Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Saimon Oliveira
Bantamweight

Saimon Oliveira

0-4-0
Fast Starter Taken Down Often
5'4"Height
72"Reach
OrthodoxStance
35Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
8:57Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Oct 2025 · stats read 25 → nudged -5 inside the band · claims striking technique -1, kicking +2 (+0) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 40 of 100 · claims striking technique -1 (-2) Striking D — Weak, rated 13 of 100 · claims striking defense -1 (-3) Durability — Weak, rated 10 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 24 of 100 · claims td offense -2 (-4) TD Defense — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Average, rated 52 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Oct 2025 · stats read 64 → nudged +5 inside the band · tag sub threat: good (+3) · claims sub offense +3, sub defense -1 (+5) Control — Below avg, rated 35 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking decent
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Oliveira vs Gamrot Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 6, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 watch ↗
grappling decent
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Oliveira vs Gamrot Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 6, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · January 18, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking decent 2 reads
grappling decent 3 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling · stats alone on Durability, TD Defense, Control.

Built on 35 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Fast Starter 138 MMA · Mar 2025 tags pace: fast starter
Taken Down Often put on his back 14 times · 5.9 per 15 min
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min2.4
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.18
Striking accuracy43.2%
Striking defense41.6%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.42
Takedown accuracy14.3%
Takedown defense33.3%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.67
Control time11.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Luan Lacerda lean UFC Fight Night Oliveira vs Gamrot Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 6, 2025
strikingdecent grapplingdecent

He commits to Lacerda twice by name, but hedges directly on the layoff and says neither man is clearly ahead, landing on 'a little bit more tools' as the thin margin.

Decent striker who throws kicks and flying knees but leans on risky spinning attacks that can land big or leave him off-balance with his back turned. Decent grappler with a wide, aggressive submission arsenal built around a guillotine he also uses to defend takedowns, but he cannot get fights to the mat on his own terms.

Strengthkicks
Strengthflying knee
Strengthwide submission arsenal
Strengthquick to attack submissions
Strengthguillotine specialist
Weaknessspin-attack risk (off-balance, back exposed)
Weaknesslacks open-mat takedown ability (no SPEC tag for offensive takedown ability)
sub threat · good
vs David Martinez clear UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 · 1 read since
strikingdecent grapplinggood

winner named, explicit, closing the chapter: he commits fully to Martinez over Oliveira, tag 'a' correct.; no hedge on the win itself -- he says plainly he expects another standout showing; the danger he names in Oliveira (the guillotine) is explicitly neutralized by Martinez's stated takedown defense and footwork.

Decent, explosive, unorthodox striker (flying knees, spinning attacks) who can land a huge, fight-ending shot but can also be out-struck by more traditional strikers. Good jiu-jitsu with a strong submission arsenal and is a guillotine specialist, but he primarily uses the guillotine AS his takedown defense -- which means accepting the takedown, a bad trade when it fails. A very fast starter who keeps a high pace even while visibly tired.

Strengthexplosive/unorthodox striking
Strengthguillotine/submission arsenal
Strengthfast starter, keeps pace while tired
Weaknessstruggles to initiate takedowns on his own outside of a guillotine attempt
pace · fast startersub threat · good
vs Daniel Marcos lean UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · January 18, 2023 · 2 reads since
grapplinggood

Same bout grade as the opponent's row: lean. The analyst's pick is for the other corner on 'far better striker' plus a 'consistent basis' floor on this man's ground route; the choke route is left standing.

A short Muay Thai-labelled bantamweight whose striking is passable but built on single shots, and whose defence on the feet is leaky. His value lies on the mat, where he is dangerous with guillotine chokes, though he has difficulty getting opponents there. He gives up height and effective reach.

StrengthDangerous with guillotine chokes if the opponent shoots carelessly
StrengthDecent Brazilian jiu-jitsu
StrengthPassable Muay Thai base
WeaknessThrows mainly single shots, which wastes a Muay Thai skill set
WeaknessFairly porous defence against strikes
WeaknessTakedowns are weak, so the ground game rarely starts on his terms
WeaknessAbout three inches shorter, so the listed reach edge understates the gap
sub threat · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
January 22, 2022 vs Tony Gravely — 2.33/min (L) Jan '22 January 21, 2023 vs Daniel Marcos — 3.15/min (L) Jan '23 March 29, 2025 vs David Martinez — 1.51/min (L) — only 4.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Mar '25 October 11, 2025 vs Luan Lacerda — 2.36/min (L) Oct '25

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Luan Lacerda 0-2 walk-in Submission · R2 3:55 — UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · October 11, 2025
21/34Sig. strikes
24/39Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
1:45Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L David Martinez 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:38 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · March 29, 2025
7/24Sig. strikes
27/41Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Daniel Marcos 13-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 2:18 — UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · January 21, 2023
23/70Sig. strikes
53/78Absorbed
0/5Takedowns
2:15Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Tony Gravely 21-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · January 22, 2022
35/71Sig. strikes
46/99Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:15Control
0Knockdowns
4Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-4-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 124 qualified Bantamweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 2.4 avg 3.7
Strikes absorbed /min 4.2 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 43.2% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 41.6% avg 56.4%
Takedowns /15 min 0.4 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 14.3% avg 36.9%
Takedown defense 33.3% avg 62.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 1.7 avg 0.5
Control time 11.9% avg 19.4%

Headshot of Saimon Oliveira by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized