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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Abus Magomedov vs. Joe Pyfer

UFC 6-3-0 vs. 7-1-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
6-3-0
UFC record
7-1-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
36
AgeΔ 6 yrs
30
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
78"
ReachΔ 3"
75"
Orthodox5-2 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox4-1 vs orthodox fighters
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 6.9 mo
7.3
WWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Joe Pyfer carries real power — 1.05 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Joe Pyfer is a submission threat — 0.84 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Middleweight norm.
Abus Magomedov hunts takedowns — 2.44 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Abus Magomedov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 84
Tier 3 — regional circuit 213

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.12 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Joe Pyfer

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 82
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.58 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2503.13/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
2533.53/min · norm 3.23
2623.28/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2393.33/min · norm 3.20
49.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
43.2%norm 47.4%
57.0%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
52.7%norm 53.8%
20.38/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
51.05/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Abus Magomedov

Distance 92.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 1.6% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 6.1% (norm 10.0%)

Joe Pyfer

Distance 89.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 2.1% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Abus Magomedov

Head 69.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 21.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Joe Pyfer

Head 81.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Magomedov L/AAccMiddleweight med Pyfer L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 218 / 467 46.7% 40.5% 214 / 526 40.7% 40.5%
In the clinch 8 / 8 too few to rate 70.7% 7 / 12 too few to rate 70.7%
On the ground 24 / 31 77.4% 69.4% 32 / 47 68.1% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 140 / 353 39.7% 38.8% 176 / 479 36.7% 38.8%
To the body 75 / 111 67.6% 71.6% 58 / 75 77.3% 71.6%
To the legs 35 / 42 83.3% 83.3% 19 / 31 61.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Magomedov L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Pyfer L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 240 / 576 41.7% 39.5% 220 / 478 46.0% 39.5%
In the clinch 2 / 5 too few to rate 70.4% 6 / 9 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 20 / 29 69.0% 69.0% 13 / 18 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 174 / 465 37.4% 37.7% 124 / 353 35.1% 37.7%
To the body 54 / 90 60.0% 71.3% 45 / 63 71.4% 71.3%
To the legs 34 / 55 61.8% 82.0% 70 / 89 78.7% 82.0%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1359.1% acc · 2.44/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
625.0% acc · 1.25/15 · norm 1.35
583.3% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
466.7% def · norm 63.3%
20:1725.4% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
7:4810.9% of cage time · norm 19.4%
6:061:08 per 15 · norm 2:58
Time under control lower is better
6:191:19 per 15 · norm 2:58
40.75/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.84/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Magomedov has more cage time on record.