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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Lance Gibson Jr.
Lightweight · “Fearless”

Lance Gibson Jr.

4-5-0 UFC 1-1-0
Durable Precision Striker
—Height
—Reach
—Stance
31Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
8:58Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Mar 2026 · stats read 34 → nudged -2 inside the band · claims striking power +1, kicking +2 (+4) Accuracy — Average, rated 51 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking D — Below avg, rated 42 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Average, rated 52 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · claims td offense +2 (+4) TD Defense — Average, rated 48 of 100 · claims td defense -2 (-4) Grappling — Average, rated 49 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Mar 2026 · stats read 28 → nudged -10 inside the band · claims ground and pound +2 (+2) Control — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · claims top control +3, ground and pound +2 (+12) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Adesanya vs Pyfer Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 22, 2026 watch ↗
grappling good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Adesanya vs Pyfer Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 22, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking decent 1 read
grappling good 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Wrestling, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Accuracy, Striking D, Durability.

Built on 17 minutes of tracked cage time across 2 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Durable average durability — rates 52 of 100 among UFC veterans
Precision Striker average accuracy — rates 51 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min2.4
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.24
Striking accuracy45.7%
Striking defense56.1%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.84
Takedowns / 15 min1.67
Takedown accuracy66.7%
Takedown defense75.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time7.2%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-1

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Chase Hooper clear UFC Fight Night Adesanya vs Pyfer Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 22, 2026
strikingdecent grapplinggood

grappling huge, needs perfect fight

A decent striker with good front and leg kicks and decent power, but primarily a wrestler. His good takedowns and mat returns let him keep re-grounding opponents, and he is a good back-taker who lands big shots especially when a downed opponent tries to climb back to their feet. He is in just his second UFC fight, having entered on a short-notice bout he lost by split decision.

Strengthgood front kick and leg kick, decent power
Strengthgood takedowns and mat returns, good back-taker who punishes attempts to stand back up
ko power · decent

Fight history

2 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Chase Hooper 16-4-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:56 — UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · March 28, 2026
13/22Sig. strikes
11/32Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:07Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L King Green 30-17-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · December 13, 2025
30/72Sig. strikes
65/141Absorbed
2/3Takedowns
1:10Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
4-5-0Pro record
Gibson Kickboxing & PankrationGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 1
Decision 2
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 3
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

SB 5
UFC 2
Shooto 1
Shooto - R.E.A.D. 1
Full career — 9 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Masanori Suda Decision (unanimous) Shooto: Treasure Hunt 1
January 12, 2002
Shooto 3 5:00
L Evan Tanner TKO (punches) UFC 29
December 16, 2000
UFC 1 4:48
W Masanori Suda Decision (majority) Shooto - R.E.A.D. 6
July 16, 2000
Shooto - R.E.A.D. 3 5:00
W Jermaine Andre KO (knee) UFC 24
March 10, 2000
UFC 3 3:35
W Akihiro Gono Decision (majority) SB 13 - SuperBrawl 13
September 7, 1999
SB 3 5:00
L Rocky Batastini KO (punch) SB 10 - SuperBrawl 10
November 20, 1998
SB 1 0:09
L Dan Severn Submission (keylock) SB 5 - SuperBrawl 5
August 23, 1997
SB 1 26:22
W Peter Matautia Submission (rear naked choke) SB 4 - SuperBrawl 4
April 9, 1997
SB 1 1:33
L Bob Gilstrap TKO (punches) SB 4 - SuperBrawl 4
April 9, 1997
SB 1 4:53

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Lance Gibson) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 2.4 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 4.2 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 45.7% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 56.1% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 1.7 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 66.7% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 75.0% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 7.2% avg 21.3%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 50.7%

Headshot of Lance Gibson Jr. by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized