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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Ailin Perez vs. Stephanie Egger

UFC 7-1-0 vs. 3-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
7-1-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
32
AgeΔ 6 yrs
38
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
66"
ReachΔ 2"
68"
Switch7-1 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox1-0 vs switch-stance fighters
1.3
Layoff (months)Δ 33.6 mo
34.9
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Ailin Perez hunts takedowns — 4.34 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.93 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Stephanie Egger hunts takedowns — 2.48 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.93 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Ailin Perez carries real power — 0.14 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.06 Women's Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Ailin Perez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 61
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.39 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 15 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Stephanie Egger

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 42

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.65 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2932.82/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
1202.20/min · norm 3.56
1861.79/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1352.48/min · norm 3.47
54.3%norm 46.3%
Striking accuracy
46.5%norm 46.3%
56.5%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
52.1%norm 52.5%
10.14/15 · norm 0.06
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.06

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ailin Perez

Distance 64.6% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 12.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 22.8% (norm 6.2%)

Stephanie Egger

Distance 76.0% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 13.2% (norm 6.2%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ailin Perez

Head 65.2% (norm 75.7%) · Body 18.0% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 16.9% (norm 8.4%)

Stephanie Egger

Head 80.6% (norm 75.7%) · Body 9.7% (norm 15.5%) · Legs 9.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Perez L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Egger L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 152 / 349 43.6% 38.3% 67 / 196 34.2% 38.3%
In the clinch 52 / 68 76.5% 75.2% 23 / 28 82.1% 75.2%
On the ground 89 / 123 72.4% 70.8% 30 / 34 88.2% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 164 / 352 46.6% 37.0% 80 / 208 38.5% 37.0%
To the body 69 / 97 71.1% 71.2% 19 / 25 76.0% 71.2%
To the legs 60 / 91 65.9% 80.8% 21 / 25 84.0% 80.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 42 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Perez L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Egger L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 137 / 367 37.3% 41.3% 112 / 245 45.7% 41.3%
In the clinch 27 / 37 73.0% 74.7% 10 / 18 too few to rate 74.7%
On the ground 22 / 24 too few to rate 74.2% 13 / 19 too few to rate 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 82 / 284 28.9% 38.1% 55 / 174 31.6% 38.1%
To the body 45 / 69 65.2% 73.2% 52 / 71 73.2% 73.2%
To the legs 59 / 75 78.7% 80.7% 28 / 37 75.7% 80.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
3045.5% acc · 4.34/15 · norm 0.93
Takedowns landed
942.9% acc · 2.48/15 · norm 0.93
866.7% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
750.0% def · norm 62.5%
43:1741.7% of cage time · norm 25.2%
Control time
15:4528.9% of cage time · norm 25.2%
21:373:07 per 15 · norm 3:20
Time under control lower is better
21:395:57 per 15 · norm 3:20
10.14/15 · norm 0.38
Submission attempts
20.55/15 · norm 0.38

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Perez has more cage time on record.