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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Marcio Barbosa
Featherweight · “Ticoto”

Marcio Barbosa

2-0-0
Striker Submission Grappler
5'6"Height
70"Reach
OrthodoxStance
28Age
2KO wins
0Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
2:03Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Above avg, rated 77 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Aug 2026 · stats read 43 → nudged -6 inside the band · claims striking power +2, striking technique +3, pressure +2 (+6) Accuracy — Average, rated 49 of 100 · claims striking technique +3 (+6) Striking D — Average, rated 49 of 100 · claims striking defense +1, head movement +2 (+6) Durability — Average, rated 45 of 100 · claims chin +1 (+2) Wrestling — Weak, rated 14 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Below avg, rated 43 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Average, rated 55 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Aug 2026 · stats read 34 → nudged -8 inside the band · claims sub offense +2, ground and pound +2 (+6) Control — Average, rated 46 of 100 · claims ground and pound +2 (+3) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night Hernandez vs Rodrigues Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 17, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Burns vs Malott · April 12, 2026 watch ↗
grappling good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Hernandez vs Rodrigues Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 17, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Burns vs Malott · April 12, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking solid 2 reads
grappling good 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Durability, Control · stats alone on Wrestling, TD Defense.

Built on 4 minutes of tracked cage time across 2 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker above avg striking — rates 77 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Aug 2026
Submission Grappler average grappling — rates 55 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Aug 2026
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.64
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.43
Striking accuracy45.5%
Striking defense70.6%
Knockdowns / 15 min7.29
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy—
Takedown defense100.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time4.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Ryan Kuse clear UFC Fight Night Hernandez vs Rodrigues Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 17, 2026
strikingsolid grapplinggood

Rates Barbosa clearly ahead on the feet by a noticeable margin, and doubts Kuse can impose his wrestling path.

A far more experienced striker with solid technical tools: good head movement, strong forward pressure that cuts off the cage, a high guard, and a devastating lead hook, all put together in clean combinations. His ground game is less proven since he rarely uses it, but what's been seen is good: nasty ground-and-pound and a quick, readjustable guillotine. The analyst's only real caveat is that Barbosa's grappling hasn't been tested against a dedicated high-level wrestling pace yet.

Strengthclean combination striking with a devastating lead hook
Strengthforward pressure that cuts off the cage
Strengthnasty ground-and-pound and a tight guillotine when grappling happens
competition quality · untested
vs Dennis Buzukja clear UFC Fight Night Burns vs Malott · April 12, 2026 · 1 read since
strikingsolid grapplinggood

Picks Barbosa outright as 'the side for me' and 'we're taking Barbosa', predicting a KO off the lead hook, with no qualifier on the win itself.

Per the analyst's overall read, Barbosa holds the clear edge on the feet in this pairing: good head movement, forward pressure that cuts off the cage, a high guard and real power -- especially the lead hook -- plus clean combinations that work the body. His grappling is secondary but genuine: nasty ground and pound and a quick guillotine he can readjust and finish, which the analyst calls rare to see in MMA. He is coming off a Contender Series run the analyst rated highly.

Strengthhead movement
Strengthforward pressure, cuts the cage
Strengthhigh guard
Strengthpower, especially the lead hook
Strengthcombinations, works the body
Strengthnasty ground and pound
Strengthquick, well-adjusted guillotine

Fight history

2 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Ryan Kuse 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:47 — UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · August 22, 2026
11/25Sig. strikes
5/21Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:12Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Dennis Buzukja 1-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:20 — UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · April 18, 2026
4/8Sig. strikes
5/13Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
2-0-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 2

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 134 qualified Featherweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.6 avg 3.6
Strikes absorbed /min 2.4 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 45.5% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 70.6% avg 55.3%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.5
Takedown defense 100.0% avg 60.2%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 4.9% avg 20.1%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 44.2%

Headshot of Marcio Barbosa by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized