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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Michael Oliveira
Welterweight · “PQD”

Michael Oliveira

1-0-0
Striker Durable
—Height
—Reach
—Stance
28Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
1:49Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 58 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Jul 2026 · stats read 41 → nudged -6 inside the band · claims striking power +2, striking technique +1, kicking +2 (+6) Accuracy — Average, rated 45 of 100 · claims striking technique +1, counter striking +2 (+4) Striking D — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 15 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Below avg, rated 37 of 100 · claims td defense -2 (-4) Grappling — Below avg, rated 36 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Medic vs Rodriguez Full Card Preview & Predictions · July 26, 2026 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, TD Defense · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, Wrestling, Grappling, Control.

Built on 1 minutes of tracked cage time across 1 statted fight — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker average striking — rates 58 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Jul 2026
Durable below avg durability — rates 41 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min7.71
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.3
Striking accuracy56.0%
Striking defense45.5%
Knockdowns / 15 min16.51
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy—
Takedown defense100.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time13.8%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-0

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Oban Elliott lean UFC Fight Night Medic vs Rodriguez Full Card Preview & Predictions · July 26, 2026
strikinggood

Says plainly 'I don't feel great about' the pick because so little is known about Oliveira. Advises viewers who would bet heavily on Oliveira to consider sitting this one out.

Oliveira, undefeated and making his promotional debut, is read as a good striker who picks his shots carefully behind a jab worked high and low, forward pressure, a sharp calf kick and real power. The analyst has no grappling read on him at all, since there is little grappling footage to go on. The pick leans his way on striking alone, but the analyst is explicit that it is made with real uncertainty given how little is known. The advice given is to wait and see how he handles being taken down before trusting the pick heavily.

Strengthpicks his shots, good jab high and low
Strengthforward pressure
Strengthsharp calf kick and real power

Fight history

1 UFC bout · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Oban Elliott 3-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:49 — UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · August 1, 2026
14/25Sig. strikes
6/11Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:15Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-0-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 1

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 189 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 7.7 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 3.3 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 56.0% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 45.5% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.5
Takedown defense 100.0% avg 62.6%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 13.8% avg 21.5%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 53.9%

Headshot of Michael Oliveira by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized