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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Kody Steele vs. Rongzhu

UFC 2-1-0 vs. 4-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-1-0
UFC record
4-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
31
AgeΔ 5 yrs
26
5'9"
HeightΔ 0"
5'9"
71"
ReachΔ 0"
71"
Orthodox1-1 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox3-2 vs orthodox fighters
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 1.4 mo
1.8
WWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Kody Steele carries real power — 0.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.23 Lightweight norm.
Kody Steele absorbs 6.88 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Rongzhu outworks the Lightweight division — 5.86 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.43 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Kody Steele

Full career not yet synced for Kody Steele — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Rongzhu

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 33
Tier 3 — regional circuit 253

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.95 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

853.72/min · norm 3.43
Sig. strikes landed
5605.86/min · norm 3.43
1576.88/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
5385.63/min · norm 3.37
32.4%norm 43.7%
Striking accuracy
49.1%norm 43.7%
47.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
55.3%norm 56.3%
10.66/15 · norm 0.23
Knockdowns
20.31/15 · norm 0.23

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kody Steele

Distance 96.9% (norm 83.0%) · Clinch 1.9% (norm 7.1%) · Ground 1.1% (norm 8.0%)

Rongzhu

Distance 92.6% (norm 83.0%) · Clinch 1.8% (norm 7.1%) · Ground 5.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kody Steele

Head 91.6% (norm 78.1%) · Body 6.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 8.0%)

Rongzhu

Head 85.7% (norm 78.1%) · Body 7.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Steele L/AAccLightweight med Rongzhu L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 80 / 254 31.5% 38.4% 503 / 1056 47.6% 38.4%
In the clinch 2 / 5 too few to rate 67.5% 12 / 20 too few to rate 67.5%
On the ground 3 / 3 too few to rate 69.1% 45 / 65 69.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 68 / 240 28.3% 35.3% 422 / 978 43.1% 35.3%
To the body 13 / 16 too few to rate 69.2% 65 / 85 76.5% 69.2%
To the legs 4 / 6 too few to rate 81.8% 73 / 78 93.6% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 205 fighters · Lightweight: 205 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Steele L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Rongzhu L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 152 / 294 51.7% 38.9% 498 / 1139 43.7% 38.9%
In the clinch 5 / 6 too few to rate 68.6% 30 / 47 63.8% 68.6%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.2% 10 / 18 too few to rate 68.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 134 / 271 49.4% 35.2% 343 / 933 36.8% 35.2%
To the body 4 / 9 too few to rate 68.2% 113 / 161 70.2% 68.2%
To the legs 19 / 20 too few to rate 81.5% 82 / 110 74.5% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
337.5% acc · 1.97/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
1062.5% acc · 1.57/15 · norm 1.34
0— def · norm 63.2%
Takedowns stopped
2385.2% def · norm 63.2%
2:129.6% of cage time · norm 19.0%
Control time
13:0113.6% of cage time · norm 19.0%
0:460:30 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
4:580:46 per 15 · norm 2:50
10.66/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rongzhu has more cage time on record.