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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Kay Hansen vs. Piera Rodriguez

UFC 1-3-0 vs. 6-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
1-3-0
UFC record
6-2-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
27
AgeΔ 6 yrs
33
5'2"
HeightΔ 1"
5'3"
63"
ReachΔ 0"
63"
Orthodox0-3 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox6-2 vs orthodox fighters
54.9
Layoff (months)Δ 54.7 mo
0.2
LLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Piera Rodriguez hunts takedowns — 3.62 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Kay Hansen is a submission threat — 0.78 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Kay Hansen hunts takedowns — 1.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Kay Hansen

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 13
Tier 3 — regional circuit 73

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.38 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Piera Rodriguez

Full career not yet synced for Piera Rodriguez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1733.01/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
4814.47/min · norm 3.77
1833.19/min · norm 4.00
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3453.21/min · norm 4.00
50.4%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
48.2%norm 44.5%
52.0%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
52.5%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
10.14/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kay Hansen

Distance 86.6% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 8.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 5.1%)

Piera Rodriguez

Distance 80.3% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 15.6% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 4.0% (norm 5.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kay Hansen

Head 78.1% (norm 76.6%) · Body 16.0% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 5.8% (norm 9.1%)

Piera Rodriguez

Head 73.0% (norm 76.6%) · Body 21.3% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hansen L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Rodriguez L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 136 / 297 45.8% 38.3% 325 / 801 40.6% 38.3%
In the clinch 20 / 28 71.4% 72.6% 126 / 156 80.8% 72.6%
On the ground 17 / 18 too few to rate 75.0% 30 / 40 75.0% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 116 / 268 43.3% 35.4% 273 / 728 37.5% 35.4%
To the body 43 / 55 78.2% 69.3% 167 / 212 78.8% 69.3%
To the legs 14 / 20 too few to rate 78.5% 41 / 57 71.9% 78.5%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hansen L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Rodriguez L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 133 / 315 42.2% 39.7% 262 / 618 42.4% 39.7%
In the clinch 26 / 38 68.4% 71.7% 60 / 81 74.1% 71.7%
On the ground 24 / 28 85.7% 75.0% 23 / 27 85.2% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 126 / 307 41.0% 36.0% 224 / 569 39.4% 36.0%
To the body 35 / 49 71.4% 68.9% 69 / 95 72.6% 68.9%
To the legs 22 / 25 88.0% 79.1% 52 / 62 83.9% 79.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
722.6% acc · 1.83/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
2656.5% acc · 3.62/15 · norm 1.10
337.5% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
2376.7% def · norm 64.1%
14:3025.2% of cage time · norm 19.0%
Control time
30:4728.6% of cage time · norm 19.0%
14:293:46 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
17:322:26 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.78/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rodriguez has more cage time on record.