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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Welterweight

Louis Cosce

0-2-0
Striker Positional Grappler
5'9"Height
71"Reach
OrthodoxStance
31Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
13:53Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 53 of 100 · claims striking power +3, striking technique -1 (+4) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · claims striking technique -1 (-2) Striking D — Weak, rated 16 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Average, rated 45 of 100 · claims td offense +1 (+2) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 39 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Average, rated 45 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Average, rated 46 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
  1. Striking Average 53
  2. Control Average 46
  3. Wrestling Average 45
  4. Grappling Average 45
  5. Accuracy Below avg 44
  6. TD Defense Below avg 39
  7. Durability Below avg 32
  8. Striking D Weak 16

his tags and claims adjust Striking, Accuracy, Wrestling · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, TD Defense, Grappling, Control.

Built on 27 minutes of tracked cage time across 2 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker average striking — rates 53 of 100 · claims striking power +3, striking technique -1 (+4)
Positional Grappler average control — rates 46 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.92
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.4
Striking accuracy44.7%
Striking defense47.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.54
Takedowns / 15 min1.08
Takedown accuracy20.0%
Takedown defense50.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.54
Control time16.1%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Trevin Giles lean UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · September 14, 2022

Graded against this corner, and lean rather than clear because the chapter keeps his route wide open. The analyst gives him two explicit ways to win, says the right-handed one is his opponent's 'kryptonite' and the way the opponent's last two fights ended, then never rebuts it -- he strengthens it, adding that the follow-up ground work might not even be required. He also recommends backing this corner outright for anyone shopping at a long price, and that recommendation sits in the sentence immediately before the pick, which is price-as-premise and demotes. The pick sentence against him is bare, but its support is softened: the opponent is expected only to 'have success' at range, and the positive evidence cited for the opponent comes from a fight the opponent lost. The objection is standing when the chapter ends, so the grade is capped at lean. Not coinflip: the analyst does assert a preferred side firmly and never tells viewers to skip this fight.

The underdog in the analyst's read of this welterweight bout and the man he picks against -- but with a route spelled out in detail. At five-nine against six feet he has to fight inside to reach his two assets, which the analyst names as knockout power and aggressive wrestling. The hook is that his right hand matches the exact pattern that has ended his opponent's last two fights, and the analyst suspects the follow-up on the mat may prove unnecessary. He is therefore endorsed as a reasonable wager at a price even though the pick goes the other way, with the analyst asking viewers which of the two paths they think lands.

StrengthKnockout power, named as one of his two obvious assets.
StrengthAggressive wrestling, named as the other, and as a second route to the win.
StrengthA strong right hand that lines up exactly with how his opponent's last two fights ended; the analyst thinks the follow-up ground work may not even be needed.
StrengthFour wins from five recent outings.
StrengthExplicitly endorsed as a sensible underdog play, even by an analyst picking the other side.
WeaknessThree inches the shorter man, so he must close the distance before either of his assets applies.
WeaknessClosing it is made harder by an opponent the analyst rates as the more polished technician at range.
WeaknessJudged the lesser fighter overall in the matchup.

Fight history

2 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Trevin Giles 14-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · September 17, 2022
10/38Sig. strikes
25/46Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
3:36Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Sasha Palatnikov 5-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 2:47 — UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · November 21, 2020
99/206Sig. strikes
125/237Absorbed
1/9Takedowns
0:53Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 2

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 189 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.9 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 5.4 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 44.7% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 47.0% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 1.1 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 20.0% avg 40.2%
Takedown defense 50.0% avg 62.6%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.5 avg 0.6
Control time 16.1% avg 21.5%