Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Flyweight · “Lazy Boy”

Ronaldo Rodriguez

16-3-0 UFC 2-1-0
Positional Grappler Striker Leg-Kick Liability
5'6"Height
65"Reach
OrthodoxStance
27Age
0KO wins
1Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
13:19Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 53 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Mar 2025 · stats read 34 → nudged -8 inside the band · tag counter striking: good (+1) · claims striking power +1, striking volume -2, striking technique +1, pressure +2 (+2) Accuracy — Average, rated 50 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Weak, rated 13 of 100 · claims striking defense -1 (-3) Durability — Below avg, rated 30 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Below avg, rated 31 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Below avg, rated 31 of 100 · claims td defense +1 (+2) Grappling — Average, rated 60 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Mar 2025 · stats read 45 → nudged -4 inside the band · tag sub threat: good (+3) · claims sub offense +1, sub defense +2 (+4) Control — Above avg, rated 71 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC 306 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (Riyadh Season Noche UFC) · September 11, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Royval 2 Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction (UFC Mexico) · February 19, 2024 watch ↗
grappling good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 306 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (Riyadh Season Noche UFC) · September 11, 2024 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling good 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Durability, Wrestling.

Built on 39 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Positional Grappler above avg control — rates 71 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4)
Striker average striking — rates 53 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Mar 2025
Leg-Kick Liability 138 MMA · Mar 2025 tags leg kick defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.25
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.03
Striking accuracy45.0%
Striking defense40.8%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.75
Takedown accuracy28.6%
Takedown defense44.4%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.38
Control time32.8%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Kevin Borjas coinflip UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025
strikinggood grapplinggood

winner named via internal naming ('Boras'), tag 'both,' closing declaration firm.; immediately preceded by a plain 'I don't know' and a self-deprecating remark about being wrong, stacked with a disclosed fan bias that runs with the pick -- discounting confidence well below a firm declaration.

Tough, good striker who fights out of either stance, cuts off the cage well and lands solid power shots, often off counters; leg kick defense is a known issue that hasn't been punished yet. Good grappler with decent takedown defense, good transitions and back-taking, and a refusal to tap even when caught deep in submissions.

Strengtheither-stance power striking
Strengthcage cutting
Strengthtransitions/back-taking
Strengthwon't tap, fights out of bad spots
Weaknessleg kick defense
leg kick defense · suspect
vs Ode Osbourne coinflip UFC 306 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (Riyadh Season Noche UFC) · September 11, 2024 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He states plainly that he does not feel good about this pick and that it's hard to trust a fighter on a recent losing stretch, even while laying out a specific round-by-round mechanism for the upset.

A good striker who can work from either stance, cuts off the cage well and lands power shots off his counters -- though his output can be spotty because he leans so heavily on countering, and he doesn't defend leg kicks particularly well. His grappling is decent: good transitions, a strong back-take and submission-over-position game. The analyst explicitly cautions that people may be overrating his grappling off one recent win -- by his own read of this fighter's regional tape, he is fundamentally more of a striker who happened to have the grappling work out that night. As of 2024-09-11.

Strengthgood striker, either stance, cuts off the cage well
Strengthlands power shots off his counters
Strengthgood transitions, strong back-take and submission-over-position grappling
Weaknessoutput can be spotty from leaning on counters
Weaknessdoesn't defend leg kicks particularly well
Weaknesshis grappling reputation may be inflated by one recent result rather than his base level
leg kick defense · suspectsub threat · goodcounter striking · good
vs Denys Bondar clear UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Royval 2 Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction (UFC Mexico) · February 19, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikinggood

argues Bondar's recklessness cures Rodriguez's usual 'too patient' tendency and sets up counters; states outright he no longer trusts Bondar in any matchup.

This is the roster's Ronaldo Rodriguez, written and spoken throughout as 'Luis Rodriguez' by the analyst himself -- a naming error, not an ASR artifact (board and speech both say it), resolved against the weight class, record, and opponent (Denys Bondar) on the event record; no 'Luis Rodriguez' exists in the roster. He is a good, patient striker from either stance who cuts off the cage and counters, with decent takedown defense, but his patience can tip into too-low output.

Strengthgood striking either stance
Strengthcuts off the cage
Strengthcounter-striker
Strengthpower
Strengthdecent takedown defense
Weaknesscan be too patient, output drops

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
February 24, 2024 vs Denys Bondar — 3.11/min (W) Feb '24 September 14, 2024 vs Ode Osbourne — 2.33/min (W) Sep '24 March 29, 2025 vs Kevin Borjas — 4.27/min (L) Mar '25

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Kevin Borjas 0-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · March 29, 2025
64/151Sig. strikes
83/141Absorbed
1/5Takedowns
0:57Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ode Osbourne 12-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · September 14, 2024
35/69Sig. strikes
37/68Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
9:14Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Denys Bondar 0-2 walk-in Submission · R2 4:59 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · February 24, 2024
31/69Sig. strikes
41/63Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
2:56Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
16-3-0Pro record
Prime Combat Academy, ADAM CoatzacoalcosGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 6
Submission 5
Decision 4
Other 1

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 3
Other 0

Fights by organization

LUX 5
Jasaji Fighting League 4
UFC 3
Warriors League 2
iKon Fighting Federation 1
Dana White's Contender Series 1
Guerra en Veracruz 1
Xtreme Fighters Latino 1

+ 1 more organizations in the full career list

Full career — 19 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Kevin Borjas Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg
March 29, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
W Ode' Osbourne Decision (unanimous) UFC 306
September 14, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
W Denys Bondar Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
February 24, 2024
UFC 2 4:59
W Angel Rodriguez TKO (doctor stoppage) LUX 032
May 19, 2023
LUX 3 1:00
W Jaime Londoño Submission (guillotine choke) LUX 029
December 9, 2022
LUX 2 2:17
W Victor Moreno Decision (split) LUX 024
July 15, 2022
LUX 3 5:00
W César Vázquez Decision (unanimous) LUX 022
May 26, 2022
LUX 3 5:00
W Paul Márquez Moreno TKO (punch) iKon Fighting Federation 3
November 20, 2020
iKon Fighting Federation 1 1:16
L Jerome Rivera Decision (unanimous) Dana White's Contender Series 27
August 4, 2020
Dana White's Contender Series 3 5:00
W Dagoberto Ferreira TKO (punches) LUX 008
February 14, 2020
LUX 2 1:35
W Edgar Garcia TKO (punches) Jasaji Fighting League: 135 Pound Grand Prix
September 28, 2019
Jasaji Fighting League 2 0:42
W José Roura Decision (unanimous) Jasaji Fighting League: Fight Night 6
November 17, 2018
Jasaji Fighting League 3 5:00
W Omar Hernandez Submission (armbar) Guerra en Veracruz 6
July 21, 2018
Guerra en Veracruz 1 3:38
W Armando Valenzuela Submission (rear-naked choke) Xtreme Fighters Latino 38
June 1, 2018
Xtreme Fighters Latino 1 2:38
L Eduardo Morales Decision (split) Center Real Fights 28
March 24, 2018
Center Real Fights 3 5:00
W Giovanni Guerrero Submission (rear-naked choke) Jasaji Fighting League 18
January 18, 2018
Jasaji Fighting League 2 2:46
W Caleb Moctezuma TKO (leg kick and punches) Warriors League 3
December 16, 2017
Warriors League 3 0:22
W Giovanni Guerrero DQ (knee to head of grounded fighter) Jasaji Fighting League 17
August 23, 2017
Jasaji Fighting League 1 2:54
W Eddy Perez TKO (punches) Warriors League 2
March 19, 2017
Warriors League 1 2:12

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Ronaldo Rodríguez) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 67 qualified Flyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.2 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 4.0 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 45.0% avg 44.9%
Striking defense 40.8% avg 56.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.8 avg 1.7
Takedown accuracy 28.6% avg 36.0%
Takedown defense 44.4% avg 60.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.4 avg 0.7
Control time 32.8% avg 19.8%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 45.9%