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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Westin Wilson
Featherweight

Westin Wilson

1-3-0
Submission Grappler Striker
6'1"Height
73"Reach
SouthpawStance
37Age
0KO wins
1Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
2:23Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 36 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Aug 2025 · stats read 24 → nudged -5 inside the band · claims striking technique +1, kicking +1 (+2) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 31 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Weak, rated 6 of 100 · claims striking defense -2, head movement +1 (-4) Durability — Weak, rated 8 of 100 · 138 MMA read him durable · Jun 2024, before his knockout loss on 2025-08-23 — stats lead, that read only steps · claims chin +1 (+2) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 36 of 100 · claims td offense -2 (-4) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · claims getup +1 (+2) Grappling — Average, rated 60 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling good · Aug 2025 · stats read 46 → nudged -4 inside the band · tag sub threat: good (+3) · claims sub offense +2 (+4) Control — Below avg, rated 39 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking decent
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Walker · January 5, 2024 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Strickland vs Magomedov Full Card Breakdown & Predictions (UFC Vegas 76) · June 27, 2023 watch ↗
grappling good whiteboard
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • very good UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Walker · January 5, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Strickland vs Magomedov Full Card Breakdown & Predictions (UFC Vegas 76) · June 27, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking decent 4 reads
grappling good 4 reads · whiteboard
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Durability, Wrestling, TD Defense · stats alone on Control.

Built on 9 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Submission Grappler average grappling — rates 60 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling good · Aug 2025
Striker below avg striking — rates 36 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Aug 2025
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min1.57
Sig. strikes absorbed / min6.71
Striking accuracy31.9%
Striking defense30.4%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.57
Takedown accuracy16.7%
Takedown defense33.3%
Sub attempts / 15 min7.87
Control time6.8%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Yizha coinflip UFC Fight Night Walker vs Zhang Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 18, 2025
strikingdecent grapplingvery good

NO CLEAN PICK -- the passage is internally self-contradictory about who is favored and no board odds exist to arbitrate; recording the absence rather than guessing (rule 3f).

A karate-rooted fighter on the feet -- extended straight punches, an active lead leg, light footwork -- though a low guard is named as a real defensive flaw. The mat game is rated a touch stronger: a legitimate jiu-jitsu practitioner, very busy off his back, hunting finishes and using his reach for choking positions. His start in the UFC was genuinely difficult, with hard fights right out of the gate. As of 2025-08-18.

Strengthkarate-rooted feet game: extended straight punches, an active lead leg, light footwork
Strengthlegitimate jiu-jitsu game: very busy off his back, hunts finishes, uses his reach well
Weaknesskeeps his hands low, a stated defensive flaw
competition quality · tested
vs Jeka Saragih clear UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 · 1 read since
strikingdecent grapplingvery good

He commits plainly, naming Saragih and predicting a finish, with a clear mechanism: this stays a striking match because Wilson lacks the takedowns to change the terrain, and Saragih's power decides it. No hedge on the win itself.

Our words: a decent, karate-leaning striker with good long straight punches and a blitzing, in-and-out approach; he carries his hands low because of that stance, which leaves him badly exposed to power punchers -- exactly Saragih's profile. His chin has held up on the regional level, often letting him survive to a fight on the mat, where his BJJ is very good: active from the back, using his length, with real submission intent. The analyst doubts he has the takedowns to actually get Saragih there.

Strengthgood long straight punches
Strengthblitzing in-and-out striking
Strengthchin has survived power punchers on the regional level
Strengthvery good BJJ (length, submissions, active from back)
Weaknesshands carried low (karate stance)
Weaknesslikely lacks the takedowns to force the fight to the mat here
chin · durablesub threat · good
vs Jean Silva lean UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Walker · January 5, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikingdecent grapplinggood

pick is stated plainly twice ('I'm picking John Silva') but is bracketed by a live value-bet disclosure on Wilson at long odds and repeated hedge language ('closer fight', 'isn't that bad', 'not getting credit for') -- a bare pick sentence sitting inside heavily hedged support.

Coming off a short-notice loss to a tougher opponent, which the analyst calls a step down in competition here. An unorthodox, karate-influenced striker with decent output -- long straight punches, an active and hard-to-read lead leg, hands carried low. Good BJJ: very active off his back, uses his length and long limbs to control and attack submissions, and a large share of his career wins come by submission. Analyst argues he is underrated off his last performance and would bet him again at long underdog odds.

Strengthlong straight punches
Strengthactive, deceptive lead leg
Strengthactive off his back
Strengthsubmission attacking
Strengthlength-based control
Weaknesshands carried low
sub threat · elite
vs Joanderson Brito clear UFC Fight Night Strickland vs Magomedov Full Card Breakdown & Predictions (UFC Vegas 76) · June 27, 2023 · 3 reads since
strikingdecent grapplinggood

He calls the pick very clear and states he is taking Brito outright, with no qualifier placed on the win itself.

A decent striker trained in a karate style, light on his feet with an active lead leg and quick entries, making his UFC debut on short notice. He is credited with pretty good Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and real length advantages on the mat, including a choke game, though his grappling is described as less polished than a top comparable fighter's.

StrengthLight-footed karate striking with quick entries
StrengthPretty good BJJ, uses his length and reach well
WeaknessHands held low, exposed to counters
WeaknessStance leaves his lead leg open to kicks

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
July 1, 2023 vs Joanderson Brito — 1.38/min (L) — only 2.9 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jul '23 January 13, 2024 vs Jean Silva — 2.62/min (L) — only 4.2 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jan '24 June 15, 2024 vs Jeka Saragih — 0.0/min (W) — only 1.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jun '24 August 23, 2025 vs Yizha — 0.0/min (L) — only 0.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '25

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Yizha 0-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 0:37 — UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · August 23, 2025
0/2Sig. strikes
13/18Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jeka Saragih 14-3 walk-in Submission · R1 1:49 — UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · June 15, 2024
0/1Sig. strikes
4/8Absorbed
1/3Takedowns
0:35Control
0Knockdowns
3Sub attempts
L Jean Silva 11-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:12 — UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · January 13, 2024
11/36Sig. strikes
25/36Absorbed
0/3Takedowns
0:04Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Joanderson Brito 15-3-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:54 — UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · July 1, 2023
4/8Sig. strikes
22/30Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
2Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 3
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 134 qualified Featherweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 1.6 avg 3.6
Strikes absorbed /min 6.7 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 31.9% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 30.4% avg 55.3%
Takedowns /15 min 1.6 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 16.7% avg 37.4%
Takedown defense 33.3% avg 60.2%
Sub attempts /15 min 7.9 avg 0.6
Control time 6.8% avg 20.1%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 44.2%

Headshot of Westin Wilson by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized