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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Bolaji Oki vs. Mason Jones

UFC 2-4-0 vs. 4-3-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-4-0
UFC record
4-3-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
30
AgeΔ 1 yrs
31
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Orthodox2-4 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox3-2 vs orthodox fighters
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 2.1 mo
2.5
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Mason Jones hunts takedowns — 3.38 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Mason Jones outworks the Lightweight division — 6.33 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.43 norm.
Bolaji Oki outworks the Lightweight division — 5.84 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.43 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Bolaji Oki

Full career not yet synced for Bolaji Oki — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Mason Jones

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 42
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 130
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.72 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4155.84/min · norm 3.43
Sig. strikes landed
6186.33/min · norm 3.43
3655.14/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
4764.87/min · norm 3.37
47.1%norm 43.7%
Striking accuracy
43.7%norm 43.7%
59.5%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
48.7%norm 56.3%
10.21/15 · norm 0.23
Knockdowns
10.15/15 · norm 0.23

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Bolaji Oki

Distance 91.4% (norm 83.0%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 7.1%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 8.0%)

Mason Jones

Distance 81.5% (norm 83.0%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 7.1%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Bolaji Oki

Head 78.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 8.0%)

Mason Jones

Head 82.5% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.9% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Oki L/AAccLightweight med Jones L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 368 / 805 45.7% 38.4% 443 / 1153 38.4% 38.4%
In the clinch 32 / 43 74.4% 67.5% 99 / 148 66.9% 67.5%
On the ground 15 / 33 45.5% 69.1% 76 / 113 67.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 281 / 694 40.5% 35.3% 427 / 1167 36.6% 35.3%
To the body 101 / 148 68.2% 69.2% 143 / 192 74.5% 69.2%
To the legs 33 / 39 84.6% 81.8% 48 / 55 87.3% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 205 fighters · Lightweight: 205 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Oki L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Jones L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 308 / 812 37.9% 38.9% 406 / 816 49.8% 38.9%
In the clinch 22 / 35 62.9% 68.6% 50 / 74 67.6% 68.6%
On the ground 35 / 55 63.6% 68.2% 20 / 37 54.1% 68.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 254 / 728 34.9% 35.2% 322 / 720 44.7% 35.2%
To the body 65 / 107 60.7% 68.2% 101 / 148 68.2% 68.2%
To the legs 46 / 67 68.7% 81.5% 53 / 59 89.8% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
660.0% acc · 1.27/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
2256.4% acc · 3.38/15 · norm 1.34
1270.6% def · norm 63.2%
Takedowns stopped
2177.8% def · norm 63.2%
9:2713.3% of cage time · norm 19.0%
Control time
26:0926.8% of cage time · norm 19.0%
8:251:46 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
11:291:45 per 15 · norm 2:50
00.00/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
10.15/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Jones has more cage time on record.