Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Lawrence Lui
Bantamweight · “Lok Yin”

Lawrence Lui

1-1-0
Wrestler Positional Grappler Suspect Chin Fragile
5'7"Height
72"Reach
OrthodoxStance
30Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
10:26Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 54 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026 · stats read 35 → nudged -8 inside the band · claims striking power +2, pressure +2 (+5) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · claims counter striking +1 (+1) Striking D — Average, rated 54 of 100 · claims striking defense +1 (+3) Durability — Weak, rated 15 of 100 · Half The Battle: durability poor · Aug 2026 · stats read 21 → nudged -3 inside the band · tag chin: suspect (-12) Wrestling — Above avg, rated 77 of 100 · Half The Battle: wrestling solid · Aug 2026 · stats read 54 → nudged -6 inside the band · claims td offense +3, clinch +1 (+6) TD Defense — Above avg, rated 72 of 100 · Half The Battle tag td defense: good · Aug 2026 · stats read 54 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims getup +1 (+2) Grappling — Below avg, rated 36 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling decent · Aug 2026 · stats read 30 → nudged -3 inside the band Control — Average, rated 58 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good ✓ 2nd source close
3 analyst reads graded this phase · Half The Battle lands within one step of it
  • good UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 26, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 19, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC 325 Analysis, Breakdown, & Predictions · January 25, 2026 watch ↗
grappling decent whiteboard
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 26, 2026 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • decent UFC 325 Analysis, Breakdown, & Predictions · January 25, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling solid Half The Battle
1 analyst read graded this phase · 138 MMA has not, so this is filled from Half The Battle
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 27, 2026 · Half The Battle watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability poor Half The Battle
1 analyst read graded this phase · 138 MMA has not, so this is filled from Half The Battle
  • poor UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 27, 2026 · Half The Battle watch ↗
striking good 3 reads · 2nd source close
grappling decent 2 reads · whiteboard
wrestling solid 1 read · Half The Battle
cardio not yet read
durability poor 1 read · Half The Battle

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Wrestling, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Control.

Built on 20 minutes of tracked cage time across 2 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Wrestler above avg wrestling — rates 77 of 100 · Half The Battle: wrestling solid · Aug 2026
Positional Grappler average control — rates 58 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4)
Suspect Chin Half The Battle · Aug 2026 tags chin: suspect
Fragile Half The Battle · Aug 2026 grades his durability poor
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.02
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.12
Striking accuracy40.2%
Striking defense63.6%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min5.03
Takedown accuracy43.8%
Takedown defense—
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time23.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Hector Santiago clear UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 26, 2026
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He picks Lui outright on the grappling gap, expecting little resistance to a takedown; no hedge is placed on the win itself.

Lui is framed as a counter-forward fighter who prefers to block an incoming shot on the glove or forearm before firing back, rather than simply slipping and returning fire. He presses forward like Santiago but with a tighter, higher guard, and the analyst credits him with real power behind that counter style. On the ground he is comfortable working against the cage and adjusting through scrambles. The analyst sees him holding a clear grappling edge and does not expect Santiago to offer much resistance if a takedown is added to the gameplan.

StrengthCounters off a high, blocking guard
StrengthForward pressure with power
StrengthComfortable working the cage and in scrambles
vs Hector Santiago clear UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 19, 2026 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

Gives a real mechanism for the pick (grappling and cage-push edge, little expected takedown resistance from Santiago) with no hedge on the win itself.

Lui is a forward-moving counter striker who blocks and returns rather than trading evenly, keeps a high guard, and carries real power. The analyst calls his striking roughly even with Santiago's but gives him the clear edge on the ground, citing a good cage push and scrambling. He expects little takedown resistance from Santiago if Lui chooses to use it.

Strengthcounter-striking behind a high guard
Strengthgood cage push
Strengthscrambles well
Strengthreal power
vs Sulangrangbo coinflip UFC 325 Analysis, Breakdown, & Predictions · January 25, 2026 · 2 reads since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

A self-described coin-flip call: he frames the two paths as equally live and says the pick was only settled moments before recording.

Rated a good striker whose forward pressure pairs with a high guard, fighting block-and-return: absorbing a shot on the arms, then countering back with real power ('cannons for hands' for his weight). His grappling is decent, built mainly around the cage push to wear on opponents, plus good scrambles if the fight does hit the mat.

Strengthforward pressure / high guard
Strengthblock-and-return counter power
Strengthcage-push control
Strengthgood scrambles
range · short

Gap-fill reads

1 read · Half The Battle · used only where 138 MMA is silent · our paraphrase, never his words
Hector Santiago favored — picked against Lawrence Lui lean Half The Battle · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 27, 2026
wrestlingsolid durabilitypoor
strikingdecent

Priced as a clear favourite on the strength of one thing: takedown ability. The striking assessment is poor: he was knocked down on more than one occasion during the regional series that fed him into the promotion, lost the striking exchanges in his first appearance, and is characterised as very hittable and often stationary. The conclusion drawn is a conditional one: if he can secure repeated takedowns the price makes sense, and if the fight stays on the feet it does not. Whether he can actually get those takedowns against this opponent is treated as an open question.

Strengthtakedown ability is the one clear edge in his favour and his route to winning
Weaknessknocked down on more than one occasion before arriving in the promotion
Weaknesslost the striking exchanges in his first promotional appearance
Weaknessvery hittable and frequently a stationary target
chin · suspecttd defense · good

Watch this breakdown ↗

Fight history

2 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Hector Santiago 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 0:53 — UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 29, 2026
32/59Sig. strikes
30/111Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Sulangrangbo 0-0 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · January 31, 2026
52/150Sig. strikes
56/125Absorbed
7/15Takedowns
4:59Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-1-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 2

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 124 qualified Bantamweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.0 avg 3.7
Strikes absorbed /min 4.1 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 40.2% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 63.6% avg 56.4%
Takedowns /15 min 5.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 43.8% avg 36.9%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 23.9% avg 19.4%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 48.2%

Headshot of Lawrence Lui by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized