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Xiao Long
Bantamweight

Xiao Long

1-4-0
Fast Starter Striker Suspect TD Defense
5'8"Height
70"Reach
OrthodoxStance
28Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
11:29Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 62 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026 · stats read 62 → nudged +2 inside the band · claims striking volume +1, striking technique +1, pressure +2 (+4) Accuracy — Average, rated 55 of 100 · claims striking technique +1, counter striking +1 (+3) Striking D — Weak, rated 22 of 100 · claims striking defense +1 (+3) Durability — Below avg, rated 43 of 100 · 138 MMA read him durable · Mar 2026, before his knockout loss on 2026-08-29 — stats lead, that read only steps · claims chin +1 (+2) Wrestling — Average, rated 53 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling good · Aug 2026 · stats read 33 → nudged -8 inside the band · claims td offense +2 (+4) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · Half The Battle tag td defense: suspect · Aug 2026 · stats read 78 → nudged +10 inside the band · claims getup +1 (+2) Grappling — Average, rated 46 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling good · Aug 2026 · stats read 22 → nudged -11 inside the band Control — Below avg, rated 38 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good ✓ 2nd source close
5 analyst reads graded this phase · Half The Battle lands within one step of it
  • good UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 26, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC 326 Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 1, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Yan vs Figueiredo Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Macau) · November 20, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Whittaker vs Aliskerov Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 19, 2024 watch ↗
grappling good whiteboard
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 26, 2026 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • good UFC 326 Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 1, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling good contested
2 analyst reads graded this phase · Half The Battle reads it differently; 138 MMA is the primary, so his grade stands
  • good UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 26, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Yan vs Figueiredo Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Macau) · November 20, 2024 watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025 watch ↗
striking good 5 reads · 2nd source close
grappling good 3 reads · whiteboard
wrestling good 2 reads
cardio not yet read
durability good 1 read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Wrestling, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Durability · stats alone on Control.

Built on 57 minutes of tracked cage time across 5 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Fast Starter 138 MMA · Mar 2026 tags pace: fast starter
Striker average striking — rates 62 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026
Suspect TD Defense Half The Battle · Aug 2026 tags td defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.98
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.26
Striking accuracy45.8%
Striking defense46.5%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.26
Takedowns / 15 min0.78
Takedown accuracy30.0%
Takedown defense88.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time13.7%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-2

Insider info

5 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Francesco Nuzzi clear UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 26, 2026
strikinggood wrestlinggood grapplinggood durabilitygood

He says Xiao Long wins very easily with a grappling-focused gameplan, slightly walks that back to 'quite confidently,' and still expects a win even if the fight stays standing.

Xiao Long is rated a composed, forward-pressure striker who picks his moments, stays calm in exchanges, works an active jab and occasional combinations, and kicks well off his lead leg. The analyst spends real time explaining his own grading philosophy here, noting Xiao Long does many small things well without any one of them being elite, but rates the overall package as clearly good. His biggest advantage is called out as wrestling: good takedowns and an excellent ability to catch kicks, which the analyst expects to set the pace and win the fight comfortably, or at worst win a more competitive standing fight.

StrengthComposed, forward-pressure striker with a varied, well-rounded toolkit
StrengthGood takedowns and excellent kick-catching
StrengthSets the pace of the fight
vs Cody Garbrandt coinflip UFC 326 Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 1, 2026 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplinggood wrestlinggood durabilitygood

calls it a 50-50 fight himself

A grizzled veteran being tested against a bigger name, Xiao is a good, durable striker who stays calm in the pocket, presses forward, picks his shots and leans on an active jab and a favorite combination; he lacks Garbrandt's pure boxing polish but is competitive on the feet. On the mat he is good enough, with good takedowns, a liking for catching kicks, and scrambles, and he is a fast starter who sustains his pace for all three rounds.

Strengthcalm in the pocket
Strengthgood forward pressure
Strengthpicks his shots well
Strengthgood active jab
Strengthdurable
Strengthgood takedowns
Strengthlikes to catch kicks
Strengthscrambles
Strengthfast starter who sustains pace
Weaknessless boxing polish than Garbrandt, though still competitive there
chin · durablepace · fast starter
vs SuYoung You lean UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikinggood grapplinggood durabilitygood wrestlinggood

A real mechanism is offered (mat control for most of the fight), but he immediately disclaims his own read as a toss-up he isn't sure about.

