Tommy McMillen

Picks McMillen on pace, but concedes the other man "could very well knock out" him -- a live finish risk that's weighed, not dismissed.

McMillen hits hard with his 1-2, controls range well off his height and reach, and steps in behind knees and elbows at a pace the analyst calls record-setting. The one clear flaw flagged is that he drops his hands after throwing his right hand, which the analyst says is exactly how an opponent could catch him clean. On the ground his takedown defense and sprawl are good, his ground-and-pound is strong, and his guillotine -- set up by using his height to land knees while the opponent is up on their toes -- is rated among the best around.

"close fight though"

Still unbeaten, hits with real pop, and lands a reliable one-two, though he has a tell of letting his hands fall afterward that the analyst flags as a real defensive hole; his chin has held up fine so far, so it isn't costing him at this stage of his career. His size for the weight class lets him dictate distance, and he mixes in elbows and knees as he steps in. On the mat his whole grappling identity runs through front chokes, the guillotine above all, including a standing version where he lifts an opponent to apply it. Add in heavy ground strikes, a reliable sprawl and solid takedown defense, plus a pace so relentless it doesn't let up even when he's gassed.

covered everywhere by his read

As of 2026-03-29, perfect through his career and about to set foot in the UFC cage for the first time, riding real momentum off a tight, competitive win on the Contender Series. He is a good striker, carrying lots of power in his hands and a strong 1-2, though he falls into a habitual hands-down reset right after throwing it; the analyst reads this as low risk given his long, rangy frame. Knee and elbow strikes on the entry are another plus. The grappling is where the analyst sees his clearest advantage: strong ground and pound, a front-choke series, and a go-to standing guillotine where he lifts opponents off the floor while kneeing them; good takedown defense and sprawl complete the picture.