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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki

UFC 5-2-0 vs. 2-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-2-0
UFC record
2-4-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
31
AgeΔ 1 yrs
30
5'7"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
67"
ReachΔ 6"
73"
Orthodox4-1 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox2-4 vs orthodox fighters
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
0.4
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Daniel Santos has owned orthodox fighters — 4-1 in the UFC (1-1 vs everyone else), and Bolaji Oki is orthodox.
Daniel Santos hunts takedowns — 2.49 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.17 Featherweight norm.
Bolaji Oki outworks the Lightweight division — 5.84 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.43 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Daniel Santos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 42
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Bolaji Oki

Full career not yet synced for Bolaji Oki — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4335.14/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
4155.84/min · norm 3.43
4425.24/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3655.14/min · norm 3.37
41.6%norm 44.8%
Striking accuracy
47.1%norm 43.7%
48.6%norm 54.8%
Striking defense
59.5%norm 56.3%
20.36/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
10.21/15 · norm 0.23

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Daniel Santos

Distance 88.8% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 6.4%)

Bolaji Oki

Distance 91.4% (norm 83.0%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 7.1%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Daniel Santos

Head 76.7% (norm 77.5%) · Body 15.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.9% (norm 7.9%)

Bolaji Oki

Head 78.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Santos L/AAccFeatherweight med Oki L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 343 / 924 37.1% 40.7% 368 / 805 45.7% 38.4%
In the clinch 38 / 50 76.0% 70.5% 32 / 43 74.4% 67.5%
On the ground 52 / 67 77.6% 69.1% 15 / 33 45.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 273 / 798 34.2% 37.2% 281 / 694 40.5% 35.3%
To the body 98 / 161 60.9% 68.4% 101 / 148 68.2% 69.2%
To the legs 62 / 82 75.6% 80.7% 33 / 39 84.6% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 129 fighters · Lightweight: 205 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Santos L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Oki L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 401 / 804 49.9% 39.3% 308 / 812 37.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 27 / 39 69.2% 70.3% 22 / 35 62.9% 68.6%
On the ground 14 / 17 too few to rate 69.5% 35 / 55 63.6% 68.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 309 / 693 44.6% 35.9% 254 / 728 34.9% 35.2%
To the body 96 / 126 76.2% 68.1% 65 / 107 60.7% 68.2%
To the legs 37 / 41 90.2% 81.1% 46 / 67 68.7% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1434.1% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.17
Takedowns landed
660.0% acc · 1.27/15 · norm 1.34
1266.7% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
1270.6% def · norm 63.2%
22:2826.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
9:2713.3% of cage time · norm 19.0%
6:351:10 per 15 · norm 3:11
Time under control lower is better
8:251:46 per 15 · norm 2:50
10.18/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Santos has more cage time on record.