Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith

UFC 0-2-0 vs. 5-0-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
0-2-0
UFC record
5-0-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
27
AgeΔ 3 yrs
30
5'7"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
68"
ReachΔ 4"
72"
Southpaw0-1 vs southpaws
Stance
Southpaw1-0 vs southpaws
1.3
Layoff (months)Δ 1.2 mo
0.1
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Josiah Harrell hunts takedowns — 4.14 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Jacobe Smith hunts takedowns — 4.02 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Jacobe Smith owns the mat — in control 52% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Josiah Harrell

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 02
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Jacobe Smith

Full career not yet synced for Jacobe Smith — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

162.21/min · norm 3.43
Sig. strikes landed
1424.76/min · norm 3.17
588.00/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
682.28/min · norm 3.08
45.7%norm 43.7%
Striking accuracy
62.6%norm 44.75%
30.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
51.1%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.23
Knockdowns
10.50/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Josiah Harrell

Distance 100.0% (norm 83.0%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 7.1%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

Jacobe Smith

Distance 65.2% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 1.3% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 33.5% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Josiah Harrell

Head 57.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 20.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 22.9% (norm 8.0%)

Jacobe Smith

Head 71.4% (norm 78.3%) · Body 15.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 13.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Harrell L/AAccLightweight med Smith L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 16 / 35 45.7% 38.4% 80 / 148 54.1% 38.5%
In the clinch 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.5% 3 / 3 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1% 59 / 76 77.6% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 6 / 20 too few to rate 35.3% 96 / 162 59.3% 36.4%
To the body 5 / 7 too few to rate 69.2% 28 / 35 80.0% 70.7%
To the legs 5 / 8 too few to rate 81.8% 18 / 30 60.0% 83.1%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 205 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Harrell L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Smith L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 44 / 69 63.8% 38.9% 59 / 123 48.0% 39.1%
In the clinch 1 / 1 too few to rate 68.6% 5 / 8 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 13 / 13 too few to rate 68.2% 4 / 8 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 29 / 51 56.9% 35.2% 34 / 94 36.2% 35.6%
To the body 14 / 15 too few to rate 68.2% 17 / 25 68.0% 69.6%
To the legs 15 / 17 too few to rate 81.5% 17 / 20 too few to rate 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
240.0% acc · 4.14/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
888.9% acc · 4.02/15 · norm 1.31
00.0% def · norm 63.2%
Takedowns stopped
4100.0% def · norm 63.9%
0:347.8% of cage time · norm 19.0%
Control time
15:3752.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
0:260:53 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
0:040:02 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
10.50/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smith has more cage time on record.