Mike Breeden

Commits clearly on 'Jo B' as the winner, reasoned on a striking edge plus wrestling as the fight's X-factor. The only hedge present is about WHEN the finish comes (not round one, more likely a later-round decision) -- a method/round hedge, not an outcome hedge, so it does not discount the pick.

Mike Breeden is 2-3 in his last five and has had regional success that hasn't fully carried over to the UFC against tougher competition. He's a good striker who comes forward with heavy volume and combinations, and notably counters back even after eating a clean shot -- he can take a hit and fire right back. When taken down he works to get back to his feet quickly, though he has been taken down a fair amount. The analyst thinks his style and durability will give Jubli some trouble on the feet despite Jubli's striking edge.

'I think McKinney's the pick... more tools and more paths to victory', but he immediately concedes the late-fight route to Breeden and plans to bet against McKinney himself past round one.

A solid, high-pressure, high-volume striker who throws constant combinations, counters well even when hit clean, works the body, and gets back to his feet well if taken down; his takedown defense looked good on the regional scene but is untested at this level.