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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Roosevelt Roberts
Lightweight · “The Predator”

Roosevelt Roberts

12-5-0 (1 NC) UFC 4-5-0 (1 NC)
Submission Grappler Defensive Striker
6'2"Height
73"Reach
OrthodoxStance
32Age
0KO wins
2Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
9:25Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 50 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Sep 2024 · stats read 20 → nudged -11 inside the band · claims striking volume +1, striking technique +1, kicking +1 (+4) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Average, rated 50 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Average, rated 48 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Average, rated 48 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Below avg, rated 29 of 100 · claims getup +2 (+3) Grappling — Average, rated 62 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Sep 2024 · stats read 63 → nudged +2 inside the band · claims sub defense +1, ground and pound +2 (+3) Control — Average, rated 60 of 100 · claims ground and pound +2 (+3) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Moicano vs Saint-Denis Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Paris) · September 25, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC 295 Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis · November 7, 2023 watch ↗
grappling good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Moicano vs Saint-Denis Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Paris) · September 25, 2024 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 2 reads
grappling good 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, Wrestling.

Submission Grappler average grappling — rates 62 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Sep 2024
Defensive Striker average striking d — rates 50 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min2.67
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.19
Striking accuracy41.4%
Striking defense53.6%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.8
Takedown accuracy19.2%
Takedown defense47.6%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.64
Control time21.1%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-4

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Ludovit Klein clear UFC Fight Night Moicano vs Saint-Denis Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Paris) · September 25, 2024
strikinggood grapplinggood

He treats Klein as a clear, heavily favored pick with no real debate about it, giving a stated mechanism (keeping the fight standing) and no hedge on the outcome.

A tall (6'2") good-volume striker whose knees up the middle are a genuine height-driven weapon, but who undercuts his own height advantage by closing distance too much and giving up his long, rangy straight punches for hooks. A good scrambling grappler whose long torso lets him land uncommonly clean, straight ground-and-pound from top.

Strengthgood volume striking
Strengthheight-driven knees up the middle
Strengthgood scrambling
Strengthdamaging straight ground-and-pound from top
Weaknesscloses distance too much, giving up his range advantage
vs Mateusz Rebecki clear UFC 295 Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis · November 7, 2023 · 1 read since
strikinggood

He says Rebecki 'probably gets this one done,' expecting a fairly easy path, and restates the pick plainly at the close with no walk-back on the win.

A good striker with real volume and a signature knee up the middle that a large height and reach edge in this matchup makes easier to land. His grappling is good too -- he creates scrambles, is hard to pin for a submission, and lands clean straight punches rather than wild shots once on top. His recurring flaw is losing control of his own range, crowding the man in front of him when he closes too much distance instead of using his reach. Stepping in on very short notice, with the contracted weight itself uncertain, to chase his first UFC win after the promotion passed on him following his Ultimate Fighter run. As of 2023-11-07.

Strengthgood striker, real volume, signature knee up the middle
Strengthsizable height and reach edge in this matchup
Strengthgood grappler, creates scrambles, difficult to catch in a submission
Strengthlands clean punches straight down rather than wild shots from the top
Weaknessloses control of his own range, crowds opponents by closing too much distance

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
June 29, 2019 vs Vinc Pichel — 2.07/min (L) Jun '19 November 9, 2019 vs Alexander Yakovlev — 1.87/min (W) Nov '19 May 30, 2020 vs Brok Weaver — 4.74/min (W) May '20 June 20, 2020 vs Jim Miller — 0.41/min (L) — only 2.4 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jun '20 September 12, 2020 vs Kevin Croom — 3.87/min (NC) — only 0.5 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Sep '20 August 21, 2021 vs Ignacio Bahamondes — 3.69/min (L) Aug '21 November 11, 2023 vs Mateusz Rebecki — 0.64/min (L) — only 3.1 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Nov '23 September 28, 2024 vs Ludovit Klein — 1.6/min (L) Sep '24

Fight history

10 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Ludovit Klein 22-4-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · September 28, 2024
24/60Sig. strikes
45/95Absorbed
0/3Takedowns
0:43Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Mateusz Rebecki 18-1 walk-in Submission · R1 3:08 — UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · November 11, 2023
2/7Sig. strikes
10/16Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:13Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Ignacio Bahamondes 11-4 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 4:55 — UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · August 21, 2021
55/168Sig. strikes
105/228Absorbed
0/12Takedowns
1:44Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
NC Kevin Croom 21-12 walk-in Overturned · R1 0:31 — UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · September 12, 2020
2/5Sig. strikes
5/6Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Jim Miller 31-14 walk-in Submission · R1 2:25 — UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · June 20, 2020
1/2Sig. strikes
2/3Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:26Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Brok Weaver 15-4 walk-in Submission · R2 3:26 — UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · May 30, 2020
40/61Sig. strikes
14/48Absorbed
1/3Takedowns
3:04Control
0Knockdowns
3Sub attempts
W Alexander Yakovlev 24-9-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · November 9, 2019
28/98Sig. strikes
20/49Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:54Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Vinc Pichel 11-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · June 29, 2019
31/87Sig. strikes
60/101Absorbed
2/3Takedowns
2:34Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Thomas Gifford 0-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · April 27, 2019
53/85Sig. strikes
30/70Absorbed
2/4Takedowns
9:11Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Darrell Horcher 13-3 walk-in Submission · R1 4:50 — The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · November 30, 2018
16/35Sig. strikes
10/33Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:05Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
12-5-0 (1 NC)Pro record
Adrenaline MMA, Cortez Martial Arts, Carlson Gracie TemeculaGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 4
Submission 5
Decision 3
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 2
Decision 2
Other 0

No contests: 1

Fights by organization

UFC 10
CXF 2
Eagle FC 1
LXF 1
Dana White's Contender Series 1
Bellator 1
KOTC 1
California Fight League 1
Full career — 18 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Ľudovít Klein Decision (Unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
September 28, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
L Mateusz Rębecki Submission (armbar) UFC 295
November 11, 2023
UFC 1 3:08
W Alexandre de Almeida Decision (unanimous) Eagle FC 47
May 20, 2022
Eagle FC 3 5:00
W Darren Smith Jr. KO (punch) LXF 7
December 10, 2021
LXF 1 0:32
L Ignacio Bahamondes KO (spinning wheel kick) UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
August 21, 2021
UFC 3 4:55
NC Kevin Croom NC (overturned) UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
September 12, 2020
UFC 1 0:31
L Jim Miller Submission (armbar) UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Volkov
June 20, 2020
UFC 1 2:25
W Brok Weaver Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC on ESPN: Woodley vs. Burns
May 30, 2020
UFC 2 3:26
W Alexander Yakovlev Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Magomedsharipov vs. Kattar
November 9, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
L Vinc Pichel Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. dos Santos
June 29, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
W Thomas Gifford Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Hermansson
April 27, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
W Darrell Horcher Submission (guillotine choke) The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
November 30, 2018
UFC 1 4:50
W Garrett Gross Submission (rear-naked choke) Dana White's Contender Series 15
July 31, 2018
Dana White's Contender Series 2 2:13
W Tommy Aaron TKO (punches) Bellator 192
January 20, 2018
Bellator 1 —
W Shohei Yamamoto TKO (punches) CXF 9
August 19, 2017
CXF 2 1:47
W Dominic Clark Submission (guillotine choke) CXF 8
June 17, 2017
CXF 1 1:47
W Andrew Kauppila TKO (punches) KOTC: Groundbreaking
May 6, 2017
KOTC 1 0:23
W Michael Thomas Submission (guillotine choke) California Fight League 9
October 22, 2016
California Fight League 1 2:58

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Roosevelt Roberts) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 2.7 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 3.2 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 41.4% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 53.6% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 0.8 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 19.2% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 47.6% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.6 avg 0.6
Control time 21.1% avg 21.3%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 50.7%

Headshot of Roosevelt Roberts by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized