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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Dooho Choi vs. Cub Swanson

UFC 6-4-1 vs. 16-10-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
6-4-1
UFC record
16-10-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
35
AgeΔ 8 yrs
43
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox5-3 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox13-8 vs orthodox fighters
1.5
Layoff (months)Δ 5.3 mo
6.8
LWWWD
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Dooho Choi carries real power — 0.87 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Featherweight norm.
Cub Swanson carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Featherweight norm.
Cub Swanson outworks the Featherweight division — 5.30 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.52 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Dooho Choi

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 63
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.3 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Cub Swanson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1610
Tier 3 — regional circuit 154

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.93 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4365.03/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
16455.30/min · norm 3.52
4064.69/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
13804.44/min · norm 3.54
54.9%norm 44.8%
Striking accuracy
52.6%norm 44.8%
56.4%norm 54.8%
Striking defense
58.5%norm 54.8%
50.87/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
120.58/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Dooho Choi

Distance 85.4% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 6.9% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 7.7% (norm 6.4%)

Cub Swanson

Distance 88.3% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Dooho Choi

Head 81.2% (norm 77.5%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 7.9%)

Cub Swanson

Head 72.9% (norm 77.5%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Choi L/AAccFeatherweight med Swanson L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 342 / 678 50.4% 40.7% 1363 / 2764 49.3% 40.7%
In the clinch 41 / 55 74.5% 70.5% 160 / 199 80.4% 70.5%
On the ground 53 / 61 86.9% 69.1% 122 / 166 73.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 306 / 645 47.4% 37.2% 992 / 2281 43.5% 37.2%
To the body 80 / 91 87.9% 68.4% 323 / 432 74.8% 68.4%
To the legs 50 / 58 86.2% 80.7% 330 / 416 79.3% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 129 fighters · Featherweight: 129 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Choi L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Swanson L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 320 / 826 38.7% 39.3% 1129 / 2932 38.5% 39.3%
In the clinch 57 / 66 86.4% 70.3% 127 / 193 65.8% 70.3%
On the ground 29 / 39 74.4% 69.5% 124 / 204 60.8% 69.5%
BY TARGET
To the head 268 / 716 37.4% 35.9% 885 / 2628 33.7% 35.9%
To the body 102 / 147 69.4% 68.1% 247 / 370 66.8% 68.1%
To the legs 36 / 68 52.9% 81.1% 248 / 331 74.9% 81.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
753.8% acc · 1.21/15 · norm 1.17
Takedowns landed
1451.9% acc · 0.68/15 · norm 1.17
1659.3% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
8272.6% def · norm 61.5%
15:2917.9% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
22:527.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
15:252:40 per 15 · norm 3:11
Time under control lower is better
58:402:50 per 15 · norm 3:11
30.52/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
20.10/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Swanson has more cage time on record.