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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Khaos Williams vs. Randy Brown

UFC 7-5-0 vs. 14-9-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
7-5-0
UFC record
14-9-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
32
AgeΔ 4 yrs
36
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
6'3"
77"
ReachΔ 1"
78"
Orthodox6-4 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox11-7 vs orthodox fighters
1.1
Layoff (months)Δ 1 mo
0.1
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Khaos Williams carries real power — 0.77 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Khaos Williams rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Randy Brown rarely shoots — 0.67 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Khaos Williams

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 74
Tier 3 — regional circuit 91

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.24 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Randy Brown

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 148
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.28 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5344.57/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
10324.19/min · norm 3.17
6385.45/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
8153.31/min · norm 3.08
38.2%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
47.0%norm 44.75%
41.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
53.0%norm 55.25%
60.77/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
60.37/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Khaos Williams

Distance 93.3% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 4.6% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 2.0% (norm 8.1%)

Randy Brown

Distance 86.1% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Khaos Williams

Head 70.8% (norm 78.3%) · Body 12.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 17.0% (norm 8.0%)

Randy Brown

Head 76.2% (norm 78.3%) · Body 13.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Williams L/AAccWelterweight med Brown L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 477 / 1305 36.6% 38.5% 800 / 1890 42.3% 38.5%
In the clinch 39 / 65 60.0% 67.8% 154 / 190 81.1% 67.8%
On the ground 18 / 28 64.3% 67.0% 78 / 115 67.8% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 255 / 990 25.8% 36.4% 636 / 1673 38.0% 36.4%
To the body 109 / 171 63.7% 70.7% 216 / 299 72.2% 70.7%
To the legs 170 / 237 71.7% 83.1% 180 / 223 80.7% 83.1%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Williams L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Brown L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 505 / 931 54.2% 39.1% 614 / 1447 42.4% 39.1%
In the clinch 96 / 108 88.9% 68.9% 106 / 143 74.1% 68.9%
On the ground 37 / 46 80.4% 68.0% 95 / 144 66.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 424 / 820 51.7% 35.6% 322 / 1101 29.2% 35.6%
To the body 105 / 140 75.0% 69.6% 150 / 211 71.1% 69.6%
To the legs 109 / 125 87.2% 82.1% 343 / 422 81.3% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
1134.4% acc · 0.67/15 · norm 1.31
1546.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4771.2% def · norm 63.9%
12:2210.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
36:4614.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
17:292:14 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
73:154:27 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
80.49/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Brown has more cage time on record.