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UFC simulation vs. the market Fight

Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka

UFC 14-13-0 (1 NC) vs. 2-4-1

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
14-13-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
2-4-1
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
36
AgeΔ 5 yrs
31
5'11"
HeightΔ 4"
5'7"
74"
ReachΔ 5"
69"
Orthodox10-8 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox0-1-1 vs orthodox fighters
0.9
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
0.9
WLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWDL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Andre Fili hunts takedowns — 2.19 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.17 Featherweight norm.
Kai Kamaka absorbs 6.25 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.54 Featherweight norm — hittable.
Kai Kamaka outworks the Featherweight division — 5.53 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.52 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Andre Fili

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1313
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.79 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 40 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Kai Kamaka

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 105
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 73

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.86 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 4 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11713.99/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
4315.53/min · norm 3.52
13464.58/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
4876.25/min · norm 3.54
38.1%norm 44.8%
Striking accuracy
57.7%norm 44.8%
49.7%norm 54.8%
Striking defense
54.9%norm 54.8%
70.36/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
10.19/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Andre Fili

Distance 92.0% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 3.6% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 4.4% (norm 6.4%)

Kai Kamaka

Distance 89.4% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 2.1% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Andre Fili

Head 85.9% (norm 77.5%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 7.9%)

Kai Kamaka

Head 62.4% (norm 77.5%) · Body 26.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 10.8% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Fili L/AAccFeatherweight med Kamaka L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1027 / 2825 36.4% 40.7% 366 / 668 54.8% 40.7%
In the clinch 65 / 110 59.1% 70.5% 53 / 63 84.1% 70.5%
On the ground 79 / 135 58.5% 69.1% 12 / 16 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 861 / 2637 32.7% 37.2% 188 / 466 40.3% 37.2%
To the body 173 / 260 66.5% 68.4% 173 / 200 86.5% 68.4%
To the legs 137 / 173 79.2% 80.7% 70 / 81 86.4% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 129 fighters · Featherweight: 129 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Fili L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Kamaka L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1149 / 2366 48.6% 39.3% 351 / 906 38.7% 39.3%
In the clinch 79 / 124 63.7% 70.3% 110 / 143 76.9% 70.3%
On the ground 118 / 186 63.4% 69.5% 26 / 31 83.9% 69.5%
BY TARGET
To the head 722 / 1882 38.4% 35.9% 310 / 836 37.1% 35.9%
To the body 268 / 401 66.8% 68.1% 129 / 182 70.9% 68.1%
To the legs 356 / 393 90.6% 81.1% 48 / 62 77.4% 81.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
4346.2% acc · 2.19/15 · norm 1.17
Takedowns landed
753.8% acc · 1.35/15 · norm 1.17
5972.0% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
1155.0% def · norm 61.5%
43:2514.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
15:2419.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
44:302:16 per 15 · norm 3:11
Time under control lower is better
5:591:09 per 15 · norm 3:11
40.20/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
10.19/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Fili has more cage time on record.