A good, patient striker -- calm in the pocket, picks his shots, active jab, a solid 2-3 combo, and good durability -- who the analyst expects to look very good if the fight stays standing. He can also mix in grappling (good takedowns, likes catching kicks into takedowns, good scrambles), but the analyst explicitly does not think that is his best path here, preferring he keep it standing. He is also described as a fast starter who can sustain a very high pace for three rounds, with the analyst genuinely unsure whether the opponent can match it. As of 2025-08-18.

Strengthcalm, accurate counter-and-pick striker with a good jab and 2-3 combo
Strengthgood durability
Strengthgood takedowns, enjoys catching kicks into the takedown, good scrambles
Strengthfast starter who can sustain a very high pace for three rounds
chin · durablepace · fast starter
vs Quang Le coinflip UFC Fight Night Yan vs Figueiredo Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Macau) · November 20, 2024 · 3 reads since
strikinggood wrestlinggood

He states a slight lean toward Xiao Long on wrestling but immediately repeats that it is a close fight that 'could go either way' and 'either direction,' doubling down on outcome doubt rather than committing.

A good striker who stays calm in the pocket and picks his shots, leaning on his durability to stay in range. His wrestling -- takedowns and scrambling -- is graded good, and the analyst sees it as a shade better than his opponent's, which is the stated tie-breaker in a fight he calls close either way.

Strengthcalm in the pocket
Strengthpicks shots
Strengthdurable
Strengthgood takedowns
Strengthgood scrambling
chin · durable
vs ChangHo Lee lean UFC Fight Night Whittaker vs Aliskerov Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 19, 2024 · 4 reads since
strikinggood

Primarily a wrestler who is also comfortable striking, and the analyst calls him the more dangerous of the two on the feet in terms of power. He stays calm in the pocket and lands with good volume, and mixes in good takedowns and scrambling once the fight hits the mat.

Strengthcomfortable, calm pocket striker
Strengthgood striking volume
Strengthgood takedowns
Strengthgood scrambling ability

Gap-fill reads

1 read · Half The Battle · used only where 138 MMA is silent · our paraphrase, never his words
Francesco Nuzzi favored — picked against Xiao Long lean Half The Battle · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 27, 2026
strikingdecent
wrestlingpoor

The taller, longer man and the more experienced at this level, but the assessment is bluntly unimpressed. Output is rated as low, he offers little as a takedown threat, and his takedown defence is described as a clear weak point. His most recent result — widely seen as a win on the merits, lost on a point deduction — is used against him rather than for him: the argument is that beating an opponent at that stage of their career over three rounds, rather than stopping them early, is evidence of a limited ceiling. The overall verdict is a fighter with room to improve who is not a finished product and is being priced as something better than he has shown.

Strengthheight and reach advantage
Strengthmore experience at this level than his opponent
Weaknesslow striking output
Weaknessoffers little takedown threat of his own
Weaknesstakedown defence is a clear weakness
Weaknesshas not looked convincing in the promotion so far
pace · deliberatetd defense · suspectrange · long

Watch this breakdown ↗

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 5 fights · green = win
June 22, 2024 vs ChangHo Lee — 4.53/min (L) Jun '24 November 23, 2024 vs Quang Le — 7.59/min (W) Nov '24 August 23, 2025 vs SuYoung You — 4.53/min (L) Aug '25 March 7, 2026 vs Cody Garbrandt — 3.93/min (L) Mar '26 August 29, 2026 vs Francesco Nuzzi — 4.0/min (L) — only 1.0 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '26

Fight history

5 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Francesco Nuzzi 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:00 — UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 29, 2026
4/7Sig. strikes
11/20Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Cody Garbrandt 14-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · March 7, 2026
59/108Sig. strikes
28/54Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
0:47Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L SuYoung You 2-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · August 23, 2025
68/214Sig. strikes
58/110Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:20Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Quang Le 0-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 1:28 — UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · November 23, 2024
87/192Sig. strikes
64/155Absorbed
0/3Takedowns
0:26Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L ChangHo Lee 0-0 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · June 22, 2024
68/103Sig. strikes
84/119Absorbed
2/5Takedowns
6:19Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-4-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 3
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 5

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 124 qualified Bantamweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.0 avg 3.7
Strikes absorbed /min 4.3 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 45.8% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 46.5% avg 56.4%
Takedowns /15 min 0.8 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 30.0% avg 36.9%
Takedown defense 88.0% avg 62.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 13.7% avg 19.4%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 48.2%

Headshot of Xiao Long by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized