Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Oumar Sy
Light Heavyweight

Oumar Sy

3-3-0
Wrestler Positional Grappler Padded Record
6'4"Height
83"Reach
OrthodoxStance
30Age
1KO wins
1Sub wins
66.7%Finish rate
8:37Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 45 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Aug 2026 · stats read 42 → nudged +1 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · claims striking power +1 (+2) Accuracy — Above avg, rated 74 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking D — Above avg, rated 74 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Average, rated 46 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Above avg, rated 80 of 100 · claims td offense +3 (+6) TD Defense — Average, rated 55 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Average, rated 58 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Aug 2026 · stats read 45 → nudged -4 inside the band · tag sub threat: good (+3) · claims sub offense +1, sub defense -1, ground and pound +1 (+2) Control — Above avg, rated 76 of 100 · claims ground and pound +1 (+2) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking decent
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Parnasse vs Hooker Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 29, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Vallejos · March 8, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Imavov vs Broallho Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 1, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 9, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Moicano vs Saint-Denis Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Paris) · September 25, 2024 watch ↗
grappling good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Parnasse vs Hooker Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 29, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Vallejos · March 8, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 9, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking decent 5 reads
grappling good 3 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Wrestling, Control · stats alone on Accuracy, Striking D, Durability, TD Defense.

Built on 51 minutes of tracked cage time across 6 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Wrestler above avg wrestling — rates 80 of 100 · claims td offense +3 (+6)
Positional Grappler above avg control — rates 76 of 100 · claims ground and pound +1 (+2)
Padded Record 138 MMA · Jun 2025 tags competition quality: padded
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.57
Sig. strikes absorbed / min1.97
Striking accuracy51.2%
Striking defense64.5%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min2.9
Takedown accuracy35.7%
Takedown defense66.7%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.58
Control time38.0%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-2

Insider info

6 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Modestas Bukauskas coinflip UFC Fight Night Parnasse vs Hooker Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 29, 2026
strikingdecent grapplinggood

Goes back and forth on both scenarios before picking Bukauskas, then says he does not "feel good" about it -- a direct hedge on the win itself, not on method or margin.

A physical, rangy striker who uses his length and jab and carries real power, but is rated only a decent striker overall. His clearer path is grappling: powerful takedowns, a good double leg, and ground-and-pound that can set up a rear naked choke once on top.

Strengthuses his length
Strengthrangy jab
Strengthpower
Strengthpowerful takedowns
Strengthdouble leg
Strengthground and pound
Strengthsets up rear naked choke from top
Weaknessnot much to his game on the feet beyond power shots
vs Ion Cutelaba coinflip UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Vallejos · March 8, 2026 · 1 read since
strikingdecent grapplinggood

says outright "not my most confident pick" and that neither man is exceptional

Decent-enough striker who uses his length well with a rangy jab and, per the analyst, pretty good power. Grappling is pretty good too: powerful takedowns, a good double leg and good ground and pound that he uses to set up the rear naked choke once he gets an opponent to turn over.

Strengthuses his length well
Strengthrangy jab
Strengthpretty good power
Strengthpowerful takedowns
Strengthgood double leg
Strengthgood ground and pound that sets up the rear naked choke
ko power · goodsub threat · good
vs Brendson Ribeiro lean UFC Fight Night Imavov vs Broallho Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 1, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikingdecent grapplinggood

affirms Sy as the likelier winner, qualified with 'more often than not'

Framed as chasing a second chance after a tough step up in weight class ended badly against a fighter the analyst rates highly (background only, not drawn from our own results data). Decent striker who has leaned on his hands more lately, uses his length well with a rangy jab and real power. His path at this level, per the analyst, runs through imposing takedowns and a strong double leg, heavy top control, and a willingness to go for the choke from behind once an opponent turns away from strikes. He flags the double-leg entry itself as a specific risk against this opponent's guillotine.

Strengthuses length well, rangy jab, plenty of power
Strengthpowerful double-leg takedowns, good ground-and-pound
Strengthswitches to rear-naked choke when opponent turns to escape
Weaknessdouble-leg entry risks the guillotine against this specific opponent
vs Alonzo Menifield emphatic UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 9, 2025 · 3 reads since
strikingdecent grapplinggood

Unhedged, repeated declarative pick ('I'm picking Alonzo Menifield' plus a separate flat 'I think he wins' and 'we're taking Alonzo Menifield'), explicitly framed as a confident underdog pick he expects pushback for, not a hesitant one.

An undefeated prospect who is mainly a grappler but carries decent striking of his own, using his range well behind a long jab with some real pop on it. His path to winning is built on his grappling: a good double-leg takedown as his best weapon, strong ground-and-pound, and setting up the rear naked choke once an opponent tires of eating punishment on the mat. The level of competition behind his unbeaten record is called clearly softer than his opponent's.

Strengthdecent striking with good range and a long jab
Strengthgood double-leg takedown, strong ground-and-pound
Strengthsets up the rear naked choke off that ground-and-pound
ko power · decentsub threat · goodcompetition quality · padded
vs Da Woon Jung lean UFC Fight Night Moicano vs Saint-Denis Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Paris) · September 25, 2024 · 4 reads since
strikingdecent

"Jung could get the win" is stated alongside the pick; he leans on the prospect (Sy) rather than calling it clean.

An undefeated prospect taking his first real step up in competition, built around a very powerful double-leg and good ground-and-pound, with an opportunistic rear-naked-choke finish readily available if given the back. His striking (decent) is secondary but aided by good use of his length/reach at distance.

Strengthvery powerful double-leg takedowns
Strengthgood ground-and-pound
Strengthopportunistic submission finishing (rear naked choke)
Strengthgood use of length/reach at range
vs Tuco Tokkos coinflip UFC Fight Night Barboza vs Murphy Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 92) · May 15, 2024 · 5 reads since

Names Sy as the pick but surrounds it with heavy wager caution and real outcome doubt, calling the matchup mostly unknowns and saying plainly he won't bet it -- the root-beer pattern, plus explicitly following the crowd rather than stating an independent read.

A powerful, technical double-leg specialist who lifts opponents clean off the canvas to rotate into side control, ending in half guard, and who takes a rear naked choke when it's offered even though ground-and-pound comes first. His height and reach are a real striking asset. The pick on him is explicitly driven heavily by record and market status rather than a fully worked-out read, given the lack of information on this matchup.

Strengthpowerful, technical double-leg takedowns
Strengthgood ground-and-pound
Strengthtakes the rear naked choke when given
Strengthlong striking range (height/reach)

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 6 fights · green = win
May 18, 2024 vs Tuco Tokkos — 0.0/min (W) — only 3.7 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought May '24 September 28, 2024 vs Da Woon Jung — 6.0/min (W) Sep '24 June 14, 2025 vs Alonzo Menifield — 2.27/min (L) Jun '25 September 6, 2025 vs Brendson Ribeiro — 3.62/min (W) — only 4.7 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Sep '25 March 14, 2026 vs Ion Cutelaba — 1.14/min (L) — only 4.4 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Mar '26 September 5, 2026 vs Modestas Bukauskas — 4.36/min (L) Sep '26

Fight history

6 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Modestas Bukauskas 20-7 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 3:57 — UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · September 5, 2026
39/59Sig. strikes
22/46Absorbed
3/8Takedowns
5:08Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Ion Cutelaba 19-11-1 walk-in Submission · R1 4:24 — UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · March 14, 2026
5/11Sig. strikes
14/20Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:18Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Brendson Ribeiro 2-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:42 — UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · September 6, 2025
17/43Sig. strikes
5/14Absorbed
2/4Takedowns
3:28Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Alonzo Menifield 16-5-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · June 14, 2025
34/96Sig. strikes
29/86Absorbed
1/5Takedowns
4:13Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Da Woon Jung 15-5-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · September 28, 2024
90/150Sig. strikes
29/117Absorbed
2/7Takedowns
3:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Tuco Tokkos 10-3 walk-in Submission · R1 3:43 — UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
0/2Sig. strikes
3/4Absorbed
2/3Takedowns
3:30Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
3-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 6

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 103 qualified Light Heavyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.6 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 2.0 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 51.2% avg 46.8%
Striking defense 64.5% avg 53.2%
Takedowns /15 min 2.9 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 35.7% avg 38.4%
Takedown defense 66.7% avg 61.0%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.6 avg 0.5
Control time 38.0% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 66.7% avg 63.4%

Headshot of Oumar Sy by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized