Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Marcin Prachnio
Light Heavyweight

Marcin Prachnio

17-10-0 UFC 4-7-0
Volume Machine Sniper Accuracy Takedown Liability Suspect Chin
6'3"Height
73"Reach
OrthodoxStance
38Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
25.0%Finish rate
9:45Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 67 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Jul 2025 · stats read 69 → nudged +4 inside the band · claims striking volume +2, striking technique +1, kicking +2 (+6) Accuracy — Strong, rated 94 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Average, rated 52 of 100 · claims striking defense -1, head movement +1 (-2) Durability — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: suspect · Jul 2025 · stats read 20 → nudged -5 inside the band · claims chin -2 (-4) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 28 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling decent · Jul 2024 · stats read 7 → nudged -11 inside the band TD Defense — Weak, rated 19 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: broken · Jul 2025 · stats read 26 → nudged +3 inside the band · tag getup: good (+4) · claims td defense -3, getup +1 (-4) Grappling — Weak, rated 6 of 100 · tag sub defense: suspect (-3) Control — Weak, rated 4 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 318 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 15, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 23, 2024 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 290 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · July 4, 2023 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 23, 2024 watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling not yet read
wrestling decent 1 read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Wrestling, TD Defense · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Grappling · stats alone on Control.

Volume Machine 5.5 significant strikes landed per minute
Sniper Accuracy 55% of significant strikes land
Takedown Liability 138 MMA · Jul 2025 tags td defense: broken
Suspect Chin 138 MMA · Jul 2025 tags chin: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.52
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.15
Striking accuracy54.6%
Striking defense54.6%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.14
Takedowns / 15 min0.14
Takedown accuracy20.0%
Takedown defense53.1%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time3.7%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-2

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Jimmy Crute coinflip UFC 318 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 15, 2025
strikinggood wrestlingdecent

He twice says he doesn't want to pick 'either of these guys,' adds the root-beer idiom, and settles on Crute only because his wildness and top control should disrupt Prachnio's reset-and-counter game.

A good striker who circles well, fights from either stance, and throws good volume, built around his leg kick. The analyst flags a specific, timeable tell: he does a visible reset after striking exchanges that opponents have exploited before. He says Prachnio's durability isn't what it used to be: he takes punches worse than before and tires faster after getting hit. His takedown defense and grappling are described as weak across the board, with a rough finishing sequence cited as proof of poor awareness on the mat.

Strengthgood kicks, especially the leg kick
Strengthcircles off well
Strengthcomfortable in either stance
Strengthgood volume
Weaknessvisible, timeable reset after exchanges
Weaknessdurability has declined, takes punches worse than before
Weaknesstakedown defense has never been there
Weaknesspoor grappling awareness/defense overall
chin · suspecttd defense · brokensub defense · suspect
vs Modestas Bukauskas coinflip UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 23, 2024 · 1 read since
strikingsolid wrestlingdecent

names the higher-volume side (Prachnio) as his lean, but then tells viewers they likely shouldn't wager on this one and jokes about settling in with a soda to just watch -- the root-beer idiom plus an explicit stay-away instruction, which caps a named pick at coinflip rather than voiding it.

A solid, high-volume kicker who circles well and can fight from either stance, but resets cleanly out of range after every exchange rather than following up, which costs him little so far. Durability is the real question: several losses and visible chin checks make him the less durable man in this pairing.

Strengthsolid striking built around a very good kicking arsenal, with his leg kick singled out as the standout weapon here
Strengthcircles off well, comfortable in either stance
Strengththe higher-volume/higher-output side of this matchup
Weaknessclean, consistent reset after exchanges rather than following up
Weaknessdurability -- has been chin-checked repeatedly across a long career
chin · suspect
vs Devin Clark lean UFC Fight Night Hermansson vs Pyfer Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction (UFC Vegas 86) · February 6, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikingsolid

Calls Clark the rightful side but explicitly frames it as a low-confidence pick, noting Clark has gone both ways in similarly-billed fights before.

16-7 at light heavyweight. Our paraphrase: a solid, either-stance striker out of a karate background with good kicks and good footwork, but marked down for a clear habit of resetting after combinations, for questionable durability, and for a takedown defense the analyst calls atrocious.

Strengthkicks
Strengtheither-stance striking
Strengthcircles well
Strengthgood footwork
Weaknessresets after combinations instead of following up
Weaknessdurability called questionable
Weaknesstakedown defense called atrocious
chin · suspecttd defense · suspect
vs Vitor Petrino coinflip UFC 290 Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · July 4, 2023 · 3 reads since
strikingsolid

No clean pick: he leans toward Petrino as the skill favorite but says the price isn't worth paying and he may skip betting the fight altogether, while separately granting Prachnio a real route to the win if he simply circles off and out-lands him. Both an outcome hedge and a pure price/wager-caution hedge are present and are flagged separately rather than collapsed into one.

Prachnio brings a karate background into solid striking, with good kicks (especially leg kicks), active circling off, and comfort switching stances. His weakness is a clear, readable reset after he finishes a combination, which an opponent can learn to time. His chin has eroded -- he has been knocked out multiple times, including a three-fight losing streak by knockout -- and his takedown defense, while not great, lets him work back to his feet afterward.

Strengthgood kicks, especially leg kicks
Strengthcircles off well
Strengthcomfortable in either stance
Strengthworks back to his feet off the floor
Weaknessclear, exploitable reset after combinations
Weaknesschin has eroded from accumulated knockouts
Weaknesstakedown defense not great
chin · suspecttd defense · suspectgetup · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
January 23, 2021 vs Khalil Rountree Jr. — 6.8/min (W) Jan '21 June 26, 2021 vs Ike Villanueva — 9.94/min (W) Jun '21 April 23, 2022 vs Philipe Lins — 4.93/min (L) Apr '22 February 18, 2023 vs William Knight — 5.27/min (W) Feb '23 July 8, 2023 vs Vitor Petrino — 4.01/min (L) Jul '23 February 10, 2024 vs Devin Clark — 6.73/min (W) Feb '24 July 27, 2024 vs Modestas Bukauskas — 5.3/min (L) Jul '24 July 19, 2025 vs Jimmy Crute — 4.47/min (L) — only 4.7 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jul '25

Fight history

11 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Jimmy Crute 12-4-2 walk-in Submission · R1 4:42 — UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · July 19, 2025
21/36Sig. strikes
5/18Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:08Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Modestas Bukauskas 15-6 walk-in Submission · R3 3:12 — UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · July 27, 2024
70/139Sig. strikes
38/76Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:09Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Devin Clark 14-8 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · February 10, 2024
101/189Sig. strikes
53/127Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:44Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Vitor Petrino 8-0 walk-in Submission · R3 3:42 — UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · July 8, 2023
55/88Sig. strikes
44/81Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:18Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W William Knight 11-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · February 18, 2023
79/144Sig. strikes
8/33Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Philipe Lins 13-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · April 23, 2022
74/117Sig. strikes
64/110Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
1:53Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ike Villanueva 18-11 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 0:56 — UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · June 26, 2021
59/92Sig. strikes
34/79Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Khalil Rountree Jr. 8-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · January 23, 2021
102/216Sig. strikes
49/148Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:05Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Mike Rodriguez 10-4 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:17 — UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · August 22, 2020
14/20Sig. strikes
21/26Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:25Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Magomed Ankalaev 8-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:09 — UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · September 15, 2018
3/22Sig. strikes
12/27Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Sam Alvey 31-10 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:23 — UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · February 24, 2018
15/24Sig. strikes
10/19Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:14Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
17-10-0Pro record
Tatsujin Dojo (2013–present)Gym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 11
Submission 1
Decision 5
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 4
Submission 4
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 11
Final Fight Championship 6
ONE 4
Bosnian Fight Championship 2
FNC 1
HIT Fighting Championship 1
Fight Club Den Haag 1
Ultimate Warrior Challenge 1
Full career — 27 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Tom Breese Submission (rear-naked choke) FNC 32
June 20, 2026
FNC 1 1:10
L Jimmy Crute Submission (armbar) UFC 318
July 19, 2025
UFC 1 4:41
L Modestas Bukauskas Submission (arm-triangle choke) UFC 304
July 27, 2024
UFC 3 3:12
W Devin Clark Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
February 10, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
L Vitor Petrino Submission (arm-triangle choke) UFC 290
July 8, 2023
UFC 3 3:42
W William Knight Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
February 18, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Philipe Lins Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
April 23, 2022
UFC 3 5:00
W Ike Villanueva KO (body kick) UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
June 26, 2021
UFC 2 0:56
W Khalil Rountree Jr. Decision (unanimous) UFC 257
January 24, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
L Mike Rodríguez KO (elbow and punches) UFC on ESPN: Munhoz vs. Edgar
August 22, 2020
UFC 1 2:17
L Magomed Ankalaev TKO (head kick and punches) UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
September 15, 2018
UFC 1 3:09
L Sam Alvey KO (punch) UFC on Fox: Emmett vs. Stephens
February 24, 2018
UFC 1 4:23
W Gilberto Galvão KO (punch) ONE: Kings & Conquerors
August 5, 2017
ONE 1 1:23
W Jake Butler TKO (knees) ONE: Titles & Titans
August 27, 2016
ONE 1 2:30
W Leandro Ataides Decision (split) ONE: Kingdom of Champions
May 27, 2016
ONE 3 5:00
W Alexandre Machado TKO (punches) ONE: Tribe of Warriors
February 20, 2016
ONE 1 2:44
W Tomislav Spahović TKO (punches) Final Fight Championship 21
November 27, 2015
Final Fight Championship 1 3:22
W Matej Batinić Decision (unanimous) Final Fight Championship 19
September 18, 2015
Final Fight Championship 3 5:00
W Ryan Salamagnou TKO (punches) HIT Fighting Championship 1
June 27, 2015
HIT Fighting Championship 1 0:21
W Elvir Cosic TKO (punches) Bosnian Fight Championship 2
June 13, 2015
Bosnian Fight Championship 1 1:34
L Aleksandar Rakić TKO (punches) Final Fight Championship 16
December 6, 2014
Final Fight Championship 3 3:00
W Stepjan Bekavac TKO (knees) Final Fight Championship 14
October 3, 2014
Final Fight Championship 1 0:35
W Milco Voorn TKO (punches) Fight Club Den Haag 2014
June 22, 2014
Fight Club Den Haag 1 3:40
W Bozo Mikulic TKO (punches) Final Fight Championship 13
June 6, 2014
Final Fight Championship 1 2:56
L Ivica Tadijanov Decision (unanimous) Final Fight Championship 11
April 4, 2014
Final Fight Championship 3 5:00
W Milan Vinčić Submission (rear-naked choke) Bosnian Fight Championship 1
November 9, 2013
Bosnian Fight Championship 1 1:46
W Tomas Siaucila KO (punch) Ultimate Warrior Challenge 23
July 13, 2013
Ultimate Warrior Challenge 1 1:11

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Marcin Prachnio) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 103 qualified Light Heavyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.5 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 3.1 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 54.6% avg 46.8%
Striking defense 54.6% avg 53.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.1 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 20.0% avg 38.4%
Takedown defense 53.1% avg 61.0%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 3.7% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 25.0% avg 63.4%

Headshot of Marcin Prachnio by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized