Serhiy Sidey

The pick follows directly from a stated reason -- the analyst's read that Sidey is the more complete fighter -- with no softening of the outcome anywhere nearby.

Called the more complete of the two: he presses the action and lands straight punches upstairs and down, mixing levels well, though he is vulnerable to low kicks if he over-commits trying to scoop one up. His grappling is the separator -- a strong over-under clinch entry, a willingness to ride out a scramble rather than panic, heavy top pressure, and a defensive base (sprawl, underhooks) that the analyst rates highly.

He gives a specific, unhedged mechanism: Sidey is the superior grappler and will get the fight to the floor, and he explicitly separates this call from the result of their prior meeting.

Serhiy Sidey is a clean, pressuring boxer-striker (straights to both levels, good forward pressure) who is rated the better grappler in this specific matchup with a good body-lock takedown and effective ground-and-pound, though his habit of trying to catch kicks is tied to eating leg kicks.