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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Daniel Pineda vs. Andre Fili

UFC 5-8-0 (1 NC) vs. 14-13-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-8-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
14-13-0 (1 NC)
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
41
AgeΔ 5 yrs
36
5'7"
HeightΔ 4"
5'11"
69"
ReachΔ 5"
74"
Orthodox5-6 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox10-8 vs orthodox fighters
24.5
Layoff (months)Δ 23.6 mo
0.9
LLLWNC
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Daniel Pineda is a submission threat — 1.54 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Featherweight norm.
Andre Fili hunts takedowns — 2.19 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.17 Featherweight norm.
Daniel Pineda owns the mat — in control 26% of cage time, vs a 16% Featherweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Daniel Pineda

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 612
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 81
Tier 3 — regional circuit 144

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.71 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 28 finish wins over 47 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Andre Fili

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1313
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.79 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 40 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3612.85/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
11713.99/min · norm 3.52
4123.26/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
13464.58/min · norm 3.54
49.6%norm 44.8%
Striking accuracy
38.1%norm 44.8%
45.8%norm 54.8%
Striking defense
49.7%norm 54.8%
20.24/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
70.36/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Daniel Pineda

Distance 73.5% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 22.3% (norm 6.4%)

Andre Fili

Distance 92.0% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 3.6% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 4.4% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Daniel Pineda

Head 78.4% (norm 77.5%) · Body 10.9% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 7.9%)

Andre Fili

Head 85.9% (norm 77.5%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pineda L/AAccFeatherweight med Fili L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 213 / 535 39.8% 40.7% 1027 / 2825 36.4% 40.7%
In the clinch 23 / 31 74.2% 70.5% 65 / 110 59.1% 70.5%
On the ground 125 / 162 77.2% 69.1% 79 / 135 58.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 242 / 571 42.4% 37.2% 861 / 2637 32.7% 37.2%
To the body 54 / 79 68.4% 68.4% 173 / 260 66.5% 68.4%
To the legs 65 / 78 83.3% 80.7% 137 / 173 79.2% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 129 fighters · Featherweight: 129 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pineda L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Fili L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 307 / 605 50.7% 39.3% 1149 / 2366 48.6% 39.3%
In the clinch 51 / 69 73.9% 70.3% 79 / 124 63.7% 70.3%
On the ground 54 / 86 62.8% 69.5% 118 / 186 63.4% 69.5%
BY TARGET
To the head 267 / 577 46.3% 35.9% 722 / 1882 38.4% 35.9%
To the body 104 / 132 78.8% 68.1% 268 / 401 66.8% 68.1%
To the legs 41 / 51 80.4% 81.1% 356 / 393 90.6% 81.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1224.0% acc · 1.42/15 · norm 1.17
Takedowns landed
4346.2% acc · 2.19/15 · norm 1.17
2954.7% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
5972.0% def · norm 61.5%
32:4425.9% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
43:2514.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
40:244:47 per 15 · norm 3:11
Time under control lower is better
44:302:16 per 15 · norm 3:11
131.54/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
40.20/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Fili has more cage time on record.