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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Cam Rowston vs. Andre Petroski

UFC 3-1-0 vs. 8-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
3-1-0
UFC record
8-5-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
31
AgeΔ 4 yrs
35
6'3"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
78"
ReachΔ 5"
73"
Orthodox1-0 vs switch-stance fighters
Stance
Switch5-5 vs orthodox fighters
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 5.3 mo
5.7
LWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Andre Petroski is a submission threat — 1.23 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Middleweight norm.
Cam Rowston owns the mat — in control 45% of cage time, vs a 19% Middleweight norm.
Andre Petroski hunts takedowns — 3.13 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Cam Rowston

Full career not yet synced for Cam Rowston — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Andre Petroski

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1495.22/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
3702.75/min · norm 3.23
642.24/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
4022.99/min · norm 3.20
47.2%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
49.2%norm 47.4%
50.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
51.5%norm 53.8%
10.53/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.11/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Cam Rowston

Distance 57.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 3.2% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 39.2% (norm 10.0%)

Andre Petroski

Distance 83.5% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 1.5% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 15.0% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Cam Rowston

Head 86.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 8.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.4%)

Andre Petroski

Head 77.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rowston L/AAccMiddleweight med Petroski L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 73 / 182 40.1% 40.5% 278 / 628 44.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 8 / 10 too few to rate 70.7% 9 / 11 too few to rate 70.7%
On the ground 68 / 124 54.8% 69.4% 83 / 113 73.5% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 118 / 272 43.4% 38.8% 237 / 579 40.9% 38.8%
To the body 14 / 26 53.8% 71.6% 74 / 96 77.1% 71.6%
To the legs 17 / 18 too few to rate 83.3% 59 / 77 76.6% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rowston L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Petroski L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 62 / 126 49.2% 39.5% 319 / 700 45.6% 39.5%
In the clinch 2 / 4 too few to rate 70.4% 21 / 26 80.8% 70.4%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.0% 62 / 103 60.2% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 32 / 91 35.2% 37.7% 281 / 658 42.7% 37.7%
To the body 10 / 14 too few to rate 71.3% 64 / 96 66.7% 71.3%
To the legs 22 / 25 88.0% 82.0% 57 / 75 76.0% 82.0%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
450.0% acc · 2.10/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
2852.8% acc · 3.13/15 · norm 1.35
1100.0% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
1986.4% def · norm 63.3%
12:5645.3% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
52:3239.1% of cage time · norm 19.4%
0:310:16 per 15 · norm 2:58
Time under control lower is better
7:540:52 per 15 · norm 2:58
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
111.23/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Petroski has more cage time on record.