Kurtis Campbell

States a clear mechanism -- the grappling path is simply too much for Peek to deal with -- and predicts the specific finish; the hedging present is about the method and his own fondness for Peek, not about who wins.

A decent striker with a real calf kick and an awkward style, but his grappling is the engine: a varied, controlling takedown game with good top pressure, advancing position, heavy ground-and-pound volume, and a path to the back that the analyst expects ends in a rear naked choke here. He's previously failed to get his grappling going in his UFC debut, which cost him, and the analyst flags that risk could repeat.

picks Campbell; adds 'could go either way'

Undefeated, and rated as holding the clear mat advantage here: varied takedown entries, a real knack for hunting the back and the rear naked choke from there, plus heavy, controlled strikes once on top. His own hands (a calf kick, an awkward rhythm) are only graded ordinary and are not expected to carry him in a pure boxing match. The analyst believes he can absorb enough punishment to close distance and get this down.