Luana Pinheiro

Calls the pick easy, says he feels very good, expects a clear decision for Pennington.

A decent, power-shot striker whose real game is grappling: a judo background with strong throws, dangerous submissions once she locks something up, and violent ground and pound. She starts fast but her cardio fades as rounds go on.

States this is his 'most confident pick' and the 'easiest pick on the card' -- no hedge anywhere in the passage, naming Robertson directly as the winner on her grappling persistence and cardio against a fighter who fades.

A fast starter with a real first-round output who fades badly on the cardio side as fights go on. On the ground she has a Judo background with very good throws, nasty submissions, and ground-and-pound that the analyst says has leveled up significantly over roughly the past year. On the feet she has more raw power than her opponent here and is a decent striker overall, but her cardio fade is the central problem in this matchup.

Fully committed, with a specific predicted path and scorecard -- settles on Hill winning a '29-28' decision. The only hedge is a passing nod to a possible 10-8/draw scenario in round one, immediately followed by reaffirming the decision pick -- a round/margin caveat, not a qualifier on who wins.

A judo-based fighter with nice throws and genuinely nasty ground-and-pound and submissions once she gets there, described as a classic fast-starting fighter who burns hot early and fades. Her striking carries power but isn't expected to finish Hill given Hill's durability, so her stated path is specifically to use power to enter, get the throw, and finish on the ground before she fades.

Uses his own word for it, saying he leans toward Ribas, while explicitly conceding a real finish path exists for Pinheiro on the feet; a clear direction with an acknowledged alternate outcome, not a bare coinflip and not emphatic.

A fast starter and a genuinely high-level Judo player -- nice throws, nasty submissions, violent ground-and-pound -- clearly her best path to victory. Her striking is comparatively thin: good power, but the analyst says there isn't much else to it beyond setting up the grappling.

Graded clear. He calls Pinheiro his pick, says she 'gets it done' and is the better fighter at this stage, and backs it with a specific mechanism: Waterson's lack of power cannot stop a forward-moving opponent, and Pinheiro's judo can neutralise the takedowns and flip them. Not emphatic, since Waterson's wrestling volume and cardio are never fully answered. His habitual 'I think' before clauses was read as speech habit; there is no frequency qualifier on the win.

The analyst sees the younger, forward-moving Pinheiro as the better fighter right now and the likely winner. She starts quickly, has decent striking with shots that carry some weight, and her judo throws put her on top, where she looks for submissions or heavy ground strikes. The concern he raises is a step up in opposition, since she has not faced fighters at this level in the division.