6'2"
HeightΔ 3"
5'11"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Switch5-6 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox3-0 vs switch-stance fighters
0.1
Layoff (months)Δ 8.8 mo
8.9
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Mickey Gall is a submission threat — 1.38 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Alex Morono rarely shoots — 0.32 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Mickey Gall absorbs 5.05 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.08 Welterweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Mickey Gall

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 67
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.8 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Alex Morono

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1310
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 72
Tier 3 — regional circuit 41

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 20 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4333.62/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
13964.90/min · norm 3.17
6045.05/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
13894.88/min · norm 3.08
49.4%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
39.8%norm 44.75%
48.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
55.4%norm 55.25%
20.25/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.26/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mickey Gall

Distance 85.0% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 7.6% (norm 8.1%)

Alex Morono

Distance 92.4% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 2.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mickey Gall

Head 87.0% (norm 78.3%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.0%)

Alex Morono

Head 88.3% (norm 78.3%) · Body 8.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.4% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gall L/AAccWelterweight med Morono L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 344 / 745 46.2% 38.5% 1239 / 3242 38.2% 38.5%
In the clinch 45 / 64 70.3% 67.8% 101 / 172 58.7% 67.8%
On the ground 44 / 67 65.7% 67.0% 56 / 96 58.3% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 344 / 762 45.1% 36.4% 1114 / 3098 36.0% 36.4%
To the body 64 / 86 74.4% 70.7% 185 / 292 63.4% 70.7%
To the legs 25 / 28 89.3% 83.1% 97 / 120 80.8% 83.1%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gall L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Morono L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 434 / 953 45.5% 39.1% 1196 / 2808 42.6% 39.1%
In the clinch 53 / 69 76.8% 68.9% 110 / 180 61.1% 68.9%
On the ground 117 / 159 73.6% 68.0% 83 / 125 66.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 420 / 944 44.5% 35.6% 691 / 2126 32.5% 35.6%
To the body 126 / 172 73.3% 69.6% 492 / 718 68.5% 69.6%
To the legs 58 / 65 89.2% 82.1% 206 / 269 76.6% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
829.6% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
624.0% acc · 0.32/15 · norm 1.31
741.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2247.8% def · norm 63.9%
17:5715.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
15:595.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
26:583:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
37:451:59 per 15 · norm 3:15
111.38/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
60.32/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Morono has more cage time on record.