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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Theodor Berggren
Welterweight · “Simba”

Theodor Berggren

0-2-0
Volume Machine Hard To Take Down
5'11"Height
75"Reach
SwitchStance
26Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
8:17Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 51 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Oct 2026 · stats read 26 → nudged -11 inside the band · tag pace: high volume (+2) · claims striking technique +2 (+3) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · claims striking technique +2 (+4) Striking D — Weak, rated 12 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Weak, rated 8 of 100 · 138 MMA read him durable · Jun 2026, before his knockout loss on 2026-10-31 — stats lead, that read only steps Wrestling — Weak, rated 10 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Above avg, rated 71 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Oct 2026 · stats read 44 → nudged -3 inside the band Grappling — Average, rated 51 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Oct 2026 · stats read 30 → nudged -9 inside the band · tag sub threat: good (+3) Control — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · October 21, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Fiziev vs Torres Full Card Preview & Predictions · June 21, 2026 watch ↗
grappling good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · October 21, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Fiziev vs Torres Full Card Preview & Predictions · June 21, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 2 reads
grappling good 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Durability · stats alone on Striking D, Wrestling, Control.

Built on 16 minutes of tracked cage time across 2 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Volume Machine 138 MMA · Oct 2026 tags pace: high volume
Hard To Take Down above avg td defense — rates 71 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Oct 2026
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min2.47
Sig. strikes absorbed / min6.03
Striking accuracy40.6%
Striking defense39.4%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy—
Takedown defense72.7%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time13.8%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Rodrigo Sezinando coinflip UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · October 21, 2026
strikinggood grapplinggood

He repeatedly says he isn't confident, frames the pick as a hope that the opponent chooses to grapple, and says outright the fight could go either way.

The sharper, more technical striker of the pair with a well-rounded grappling game, whom the analyst still picks against because the other man's mat skills edge him out.

Strengthvaried kicking attack that targets all levels
Strengthcomfortable switching stances
Strengthkeeps a high output on the feet
Strengthtrip takedowns as a reliable entry
Strengthstrong sprawl to deny takedowns
Strengthgets to the back and chains choke attempts from there, plus solid ground strikes
Weaknessvulnerable to being clipped by a heavy-handed opponent despite the striking edge
Weaknesslikely the lesser grappler if the fight hits the mat
pace · high volumeko power · decenttd defense · goodsub threat · good
vs Daniil Donchenko coinflip UFC Fight Night Fiziev vs Torres Full Card Preview & Predictions · June 21, 2026 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplinggood

complete stay away from me

Berggren, who is making his UFC debut, profiles as a good striker; he has a wide kick arsenal he throws from either stance, plenty of volume, and decent power. His grappling is also good and arguably his more complete side: a good trip takedown, very effective ground and pound, a real back-take game, and a slick choke arsenal, backed by good cardio across a high pace. The one habit the analyst does not love is how willing he is to work off his back rather than scramble up. Overall the analyst called him skilled with a well-rounded arsenal, just working on short notice for his first UFC fight.

Strengthwide kick arsenal thrown from either stance
Strengthgood trip takedowns and very effective ground and pound
Strengthstrong back-take and choke game from both top and bottom
Strengthgood cardio, holds up at a high pace
Weaknesstoo willing to work from his back instead of scrambling up
chin · durable

Fight history

2 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Rodrigo Sezinando 0-1 walk-in TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R2 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · October 31, 2026
18/37Sig. strikes
29/58Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
2:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Daniil Donchenko 2-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:35 — UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · June 27, 2026
23/64Sig. strikes
71/107Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:17Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 2

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 189 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 2.5 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 6.0 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 40.6% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 39.4% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.5
Takedown defense 72.7% avg 62.6%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 13.8% avg 21.5%

Headshot of Theodor Berggren by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized