Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Mantas Kondratavicius
Middleweight

Mantas Kondratavicius

1-0-0
Deep Gas Tank Hard To Take Down Hittable
6'2"Height
75"Reach
OrthodoxStance
27Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
15:00Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 64 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Nov 2026 · stats read 50 → nudged -2 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · claims striking power +2, striking technique +2, hand speed +2 (+6) Accuracy — Average, rated 54 of 100 · claims striking technique +2 (+4) Striking D — Below avg, rated 35 of 100 · 138 MMA tag striking defense: suspect · Nov 2026 · stats read 50 → nudged +5 inside the band · claims striking defense -3 (-6) Durability — Average, rated 46 of 100 · claims chin -2 (-4) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 36 of 100 · claims clinch +2 (+2) TD Defense — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Nov 2026 · stats read 50 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims td defense +2 (+4) Grappling — Below avg, rated 33 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Nov 2026 · stats read 45 → nudged +2 inside the band · tag sub threat: low (-8) Control — Average, rated 50 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good None · November 1, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Evloev vs Murphy Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 15, 2026 watch ↗
grappling decent
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent None · November 1, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Evloev vs Murphy Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 15, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 2 reads
grappling decent 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Striking D, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Durability, Wrestling · stats alone on Control.

Built on 15 minutes of tracked cage time across 1 statted fight — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Deep Gas Tank 138 MMA · Nov 2026 tags cardio capacity: deep
Hard To Take Down above avg td defense — rates 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Nov 2026
Hittable 138 MMA · Nov 2026 tags striking defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.0
Sig. strikes absorbed / min1.13
Striking accuracy70.1%
Striking defense56.4%
Knockdowns / 15 min1.0
Takedowns / 15 min2.0
Takedown accuracy50.0%
Takedown defense91.7%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.0
Control time40.7%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Andre Petroski lean None · November 1, 2026
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He picks him, but hedges the win with a probability qualifier and closes by granting the opponent a genuine route to victory, while also admitting uncertainty about whether the takedown defense holds.

The more polished striker of the pair with workable defensive wrestling and a pace he can sustain, picked mainly because the opponent's durability is expected to crack.

Strengthsharper, more varied striking than the opponent, with a quick jab and body work
Strengthknees and elbows are a weapon, especially in close
Strengthgood cage work pushing back and dirty boxing with knees against the fence
Strengthsolid takedown defense to keep the fight standing
Strengthmaintains his output even once fatigue sets in
Strengthstriking threat may make the opponent hesitant to commit to grappling
Weaknessdefensive striking is leaky
Weaknessgrappling is the lesser of the two and he is likely outmatched on the mat
Weaknessnot a real submission finisher
td defense · goodsub threat · lowstriking defense · suspectcardio capacity · deep
vs Antonio Trocoli clear UFC Fight Night Evloev vs Murphy Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 15, 2026 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

picks Mantas to win

Coming off the Contender Series and viewed as the clearly better striker in this matchup: good power, a quick jab, and heavy work to the body and with knees/elbows. His striking defense is called a real liability, and his grappling is mostly defensive except against the cage, where his dirty boxing and knees are solid. His extended-grappling resume is thin.

Strengthgood power
Strengthquick jab
Strengthworks the body well
Strengthmixes in knees and elbows
Strengthgood takedown defense
Strengthsolid dirty boxing/knees against the cage
Weaknessstriking defense called quite lacking
Weaknessrelies on his chin somewhat
Weaknesslittle tested in extended grappling exchanges
ko power · goodtd defense · good

Fight history

1 UFC bout · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Antonio Trocoli 0-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · March 21, 2026
75/107Sig. strikes
17/39Absorbed
2/4Takedowns
6:06Control
1Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-0-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 1

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 168 qualified Middleweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.0 avg 3.3
Strikes absorbed /min 1.1 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 70.1% avg 47.0%
Striking defense 56.4% avg 53.4%
Takedowns /15 min 2.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 50.0% avg 40.4%
Takedown defense 91.7% avg 61.3%
Sub attempts /15 min 1.0 avg 0.7
Control time 40.7% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 60.8%

Headshot of Mantas Kondratavicius by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized