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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Bolaji Oki vs. Daniel Santos

UFC 2-4-0 vs. 5-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-4-0
UFC record
5-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
30
AgeΔ 1 yrs
31
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
5'7"
73"
ReachΔ 6"
67"
Orthodox2-4 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox4-1 vs orthodox fighters
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
0.4
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Daniel Santos has owned orthodox fighters — 4-1 in the UFC (1-1 vs everyone else), and Bolaji Oki is orthodox.
Daniel Santos hunts takedowns — 2.49 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.17 Featherweight norm.
Bolaji Oki outworks the Lightweight division — 5.84 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.43 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Bolaji Oki

Full career not yet synced for Bolaji Oki — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Daniel Santos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 42
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4155.84/min · norm 3.43
Sig. strikes landed
4335.14/min · norm 3.52
3655.14/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
4425.24/min · norm 3.54
47.1%norm 43.7%
Striking accuracy
41.6%norm 44.8%
59.5%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
48.6%norm 54.8%
10.21/15 · norm 0.23
Knockdowns
20.36/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Bolaji Oki

Distance 91.4% (norm 83.0%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 7.1%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 8.0%)

Daniel Santos

Distance 88.8% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Bolaji Oki

Head 78.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 8.0%)

Daniel Santos

Head 76.7% (norm 77.5%) · Body 15.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Oki L/AAccLightweight med Santos L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 368 / 805 45.7% 38.4% 343 / 924 37.1% 40.7%
In the clinch 32 / 43 74.4% 67.5% 38 / 50 76.0% 70.5%
On the ground 15 / 33 45.5% 69.1% 52 / 67 77.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 281 / 694 40.5% 35.3% 273 / 798 34.2% 37.2%
To the body 101 / 148 68.2% 69.2% 98 / 161 60.9% 68.4%
To the legs 33 / 39 84.6% 81.8% 62 / 82 75.6% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 205 fighters · Featherweight: 129 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Oki L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Santos L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 308 / 812 37.9% 38.9% 401 / 804 49.9% 39.3%
In the clinch 22 / 35 62.9% 68.6% 27 / 39 69.2% 70.3%
On the ground 35 / 55 63.6% 68.2% 14 / 17 too few to rate 69.5%
BY TARGET
To the head 254 / 728 34.9% 35.2% 309 / 693 44.6% 35.9%
To the body 65 / 107 60.7% 68.2% 96 / 126 76.2% 68.1%
To the legs 46 / 67 68.7% 81.5% 37 / 41 90.2% 81.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
660.0% acc · 1.27/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
1434.1% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.17
1270.6% def · norm 63.2%
Takedowns stopped
1266.7% def · norm 61.5%
9:2713.3% of cage time · norm 19.0%
Control time
22:2826.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
8:251:46 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
6:351:10 per 15 · norm 3:11
00.00/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
10.18/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Santos has more cage time on record.