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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Middleweight

Matthieu Duclos

1-0-0
Striker Durable
6'3"Height
77"Reach
OrthodoxStance
31Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
4:35Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 57 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026 · stats read 42 → nudged -5 inside the band · tag counter striking: good (+1) · claims striking technique +1, kicking +3 (+4) Accuracy — Average, rated 47 of 100 · claims striking technique +1, counter striking +2 (+4) Striking D — Average, rated 45 of 100 · claims head movement +1 (+2) Durability — Below avg, rated 43 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 14 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · claims td defense -1 (-2) Grappling — Below avg, rated 37 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Aug 2026 · stats read 34 → nudged -2 inside the band Control — Below avg, rated 42 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Parnasse vs Hooker Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 29, 2026 watch ↗
grappling decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Parnasse vs Hooker Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 29, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling decent 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, TD Defense · stats alone on Durability, Wrestling, Control.

Built on 4 minutes of tracked cage time across 1 statted fight — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker average striking — rates 57 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026
Durable below avg durability — rates 43 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.93
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.8
Striking accuracy41.9%
Striking defense56.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min3.27
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy—
Takedown defense—
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time1.8%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-0

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Luis Felipe Dias coinflip UFC Fight Night Parnasse vs Hooker Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 29, 2026
strikinggood grapplingdecent

Picks Duclos but immediately undercuts it, admitting he has little real enthusiasm either way across most of today's lineup -- a direct hedge on his own conviction.

Likely the cleaner striker in this fight: good kicks to every level, a leg kick he likes, solid movement in either stance, and real counter-striking. His grappling is only decent across the board -- can trip, decent top control, decent takedown defense -- but he's getting this opportunity partly because of where the card is being held, which the analyst says doesn't mean it isn't deserved.

Strengthkicks to all levels
Strengthleg kick
Strengthmovement
Strengthfights from either stance
Strengthcounter striking
Weaknessonly decent takedown defense
counter striking · good

Fight history

1 UFC bout · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Luis Felipe Dias 1-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:35 — UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · September 5, 2026
18/43Sig. strikes
22/50Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-0-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 1

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 168 qualified Middleweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.9 avg 3.3
Strikes absorbed /min 4.8 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 41.9% avg 47.0%
Striking defense 56.0% avg 53.4%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.6
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.7
Control time 1.8% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 60.8%