Zac Pauga

Explicitly calls this a zero-confidence pass after floating Pauga first and reversing; tells viewers to treat it as a watch-for-fun fight rather than one to back.

A former heavyweight (6-2) moving down. Our paraphrase: rated a decent striker who throws clean combination punch-kick sequences with good counters, and a good wrestler with cage-pressure takedowns, heavy ground-and-pound and hard clinch knees; the analyst notes his regional wrestling success has not yet shown up the same way inside the UFC.

Names Pauga ('take powga') but says he flipped his pick repeatedly and had to check his own notes, explicitly 'zero confidence'; prefers the over to picking a side at all.

A well-rounded, decent striker who blends boxing, kicking and elbow strikes together rather than relying on one tool, with decent counters and solid output for a bigger guy. Strong clinch with good knees, and heavy ground-and-pound once on top, but in the UFC he has mostly settled for pushing opponents into the fence and banking control time rather than finishing. Tends to start slow, which the analyst flags as a real problem opposite a low-output opponent.

He openly discloses he personally roots for Wright yet still goes with Pauga -- fan disclosure, not a hedge on the win -- and backs it with a method bet (the under) built on Wright's inability to last deep into a fight.

A clear athlete built around good wrestling, counter striking and especially clinch work, where he drives his knees through effectively. Our words: his one named weakness is being a slow starter, which matters directly against an opponent who comes out at full speed from the opening bell.